Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-07
All Games Summary
Total Picks
52
Final results
52
Correct picks
41
Incorrect picks
11
Pending
0
Accuracy
78.8%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (52)
Mississippi Valley State (1-21) 60, Murray State (17-7) 108 [48] 62-92 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET UNDER 159.2		 Murray State (96.3%)
Sam Houston (16-7) 77, Texas Tech #13 (16-6) 98 [21] 69-94 ✓ MAE: 5.9
BET OVER 156.5		 Texas Tech (83.1%)
Northern Illinois (7-14) 72, Wisconsin (16-6) 97 [25] 66-85 ✗ MAE: 9.2
BET UNDER 157.2		 Wisconsin (83.1%)
Oakland (14-11) 77, Purdue #12 (18-4) 87 [10] 70-93 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET OVER 159.8		 Purdue (83.1%)
UMass Lowell (9-14) 47, UConn #3 (22-1) 110 [63] 58-87 ✗ MAE: 17.2
BET UNDER 151.2		 UConn (83.1%)
Utah Tech (13-11) 67, Arizona #1 (22-0) 93 [26] 67-93 ✓ MAE: 0.4
BET UNDER 162.5		 Arizona (83.0%)
Florida Gulf Coast (10-13) 70, Illinois #5 (20-3) 113 [43] 70-90 ✗ MAE: 11.4
O/U: 160.5		 Illinois (83.0%)
Pepperdine (6-18) 63, UCLA (16-7) 74 [11] 62-84 ✓ MAE: 5.3
BET UNDER 152.2		 UCLA (83.0%)
Gardner-Webb (3-21) 59, Clemson #20 (19-4) 97 [38] 60-80 ✗ MAE: 9.4
BET UNDER 146.5		 Clemson (83.0%)
Valparaiso (11-12) 59, Kentucky (16-7) 107 [48] 61-85 ✗ MAE: 12.0
BET UNDER 157.5		 Kentucky (83.0%)
UL Monroe (4-20) 65, Ole Miss (11-11) 86 [21] 56-85 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET UNDER 149.5		 Ole Miss (83.0%)
Southeast Missouri State (13-10) 84, Missouri (15-7) 89 [5] 66-84 ✗ MAE: 11.7
BET UNDER 157.5		 Missouri (82.9%)
Purdue Fort Wayne (14-10) 68, Ohio State (14-7) 94 [26] 68-86 ✓ MAE: 4.0
BET UNDER 160.5		 Ohio State (82.9%)
Georgia State (9-15) 64, Cincinnati (11-11) 74 [10] 58-82 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET UNDER 150.5		 Cincinnati (82.8%)
Western Illinois (4-19) 58, Iowa (17-5) 77 [19] 59-83 ✓ MAE: 3.3
BET UNDER 145.5		 Iowa (82.8%)
North Carolina Central (8-12) 62, Virginia #18 (19-3) 81 [19] 60-87 ✓ MAE: 4.0
BET UNDER 151.5		 Virginia (82.4%)
Morehead State (12-11) 65, Wake Forest (11-11) 81 [16] 68-82 ✓ MAE: 1.8
BET UNDER 152.2		 Wake Forest (82.3%)
Wagner (7-13) 61, Seton Hall (16-7) 68 [7] 61-74 ✓ MAE: 3.0
O/U: 133.8		 Seton Hall (82.0%)
Stonehill (9-14) 64, DePaul (12-11) 72 [8] 60-76 ✓ MAE: 3.9
BET UNDER 147.0		 DePaul (82.0%)
Detroit Mercy (10-12) 70, Notre Dame (11-12) 102 [32] 65-79 ✗ MAE: 13.9
BET UNDER 147.5		 Notre Dame (82.0%)
Northwest Indian (0-3) 74, Portland State (15-6) 122 [48] 73-82 ✗ MAE: 20.4 Portland State (81.5%)
Boston University (9-15) 52, Northwestern (10-13) 76 [24] 70-79 ✗ MAE: 10.1
BET OVER 136.5		 Northwestern (80.4%)
