Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-03
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
147
Final results
147
Correct picks
133
Incorrect picks
14
Pending
0
Accuracy
90.5%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
47
ATS Wins
22
ATS Losses
25
ATS Win Rate
46.8%
Spread Profit
$-500
Spread ROI
-10.6%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-5.6%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
91
O/U Wins
36
O/U Losses
55
O/U Win Rate
39.6%
O/U Profit
$-2230
O/U ROI
-24.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-12.8%
Game Predicted Score Prediction Records Confidence
New Mexico Highlands 54, North Texas 88 [34] 46-84 ✓ MAE: 6.0 North Texas (98%) 0-2 vs 3-2 97.9%
La Verne 73, UC San Diego 105 [32] 36-76 ✗ MAE: 33.2 UC San Diego (98%) 0-1 vs 4-0 97.8%
Kentucky Christian 57, Liberty 98 [41] 39-78 ✗ MAE: 18.9 Liberty (98%) 0-3 vs 4-0 97.8%
Arlington Baptist 60, East Texas A&M 119 [59] 22-67 ✗ MAE: 44.9 East Texas A&M (98%) 0-2 vs 1-3 97.8%
Mary Baldwin 55, Longwood 92 [37] 37-80 ✗ MAE: 15.1 Longwood (98%) 0-1 vs 3-1 97.7%
Nobel 58, Cal State Northridge 99 [41] 38-78 ✗ MAE: 20.7 Cal State Northridge (98%) 0-1 vs 3-2 97.7%
Champion Christian 65, McNeese 127 [62] 43-86 ✗ MAE: 31.2 McNeese (98%) 0-3 vs 3-1 97.7%
Fisk 50, Tennessee State 101 [51] 45-71 ✗ MAE: 17.3 Tennessee State (98%) 0-1 vs 2-2 97.7%
Northwest Indian 41, Montana 106 [65] 33-82 ✗ MAE: 15.8 Montana (98%) 0-3 vs 4-1 97.7%
McMurry 55, Abilene Christian 92 [37] 41-69 ✗ MAE: 18.5 Abilene Christian (98%) 0-1 vs 3-1 97.6%
Rivier 55, UMass Lowell 107 [52] 43-82 ✗ MAE: 18.3 UMass Lowell (98%) 0-1 vs 1-4 97.6%
Menlo 69, UC Davis 96 [27] 42-67 ✗ MAE: 28.0 UC Davis (98%) 0-1 vs 3-1 97.6%
Texas A&M-San Antonio 53, Lamar 93 [40] 40-75 ✗ MAE: 15.5 Lamar (98%) 0-2 vs 2-1 97.6%
Georgian Court 63, William & Mary 110 [47] 33-76 ✗ MAE: 31.9 William & Mary (98%) 0-1 vs 2-2 97.6%
UT Permian Basin 56, UTEP 98 [42] 48-81 ✗ MAE: 12.5 UTEP (98%) 0-1 vs 2-2 97.6%
Midway University 84, Morehead State 89 [5] 33-76 ✗ MAE: 32.0 Morehead State (98%) 0-2 vs 2-3 97.5%
Bethesda University 49, UC Irvine 125 [76] 42-80 ✗ MAE: 26.0 UC Irvine (97%) 0-3 vs 3-1 97.5%
UNT Dallas 40, UT Arlington 91 [51] 31-71 ✗ MAE: 14.6 UT Arlington (97%) 0-1 vs 3-1 97.4%
Vermont State - Johnson 55, Central Connecticut 117 [62] 43-74 ✗ MAE: 27.7 Central Connecticut (97%) 0-1 vs 2-2 97.4%
