Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-04
All Games Summary
Total Picks
34
Final results
34
Correct picks
32
Incorrect picks
2
Pending
0
Accuracy
94.1%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (34)
West Coast Baptist (0-3) 35, Utah Valley (16-6) 116 [81] 69-83 ✗ MAE: 33.5 Utah Valley (94.5%)
Lindenwood (14-10) 60, Texas Tech #13 (16-6) 98 [38] 62-89 ✓ MAE: 5.5
BET OVER 148.5		 Texas Tech (83.1%)
Nicholls (10-13) 51, Kentucky (15-7) 77 [26] 64-86 ✗ MAE: 11.2
BET UNDER 156.5		 Kentucky (83.0%)
Long Beach State (8-15) 45, San Diego State (16-6) 77 [32] 68-83 ✗ MAE: 14.5
BET OVER 135.5		 San Diego State (82.8%)
Alcorn State (4-17) 76, Florida State (10-12) 108 [32] 64-85 ✗ MAE: 17.3
BET UNDER 156.5		 Florida State (82.7%)
North Carolina A&T (9-12) 72, South Carolina (11-12) 91 [19] 66-79 ✗ MAE: 9.2
O/U: 143.5		 South Carolina (82.0%)
Robert Morris (15-10) 69, Iowa (16-5) 101 [32] 68-81 ✗ MAE: 10.5
BET OVER 136.5		 Iowa (82.0%)
Mount St. Mary's (10-14) 54, West Virginia (14-8) 70 [16] 63-73 ✓ MAE: 6.0
O/U: 136.5		 West Virginia (81.9%)
Humboldt State (0-1) 53, Santa Clara (19-5) 83 [30] 67-75 ✗ MAE: 10.6 Santa Clara (81.7%)
East-West University (0-3) 50, SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 119 [69] 74-83 ✗ MAE: 29.8 SIU Edwardsville (81.7%)
Adams State (0-1) 72, New Mexico State (10-11) 83 [11] 73-74 ✓ MAE: 5.1 New Mexico State (81.7%)
Arkansas Baptist (0-3) 63, Little Rock (9-14) 92 [29] 69-70 ✗ MAE: 14.1 Little Rock (81.7%)
San Francisco State (0-2) 67, UC Santa Barbara (15-7) 98 [31] 70-79 ✗ MAE: 10.9 UC Santa Barbara (81.7%)
Converse University (0-1) 50, East Tennessee State (16-7) 102 [52] 70-78 ✗ MAE: 21.9 East Tennessee State (81.7%)
Oral Roberts (5-19) 71, Oklahoma State (15-6) 95 [24] 72-85 ✓ MAE: 5.6
BET UNDER 165.5		 Oklahoma State (81.6%)
UNC Greensboro (9-15) 64, Kansas State (10-12) 93 [29] 72-82 ✗ MAE: 10.0
BET OVER 148.5		 Kansas State (80.9%)
Park University Gilbert (0-1) 71, Idaho State (10-13) 81 [10] 73-75 ✓ MAE: 4.0 Idaho State (80.8%)
Merchant Marine Academy (0-1) 46, Sacred Heart (10-14) 103 [57] 66-76 ✗ MAE: 23.3 Sacred Heart (80.7%)
St. Joseph's (NY) (0-1) 59, Manhattan (9-15) 125 [66] 80-92 ✗ MAE: 27.2 Manhattan (80.7%)
Missouri Southern State (0-1) 70, Missouri State (13-9) 88 [18] 67-75 ✓ MAE: 7.9 Missouri State (80.6%)
Caldwell (0-1) 68, Monmouth (11-12) 96 [28] 72-80 ✗ MAE: 10.0 Monmouth (80.6%)
Occidental (0-1) 59, San Diego (10-14) 88 [29] 66-74 ✗ MAE: 10.0 San Diego (80.4%)
Dominican (CA) (0-2) 79, Sacramento State (9-13) 103 [24] 75-84 ✗ MAE: 11.2 Sacramento State (80.4%)
Portland State (15-6) 79, Stanford (14-8) 89 [10] 72-74 ✗ MAE: 11.0
O/U: 144.5		 Stanford (80.2%)
College Of Biblical Studies (0-9) 38, Rice (9-13) 109 [71] 70-80 ✗ MAE: 30.6 Rice (80.2%)
UNC Asheville (11-13) 58, Wichita State (13-9) 75 [17] 73-71 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET UNDER 156.5		 Wichita State (80.0%)
Southern Utah (8-15) 64, Arizona State (11-11) 81 [17] 71-80 ✓ MAE: 4.0
O/U: 151.5		 Arizona State (79.9%)
Hawai'i (16-5) 59, Oregon (8-14) 60 [1] 69-72 ✗ MAE: 11.1
BET UNDER 144.5		 Oregon (79.9%)
UNLV (10-12) 81, UT Martin (18-5) 86 [5] 63-74 ✗ MAE: 14.6
BET UNDER 145.5		 UNLV (79.8%)
Louisiana Tech (12-9) 50, Nevada (16-7) 77 [27] 65-66 ✗ MAE: 13.0
BET UNDER 136.5		 Nevada (78.8%)
Fordham (12-11) 61, NJIT (11-12) 72 [11] 63-70 ✗ MAE: 9.0
BET UNDER 147.5		 Fordham (78.8%)
Texas (14-9) 60, Duke #4 (21-1) 75 [15] 77-78 ✗ MAE: 10.0
O/U: 153.5		 Duke (78.6%)
Eastern Illinois (9-14) 63, Valparaiso (11-12) 66 [3] 67-65 ✓ MAE: 2.5
BET UNDER 144.5		 Valparaiso (76.2%)
Georgia Southern (14-10) 89, East Carolina (7-15) 92 [3] 76-73 ✗ MAE: 15.9
BET UNDER 151.5		 East Carolina (75.9%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
34
Final results
34
Correct picks
32
Incorrect picks
2
Pending
0
Accuracy
94.1%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
6
ATS Wins
1
ATS Losses
5
ATS Win Rate
16.7%
Spread Profit
$-41
Spread ROI
-68.2%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-35.7%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
19
O/U Wins
10
O/U Losses
9
O/U Win Rate
52.6%
O/U Profit
$1
O/U ROI
0.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+0.2%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
3
Completed
3
Covered
1
Failed
2
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-109
ROI
-36.4%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
3
O/U Wins
2
O/U Losses
1
O/U Win Rate
66.7%
O/U Profit
$82
O/U ROI
27.3%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+14.3%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Georgia Southern 89 @ East Carolina 92 East Carolina (75.9%) East Carolina -5.5 +9.2 -3.7 +3.0 FAILED
Eastern Illinois 63 @ Valparaiso 66 Valparaiso (76.2%) Valparaiso -6.5 +8.5 -2.0 +3.0 FAILED
UNC Asheville 58 @ Wichita State 75 Wichita State (80.0%) Wichita State -6.5 +8.4 -1.9 +17.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No underdog moneyline bets met the plus-money requirement today.

75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 5% edge filter today.

10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No positive EV moneyline bets identified today.