Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-05
All Games Summary
Total Picks
8
Final results
8
Correct picks
7
Incorrect picks
1
Pending
0
Accuracy
87.5%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (8)
Southern (9-13) 82, Marquette (8-15) 100 [18] 68-83 ✗ MAE: 15.5
BET UNDER 155.5		 Marquette (83.1%)
Maryland Eastern Shore (8-16) 29, Georgia (16-6) 94 [65] 59-87 ✗ MAE: 18.6
BET OVER 142.5		 Georgia (83.0%)
Northwest Indian (0-3) 44, Montana State (13-10) 114 [70] 74-84 ✗ MAE: 30.0 Montana State (81.7%)
Texas A&M-San Antonio (0-2) 55, Texas State (14-11) 114 [59] 74-80 ✗ MAE: 26.0 Texas State (81.6%)
Bethesda University (0-7) 65, Utah Tech (13-11) 110 [45] 76-85 ✗ MAE: 18.2 Utah Tech (80.6%)
Eastern Washington (5-17) 62, Loyola Marymount (12-13) 70 [8] 74-73 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 154.5		 Loyola Marymount (75.8%)
Fresno State (11-11) 66, South Carolina Upstate (10-14) 67 [1] 72-73 ✓ MAE: 6.0
BET UNDER 164.5		 Fresno State (75.6%)
North Dakota State (19-5) 68, UC Davis (13-9) 80 [12] 80-74 ✗ MAE: 9.3
BET OVER 143.5		 UC Davis (73.5%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
8
Final results
8
Correct picks
7
Incorrect picks
1
Pending
0
Accuracy
87.5%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
4
ATS Wins
2
ATS Losses
2
ATS Win Rate
50.0%
Spread Profit
$-2
Spread ROI
-4.6%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-2.4%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
11
O/U Wins
6
O/U Losses
5
O/U Win Rate
54.5%
O/U Profit
$5
O/U ROI
4.1%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+2.1%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
2
Completed
2
Covered
1
Failed
1
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-9
ROI
-4.5%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
2
O/U Wins
2
O/U Losses
0
O/U Win Rate
100.0%
O/U Profit
$182
O/U ROI
90.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+47.6%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Eastern Washington 62 @ Loyola Marymount 70 Loyola Marymount (75.8%) Loyola Marymount -8.5 +9.6 -1.1 +8.0 FAILED
North Dakota State 68 @ UC Davis 80 UC Davis (73.5%) UC Davis -1.5 +8.1 -6.6 +12.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No underdog moneyline bets met the plus-money requirement today.

75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 5% edge filter today.

10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No positive EV moneyline bets identified today.