Tusculum 58, Charleston 79 [21] 38-79 ✗ MAE: 9.8 Charleston (97%) 0-1 vs 2-3 97.3%
Hawai'i Pacific 79, Boise State 78 [1] 49-75 ✗ MAE: 16.6 Boise State (97%) 1-0 vs 3-1 97.3%
Wagner 74, VCU 103 [29] 53-78 ✗ MAE: 22.9
O/U: 131.5		 VCU (97%) 0-4 vs 2-2 97.3%
Colgate 69, Michigan State 80 [11] 57-80 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 144.5		 Michigan State (97%) 2-3 vs 3-0 97.2%
Green Bay 51, Kansas 94 [43] 57-79 ✗ MAE: 10.1
BET UNDER 152.5		 Kansas (97%) 1-4 vs 3-1 97.2%
New Hampshire 38, Clemson 88 [50] 55-82 ✗ MAE: 11.3
BET UNDER 146.5		 Clemson (97%) 2-3 vs 3-1 97.2%
LeTourneau 59, Sam Houston 95 [36] 38-78 ✗ MAE: 18.8 Sam Houston (97%) 0-1 vs 1-2 97.2%
Lincoln University (CA) 54, Loyola Marymount 137 [83] 44-77 ✗ MAE: 34.6 Loyola Marymount (97%) 0-3 vs 5-0 97.1%
Texas Southern 43, Gonzaga 98 [55] 59-97 ✗ MAE: 8.6
O/U: 157.5		 Gonzaga (97%) 0-4 vs 4-0 97.1%
Fairleigh Dickinson 50, Iowa State 88 [38] 58-88 ✓ MAE: 4.3
O/U: 147.5		 Iowa State (97%) 0-4 vs 3-0 97.1%
Mississippi Valley State 55, UAB 106 [51] 42-83 ✗ MAE: 18.0
BET UNDER 145.5		 UAB (97%) 1-5 vs 3-2 97.1%
Oakwood 63, Jacksonville State 117 [54] 48-86 ✗ MAE: 22.9 Jacksonville State (97%) 0-2 vs 3-0 97.1%
Trinity (TX) 56, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 83 [27] 47-81 ✓ MAE: 5.3 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (97%) 0-1 vs 1-4 97.0%
Life Pacific 80, Pepperdine 88 [8] 33-74 ✗ MAE: 30.5 Pepperdine (97%) 0-2 vs 2-2 97.0%
Westminster (UT) 54, Utah State 110 [56] 61-90 ✗ MAE: 13.8 Utah State (97%) 0-2 vs 4-0 97.0%
UAlbany 53, Marquette 80 [27] 60-82 ✓ MAE: 4.7
BET UNDER 149.5		 Marquette (97%) 1-3 vs 3-2 97.0%
Lehigh 57, Houston 75 [18] 55-84 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET OVER 136.5		 Houston (97%) 1-3 vs 4-0 97.0%
Central Arkansas 54, North Carolina 94 [40] 56-92 ✓ MAE: 2.1
BET UNDER 157.5		 North Carolina (97%) 1-3 vs 4-0 96.9%
Eastern Washington 74, UCLA 80 [6] 56-77 ✗ MAE: 10.2
BET UNDER 149.5		 UCLA (97%) 0-4 vs 3-1 96.9%
Campbell 64, Wisconsin 96 [32] 58-77 ✗ MAE: 12.6
BET UNDER 151.5		 Wisconsin (97%) 2-2 vs 3-0 96.9%
Mount Olive 77, UNC Wilmington 106 [29] 50-86 ✗ MAE: 23.5 UNC Wilmington (97%) 0-1 vs 2-1 96.9%
Mercer 61, Tennessee 76 [15] 58-84 ✓ MAE: 5.4
O/U: 143.5		 Tennessee (97%) 2-2 vs 3-0 96.9%
