Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-06
All Games Summary
Total Picks
22
Final results
22
Correct picks
18
Incorrect picks
4
Pending
0
Accuracy
81.8%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (22)
Jackson State (6-16) 70, Louisville #24 (16-6) 106 [36] 61-90 ✗ MAE: 12.2
BET UNDER 164.5		 Louisville (83.1%)
Grambling (10-11) 62, Iowa State #7 (20-2) 102 [40] 58-82 ✗ MAE: 12.0
BET UNDER 142.5		 Iowa State (83.0%)
Texas Southern (6-14) 70, Texas A&M (17-5) 104 [34] 73-93 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET OVER 162.5		 Texas A&M (83.0%)
Le Moyne (11-12) 69, Xavier (12-11) 74 [5] 65-83 ✓ MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 157.5		 Xavier (82.9%)
Merrimack (14-9) 57, Auburn (14-8) 95 [38] 67-84 ✗ MAE: 10.6
BET OVER 146.5		 Auburn (82.8%)
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (12-11) 58, SMU (15-7) 69 [11] 67-84 ✗ MAE: 11.9
BET UNDER 159.5		 SMU (82.7%)
Chicago State (2-19) 86, Saint Louis #19 (22-1) 108 [22] 67-88 ✗ MAE: 19.4
O/U: 154.5		 Saint Louis (82.5%)
St. Francis (PA) (6-15) 63, TCU (13-9) 104 [41] 62-82 ✗ MAE: 11.2
BET UNDER 152.5		 TCU (82.4%)
Denver (9-15) 70, Washington (12-11) 84 [14] 70-91 ✓ MAE: 3.8
BET OVER 155.5		 Washington (82.4%)
Loyola Chicago (6-18) 65, Mercyhurst (11-12) 73 [8] 60-74 ✗ MAE: 10.9
BET UNDER 145.5		 Loyola Chicago (81.9%)
Alcorn State (4-17) 70, South Alabama (16-7) 76 [6] 65-74 ✓ MAE: 3.4
BET UNDER 141.5		 South Alabama (81.0%)
Campbell (10-13) 65, West Virginia (14-8) 73 [8] 68-75 ✓ MAE: 2.4
BET OVER 138.5		 West Virginia (79.5%)
Wright State (15-9) 67, California (17-6) 77 [10] 71-77 ✓ MAE: 2.1
BET UNDER 151.5		 California (79.2%)
Bethune-Cookman (11-11) 61, Miami (17-5) 101 [40] 75-84 ✗ MAE: 15.5
BET OVER 156.5		 Miami (79.0%)
The Citadel (8-15) 47, Boston College (9-13) 76 [29] 64-72 ✗ MAE: 10.6
BET UNDER 143.5		 Boston College (78.8%)
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9-13) 74, Portland (11-14) 83 [9] 75-79 ✓ MAE: 2.4
BET UNDER 164.5		 Portland (78.6%)
North Dakota (13-12) 70, UC Riverside (8-15) 74 [4] 74-72 ✓ MAE: 1.1
BET UNDER 148.5		 North Dakota (78.6%)
Drake (12-12) 79, Robert Morris (15-10) 81 [2] 74-73 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET UNDER 150.5		 Drake (77.9%)
Northwestern State (6-16) 53, North Texas (12-11) 80 [27] 65-68 ✗ MAE: 12.4
BET UNDER 137.5		 North Texas (77.1%)
Omaha (12-12) 71, Abilene Christian (10-11) 73 [2] 72-70 ✓ MAE: 1.6
BET UNDER 151.5		 Abilene Christian (76.5%)
IU Indianapolis (6-18) 90, Long Island University (14-8) 94 [4] 79-74 ✗ MAE: 15.1
BET UNDER 183.5		 IU Indianapolis (74.7%)
Central Connecticut (11-10) 49, Quinnipiac (15-9) 71 [22] 72-72 ✗ MAE: 11.9
BET UNDER 150.5		 Quinnipiac (74.5%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
22
Final results
22
Correct picks
18
Incorrect picks
4
Pending
0
Accuracy
81.8%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
12
ATS Wins
8
ATS Losses
4
ATS Win Rate
66.7%
Spread Profit
$33
Spread ROI
27.3%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+14.3%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
24
O/U Wins
14
O/U Losses
10
O/U Win Rate
58.3%
O/U Profit
$27
O/U ROI
11.4%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+5.9%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
3
Completed
3
Covered
1
Failed
2
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-109
ROI
-36.4%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
3
O/U Wins
1
O/U Losses
2
O/U Win Rate
33.3%
O/U Profit
$-109
O/U ROI
-36.4%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-19.1%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Central Connecticut 49 @ Quinnipiac 71 Quinnipiac (74.5%) Quinnipiac -8.5 +9.1 -0.6 +22.0 COVERED
Robert Morris 81 @ Drake 79 Drake (77.9%) Drake -7.5 +8.2 -0.7 -2.0 FAILED
Long Island University 94 @ IU Indianapolis 90 IU Indianapolis (74.7%) IU Indianapolis -2.5 +7.4 -4.9 -4.0 FAILED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No underdog moneyline bets met the plus-money requirement today.

75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 5% edge filter today.

10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No positive EV moneyline bets identified today.