Bethune-Cookman 90, Auburn 95 [5] 59-92 ✗ MAE: 17.0
BET UNDER 153.5		 Auburn (97%) 1-3 vs 3-1 96.9%
Western Carolina 63, Cincinnati 94 [31] 56-80 ✗ MAE: 10.2
BET UNDER 143.5		 Cincinnati (97%) 2-2 vs 4-0 96.8%
Colorado College 57, Northern Colorado 91 [34] 68-93 ✓ MAE: 6.7 Northern Colorado (97%) 0-1 vs 3-0 96.8%
Coppin State 61, Maryland 83 [22] 55-85 ✓ MAE: 4.1
O/U: 139.5		 Maryland (97%) 0-6 vs 3-1 96.8%
New College (FL) 60, Florida Gulf Coast 96 [36] 46-73 ✗ MAE: 18.5 Florida Gulf Coast (97%) 0-2 vs 2-2 96.8%
Jackson State 55, Illinois 113 [58] 48-89 ✗ MAE: 15.6
BET UNDER 157.5		 Illinois (97%) 0-3 vs 4-0 96.8%
Quinnipiac 74, St. John's 108 [34] 61-89 ✗ MAE: 16.2
BET UNDER 156.5		 St. John's (97%) 2-2 vs 2-1 96.7%
North Dakota 62, Alabama 91 [29] 68-96 ✓ MAE: 5.2
BET UNDER 169.5		 Alabama (97%) 2-3 vs 2-1 96.7%
SE Louisiana 58, Ole Miss 88 [30] 60-82 ✓ MAE: 4.1
O/U: 142.5		 Ole Miss (97%) 0-4 vs 4-0 96.7%
La Sierra 49, UC Riverside 90 [41] 37-66 ✗ MAE: 17.7 UC Riverside (97%) 0-1 vs 2-2 96.7%
Erskine 61, The Citadel 105 [44] 24-62 ✗ MAE: 39.9 The Citadel (97%) 0-1 vs 1-3 96.7%
Bellarmine 59, Georgia 104 [45] 61-81 ✗ MAE: 12.8
BET UNDER 150.5		 Georgia (97%) 1-3 vs 5-0 96.6%
Bryan (TN) 47, Austin Peay 128 [81] 32-68 ✗ MAE: 37.0 Austin Peay (97%) 0-3 vs 3-1 96.6%
St. Francis (PA) 66, Oklahoma 102 [36] 60-85 ✗ MAE: 11.4
BET UNDER 149.5		 Oklahoma (97%) 0-3 vs 2-2 96.6%
Willamette 83, Portland 120 [37] 48-84 ✗ MAE: 35.1 Portland (97%) 0-1 vs 3-1 96.5%
West Georgia 53, Nebraska 86 [33] 57-80 ✓ MAE: 5.3
BET UNDER 153.5		 Nebraska (97%) 3-2 vs 4-0 96.5%
Oakland 78, Michigan 121 [43] 60-84 ✗ MAE: 27.5
BET UNDER 157.5		 Michigan (97%) 1-4 vs 3-0 96.5%
Fairfield 68, Penn State 76 [8] 57-77 ✓ MAE: 6.3
BET UNDER 151.5		 Penn State (96%) 3-2 vs 4-0 96.5%
South Carolina State 45, Louisville 104 [59] 65-88 ✗ MAE: 18.0
BET UNDER 159.5		 Louisville (96%) 0-4 vs 4-0 96.5%
Northwestern State 68, Texas A&M 98 [30] 56-72 ✗ MAE: 19.2
BET UNDER 153.5		 Texas A&M (96%) 1-3 vs 2-2 96.4%
Mercyhurst 47, Northwestern 70 [23] 53-75 ✓ MAE: 5.5
BET UNDER 140.5		 Northwestern (96%) 3-2 vs 4-0 96.4%
UT Rio Grande Valley 81, Baylor 96 [15] 66-85 ✗ MAE: 13.0
BET UNDER 154.5		 Baylor (96%) 2-2 vs 3-0 96.3%
Southern 77, Arkansas 109 [32] 63-86 ✗ MAE: 18.6
O/U: 150.5		 Arkansas (96%) 2-2 vs 3-1 96.2%
Tarleton State 76, SMU 96 [20] 46-84 ✗ MAE: 21.3
BET UNDER 144.5		 SMU (96%) 2-3 vs 4-0 96.2%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 50, Washington 94 [44] 63-79 ✗ MAE: 13.9
BET UNDER 159.5		 Washington (96%) 0-5 vs 3-1 96.1%
Marist 62, Xavier 66 [4] 58-79 ✗ MAE: 8.2
BET UNDER 139.5		 Xavier (96%) 2-2 vs 2-2 96.0%
Canisius 48, Dayton 88 [40] 57-79 ✗ MAE: 8.9
BET UNDER 142.5		 Dayton (96%) 2-3 vs 3-1 96.0%
New Orleans 78, TCU 74 [4] 54-68 ✗ MAE: 14.6
BET UNDER 150.5		 TCU (96%) 3-1 vs 2-2 96.0%
Chicago State 62, DePaul 92 [30] 58-76 ✗ MAE: 10.1
BET UNDER 143.5		 DePaul (96%) 0-4 vs 2-2 95.9%
Florida National 49, Florida International 101 [52] 47-72 ✗ MAE: 15.8 Florida International (96%) 0-1 vs 1-2 95.8%
SUNY-Maritime 49, Army 73 [24] 38-75 ✓ MAE: 6.4 Army (96%) 0-1 vs 1-3 95.7%
College Of Biblical Studies 48, Prairie View A&M 95 [47] 23-68 ✗ MAE: 25.9 Prairie View A&M (96%) 0-4 vs 2-2 95.7%
Maryland Eastern Shore 52, Georgia Tech 56 [4] 50-82 ✗ MAE: 13.7
BET UNDER 140.5		 Georgia Tech (96%) 1-4 vs 3-1 95.6%
IU Indianapolis 102, Ohio State 118 [16] 60-81 ✗ MAE: 39.7
BET UNDER 171.5		 Ohio State (96%) 2-3 vs 4-0 95.5%
Stetson 62, Rhode Island 93 [31] 62-81 ✓ MAE: 5.9
BET UNDER 152.5		 Rhode Island (95%) 1-3 vs 3-1 95.1%
Thomas (ME) 48, Stonehill 100 [52] 47-73 ✗ MAE: 13.8 Stonehill (95%) 0-1 vs 1-5 94.6%
Franklin 37, Wright State 86 [49] 39-70 ✗ MAE: 8.8 Wright State (94%) 0-1 vs 2-3 94.4%
Washington Adventist 76, Norfolk State 98 [22] 42-78 ✗ MAE: 26.8 Norfolk State (94%) 0-2 vs 2-3 94.4%
Cal Poly 64, USC 94 [30] 74-84 ✗ MAE: 10.2
BET UNDER 163.5		 USC (94%) 2-3 vs 3-0 94.2%
Incarnate Word 64, Colorado State 98 [34] 63-77 ✗ MAE: 11.0
BET UNDER 147.5		 Colorado State (94%) 2-2 vs 4-0 94.1%
Lafayette 76, Saint Joseph's 85 [9] 61-77 ✗ MAE: 11.2
O/U: 138.5		 Saint Joseph's (94%) 1-4 vs 2-2 93.8%
American University 74, Wake Forest 88 [14] 56-70 ✗ MAE: 18.3
BET UNDER 139.5		 Wake Forest (94%) 2-2 vs 3-1 93.6%
Morgan State 70, Georgetown 87 [17] 65-81 ✓ MAE: 5.4
BET UNDER 154.5		 Georgetown (94%) 1-3 vs 4-0 93.5%
Northern Arizona 71, Drake 77 [6] 59-77 ✓ MAE: 6.2
BET UNDER 144.5		 Drake (93%) 1-2 vs 3-2 93.4%
Holy Cross 79, Providence 89 [10] 57-74 ✗ MAE: 18.5
BET UNDER 152.5		 Providence (93%) 0-4 vs 2-2 93.2%
St. Thomas-Minnesota 58, Saint Mary's 84 [26] 67-82 ✓ MAE: 5.4
BET OVER 141.5		 Saint Mary's (93%) 3-2 vs 4-0 93.1%
Rider 53, Virginia 87 [34] 55-68 ✗ MAE: 10.6
BET UNDER 147.5		 Virginia (93%) 1-2 vs 4-0 92.7%
Binghamton 47, Syracuse 85 [38] 60-80 ✗ MAE: 9.1
BET UNDER 153.5		 Syracuse (93%) 1-4 vs 3-0 92.6%
Gardner-Webb 60, Minnesota 87 [27] 59-74 ✓ MAE: 7.0
BET UNDER 146.5		 Minnesota (93%) 0-4 vs 3-1 92.5%
Air Force 63, Belmont 79 [16] 60-76 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET UNDER 144.5		 Belmont (92%) 0-4 vs 3-0 92.4%
Youngstown State 59, Pittsburgh 74 [15] 62-81 ✓ MAE: 4.7
BET UNDER 145.5		 Pittsburgh (92%) 2-2 vs 4-1 91.7%
Western Illinois 75, Radford 80 [5] 59-72 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET UNDER 151.5		 Radford (91%) 0-4 vs 2-3 91.4%
North Carolina Central 66, NC State 114 [48] 62-77 ✗ MAE: 20.6
BET UNDER 145.5		 NC State (91%) 1-4 vs 4-0 91.4%
Detroit Mercy 71, UIC 91 [20] 61-71 ✗ MAE: 15.0
BET UNDER 141.5		 UIC (91%) 1-3 vs 3-1 91.3%
Lipscomb 61, Vanderbilt 105 [44] 70-85 ✗ MAE: 14.4
O/U: 154.5		 Vanderbilt (91%) 1-3 vs 4-0 91.1%
Hofstra 78, UCF 82 [4] 58-78 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET UNDER 140.5		 UCF (91%) 2-2 vs 4-1 91.0%
Missouri 88, Howard 67 [21] 76-76 ✗ MAE: 10.3
BET UNDER 158.5		 Missouri (91%) 4-0 vs 2-2 90.7%
Niagara 63, Duquesne 83 [20] 55-68 ✗ MAE: 11.6
BET UNDER 139.5		 Duquesne (90%) 2-2 vs 3-1 90.3%
San José State 75, Utah 84 [9] 65-81 ✓ MAE: 6.6
O/U: 146.5		 Utah (90%) 0-3 vs 4-0 90.2%
Long Island University 67, Notre Dame 89 [22] 57-74 ✗ MAE: 12.7
BET UNDER 135.5		 Notre Dame (90%) 3-1 vs 3-1 90.2%
South Carolina Upstate 75, California Baptist 87 [12] 62-72 ✗ MAE: 14.1
BET UNDER 152.5		 California Baptist (89%) 3-2 vs 3-0 88.7%
Idaho 83, Washington State 81 [2] 70-80 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 154.5		 Washington State (88%) 2-2 vs 1-3 87.9%
Cal State Bakersfield 60, California 87 [27] 63-76 ✓ MAE: 6.9
BET UNDER 146.5		 California (88%) 2-2 vs 3-1 87.6%
Old Dominion 72, Miami (OH) 87 [15] 63-74 ✗ MAE: 11.0
BET UNDER 151.5		 Miami (OH) (87%) 2-2 vs 3-0 87.4%
Purdue Fort Wayne 71, Grand Canyon 90 [19] 75-87 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET OVER 155.5		 Grand Canyon (87%) 2-3 vs 2-2 87.0%
Montana State 78, Colorado 84 [6] 62-74 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET UNDER 147.5		 Colorado (87%) 1-4 vs 3-0 86.6%
Charleston Southern 67, Virginia Tech 98 [31] 58-71 ✗ MAE: 18.1
BET UNDER 143.5		 Virginia Tech (86%) 2-3 vs 4-0 86.4%
Maine 47, George Washington 67 [20] 61-74 ✗ MAE: 10.5
BET UNDER 144.5		 George Washington (86%) 0-4 vs 4-0 86.1%
Wofford 46, George Mason 70 [24] 64-69 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET UNDER 140.5		 George Mason (86%) 2-2 vs 4-0 85.7%
Denver 73, Seattle U 84 [11] 61-72 ✗ MAE: 12.2
BET UNDER 137.5		 Seattle U (85%) 1-3 vs 3-1 85.4%
Florida A&M 67, South Florida 102 [35] 53-80 ✗ MAE: 17.9
BET UNDER 152.5		 South Florida (84%) 0-4 vs 3-1 83.5%
Boston University 76, Northeastern 75 [1] 57-65 ✗ MAE: 14.5
BET UNDER 142.5		 Northeastern (83%) 2-2 vs 2-2 83.5%
Cleveland State 88, Loyola Chicago 91 [3] 63-76 ✗ MAE: 19.6
BET UNDER 151.5		 Loyola Chicago (83%) 2-3 vs 1-4 82.7%
Tennessee Tech 70, Western Kentucky 82 [12] 63-80 ✓ MAE: 4.7
BET UNDER 153.5		 Western Kentucky (82%) 2-3 vs 3-0 82.0%
James Madison 71, Akron 85 [14] 69-85 ✓ MAE: 1.1
O/U: 153.5		 Akron (81%) 2-3 vs 3-1 81.4%
Southeast Missouri State 67, Saint Louis 92 [25] 66-81 ✓ MAE: 6.0
BET UNDER 153.5		 Saint Louis (81%) 1-3 vs 4-0 80.8%
Saint Peter's 50, Seton Hall 77 [27] 53-63 ✗ MAE: 8.6
BET UNDER 128.5		 Seton Hall (80%) 1-2 vs 4-0 80.0%
Villanova 66, BYU 71 [5] 69-79 ✓ MAE: 5.5
BET UNDER 153.5		 BYU (79%) 3-1 vs 3-1 79.3%
Utah Tech 81, South Dakota 79 [2] 66-81 ✗ MAE: 8.5
BET UNDER 164.5		 South Dakota (79%) 3-4 vs 3-2 78.7%
Boston College 78, Florida Atlantic 83 [5] 66-82 ✓ MAE: 6.5
O/U: 148.5		 Florida Atlantic (76%) 2-2 vs 3-1 75.7%
Towson 67, Loyola Maryland 56 [11] 63-57 ✓ MAE: 2.6
BET UNDER 141.5		 Towson (75%) 3-1 vs 2-3 74.7%
North Dakota State 65, Oregon State 67 [2] 70-79 ✗ MAE: 8.2
BET OVER 143.5		 Oregon State (74%) 2-2 vs 3-0 74.0%
Furman 71, High Point 97 [26] 73-81 ✗ MAE: 8.9
O/U: 153.5		 High Point (74%) 1-3 vs 4-1 73.6%
Hampton 86, Milwaukee 90 [4] 64-75 ✗ MAE: 18.6
BET UNDER 144.5		 Milwaukee (73%) 3-2 vs 2-3 73.3%
Coastal Carolina 71, Western Michigan 76 [5] 57-69 ✗ MAE: 10.4
BET UNDER 145.5		 Western Michigan (70%) 2-2 vs 2-3 69.6%
Navy 76, Presbyterian 55 [21] 58-71 ✗ MAE: 17.0
BET UNDER 141.5		 Presbyterian (69%) 2-2 vs 3-3 69.4%
Louisiana 64, Ball State 75 [11] 60-72 ✓ MAE: 3.4
BET UNDER 141.5		 Ball State (69%) 1-3 vs 2-2 69.0%
Jacksonville 69, Miami 86 [17] 60-77 ✗ MAE: 8.9
BET UNDER 142.5		 Miami (68%) 2-2 vs 3-1 67.8%
Queens University 74, Winthrop 81 [7] 73-86 ✓ MAE: 2.7
BET UNDER 163.5		 Winthrop (66%) 2-3 vs 2-2 66.0%
Arkansas State 89, Ohio 85 [4] 80-75 ✗ MAE: 9.1
BET UNDER 159.5		 Arkansas State (63%) 3-1 vs 1-3 63.2%
Troy 103, Kent State 97 [6] 65-76 ✗ MAE: 29.7
O/U: 142.5		 Kent State (63%) 3-2 vs 4-1 62.7%
Bryant 66, Siena 82 [16] 74-70 ✗ MAE: 10.0
BET UNDER 151.5		 Bryant (62%) 1-3 vs 2-2 61.6%
Samford 72, Tulane 85 [13] 73-77 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET UNDER 154.5		 Tulane (61%) 3-2 vs 3-1 61.4%
Delaware 70, Bucknell 78 [8] 72-77 ✓ MAE: 1.5
O/U: 149.5		 Bucknell (61%) 0-3 vs 2-3 61.0%
South Alabama 76, Toledo 74 [2] 76-66 ✓ MAE: 4.1
BET UNDER 150.5		 South Alabama (59%) 5-0 vs 2-2 59.2%
South Dakota State 75, Merrimack 66 [9] 59-65 ✗ MAE: 8.4
BET UNDER 143.5		 South Dakota State (59%) 3-2 vs 1-3 59.2%
UL Monroe 82, Northern Illinois 102 [20] 59-71 ✗ MAE: 27.1
BET UNDER 147.5		 Northern Illinois (59%) 1-4 vs 2-2 58.9%
Georgia State 49, Eastern Michigan 71 [22] 64-73 ✗ MAE: 8.6
BET UNDER 149.5		 Eastern Michigan (57%) 1-3 vs 1-2 56.7%
Southern Miss 79, Buffalo 85 [6] 72-62 ✗ MAE: 15.1
BET UNDER 153.5		 Southern Miss (57%) 1-3 vs 4-0 56.5%
Bradley 63, St. Bonaventure 69 [6] 69-73 ✓ MAE: 4.8
BET OVER 139.5		 St. Bonaventure (55%) 1-3 vs 4-0 55.2%
Marshall 78, Massachusetts 72 [6] 75-68 ✓ MAE: 3.3
BET UNDER 152.5		 Marshall (54%) 3-1 vs 3-1 53.8%
Texas State 48, Bowling Green 83 [35] 75-70 ✗ MAE: 20.2
O/U: 146.5		 Texas State (54%) 3-2 vs 3-1 53.6%
Indiana State 76, Charlotte 92 [16] 75-68 ✗ MAE: 12.2
BET UNDER 152.5		 Indiana State (51%) 2-2 vs 2-2 51.4%
Florida 87, Arizona 93 [6] 83-78 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET UNDER 163.5		 Florida (51%) 3-1 vs 4-0 51.0%
Omaha 77, Murray State 85 [8] 74-68 ✗ MAE: 10.2
BET UNDER 153.5		 Omaha (51%) 1-3 vs 3-1 50.6%
App State 66, Central Michigan 82 [16] 71-60 ✗ MAE: 13.8
BET UNDER 142.5		 App State (50%) 3-2 vs 2-2 50.1%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
14
Completed
14
Covered
7
Failed
7
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-60
ROI
-4.6%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
14
O/U Wins
6
O/U Losses
8
O/U Win Rate
42.9%
O/U Profit
$-250
O/U ROI
-18.2%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-9.5%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Boston College 78 @ Florida Atlantic 83 Florida Atlantic (75.7%) -1.5 +15.5 +17.0 +5.0 COVERED
Utah Tech 81 @ South Dakota 79 South Dakota (78.7%) -1.5 +13.6 +15.1 -2.0 FAILED
Hofstra 78 @ UCF 82 UCF (91.0%) -8.5 +11.4 +19.9 +4.0 FAILED
Coastal Carolina 71 @ Western Michigan 76 Western Michigan (69.6%) -2.5 +9.8 +12.3 +5.0 COVERED
Navy 76 @ Presbyterian 55 Presbyterian (69.4%) DOG +3.5 +9.6 +13.1 -21.0 FAILED
Northern Arizona 71 @ Drake 77 Drake (93.4%) -8.5 +9.4 +17.9 +6.0 FAILED
Queens University 74 @ Winthrop 81 Winthrop (66.0%) -3.5 +8.9 +12.4 +7.0 COVERED
James Madison 71 @ Akron 85 Akron (81.4%) -8.5 +7.2 +15.7 +14.0 COVERED
Louisiana 64 @ Ball State 75 Ball State (69.0%) -4.5 +6.7 +11.2 +11.0 COVERED
Boston University 76 @ Northeastern 75 Northeastern (83.5%) -2.5 +5.9 +8.4 -1.0 FAILED
Hampton 86 @ Milwaukee 90 Milwaukee (73.3%) -6.5 +4.8 +11.3 +4.0 FAILED
Furman 71 @ High Point 97 High Point (73.6%) DOG +3.5 +4.7 +8.2 +26.0 COVERED
San José State 75 @ Utah 84 Utah (90.2%) -11.5 +4.2 +15.7 +9.0 FAILED
Old Dominion 72 @ Miami (OH) 87 Miami (OH) (87.4%) -7.5 +4.1 +11.6 +15.0 COVERED
Value & Parlays

Parlay Suggestion (Top 3 Spread Edges)

3-Leg Parlay
+595 odds
LOST
$-100
$100 bet → $695.7 payout
SMU -21.5
Edge +16.3
✗ FAILED
Florida Atlantic -1.5
Edge +15.5
✓ COVERED
South Dakota -1.5
Edge +13.6
✗ FAILED

4-Leg Parlay (+1000 to +1500 odds)

4-Leg Parlay #1
+1228 odds
LOST
Missouri -20.5
✓ WON
Washington -34.5
✓ WON
NC State -31.5
✓ WON
SMU -21.5
✗ LOST

3-Leg Parlays (+500 to +700 odds)

3-Leg Parlay #1
+595 odds
WON
Florida Atlantic -1.5
✓
USC -24.5
✓
Virginia -26.5
✓
3-Leg Parlay #2
+595 odds
LOST
South Dakota -1.5
✗
Louisville -35.5
✓
Illinois -28.5
✓

2-Leg Parlays (+250 to +350 odds)

2-Leg Parlay #1
+264 odds
LOST
Ohio State -33.5
✗
UCF -8.5
✗
2-Leg Parlay #2
+264 odds
LOST
Vanderbilt -26.5
✓
Georgetown -27.5
✗
2-Leg Parlay #3
+264 odds
LOST
Minnesota -25.5
✓
App State +1.5
✗

Moneyline Value (edge ≥ 5%)

No moneyline value picks met the 5%+ edge criteria.

Spread Gaps (|predicted margin - spread| ≥ 8.0)

Missouri -20.5
Gap +20.1
✓ COVERED
Washington -34.5
Gap +18.3
✓ COVERED
NC State -31.5
Gap +16.7
✓ COVERED
SMU -21.5
Gap +16.3
✗ FAILED

Totals Gaps (|predicted total - O/U| ≥ 8.0)

Under 152.5
Gap +16.4
✓ WON (145)
Under 146.5
Gap +9.1
✓ WON (126)
Under 145.5
Gap +20.4
✗ LOST (161)
Under 157.5
Gap +9.1
✓ WON (148)