UAB (14-8) 70, NC State (17-6) 94 [24] 73-84 ✓ MAE: 6.8
BET UNDER 162.5		 NC State (80.4%)
Longwood (13-12) 60, Pittsburgh (9-14) 78 [18] 71-75 ✓ MAE: 6.9
O/U: 145.2		 Pittsburgh (80.1%)
Rice (10-13) 63, Oregon (8-14) 67 [4] 70-77 ✗ MAE: 8.5
O/U: 145.5		 Oregon (79.3%)
Chattanooga (9-14) 66, Saint Mary's (20-4) 87 [21] 69-74 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET UNDER 145.5		 Saint Mary's (78.3%)
Grand Canyon (15-7) 81, Youngstown State (12-12) 90 [9] 71-79 ✗ MAE: 10.7
BET UNDER 152.5		 Grand Canyon (78.1%)
South Carolina State (6-16) 72, Samford (11-12) 82 [10] 73-77 ✓ MAE: 2.8
BET UNDER 154.2		 Samford (77.3%)
Kansas City (4-20) 78, Southern Illinois (10-13) 101 [23] 70-73 ✗ MAE: 17.8
O/U: 141.5		 Southern Illinois (77.0%)
Tennessee Tech (9-14) 65, Charlotte (13-10) 70 [5] 73-75 ✓ MAE: 6.5
O/U: 147.5		 Charlotte (76.4%)
Sacred Heart (10-14) 80, Duquesne (13-10) 92 [12] 74-77 ✗ MAE: 10.4
BET UNDER 157.5		 Duquesne (76.2%)
Bryant (7-15) 45, Georgia Tech (11-12) 74 [29] 67-73 ✗ MAE: 11.4
O/U: 138.8		 Georgia Tech (76.0%)
Winthrop (17-8) 90, George Mason (20-3) 96 [6] 75-76 ✗ MAE: 17.4
BET OVER 146.2		 George Mason (75.8%)
Kansas #11 (17-5) 74, North Carolina #14 (18-4) 87 [13] 75-70 ✗ MAE: 9.0
BET UNDER 159.2		 North Carolina (75.4%)
UC Irvine (15-7) 61, California Baptist (16-6) 69 [8] 70-72 ✓ MAE: 6.0
BET UNDER 146.5		 UC Irvine (74.1%)
Charleston (15-8) 75, Liberty (19-3) 90 [15] 74-74 ✗ MAE: 8.5
BET OVER 145.5		 Liberty (73.8%)
Maryland (8-13) 60, Georgetown (13-10) 70 [10] 75-70 ✓ MAE: 7.6
O/U: 144.5		 Maryland (70.4%)
UTSA (4-18) 60, SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 77 [17] 72-69 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET UNDER 152.8		 UTSA (69.7%)
McNeese (18-5) 67, Santa Clara (20-5) 79 [12] 77-75 ✓ MAE: 7.1
O/U: 151.5		 Santa Clara (69.1%)
UIC (13-11) 73, Oregon State (13-12) 76 [3] 72-70 ✓ MAE: 3.6
BET UNDER 147.5		 Oregon State (68.8%)
Green Bay (13-12) 76, Buffalo (14-9) 83 [7] 74-74 ✓ MAE: 5.1
O/U: 147.5		 Buffalo (68.3%)
Washington State (11-14) 69, Davidson (13-9) 85 [16] 71-69 ✗ MAE: 9.0
BET UNDER 153.5		 Davidson (63.2%)
Colgate (14-10) 65, Northeastern (6-15) 68 [3] 76-74 ✗ MAE: 8.6
BET OVER 147.5		 Colgate (62.4%)
SE Louisiana (6-17) 52, Louisiana (8-16) 58 [6] 64-64 ✗ MAE: 9.0
BET UNDER 136.5		 Louisiana (62.3%)
Rhode Island (13-9) 65, Tulsa (20-3) 82 [17] 76-71 ✓ MAE: 5.7
BET UNDER 153.8		 Rhode Island (62.1%)
San Diego (10-15) 68, Idaho State (10-13) 71 [3] 77-72 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET UNDER 152.5		 San Diego (62.1%)
VCU (17-6) 77, Utah State (19-3) 80 [3] 82-77 ✓ MAE: 3.9
BET UNDER 164.0		 Utah State (60.1%)
Furman (16-8) 61, Troy (16-8) 64 [3] 79-73 ✗ MAE: 13.4
O/U: 152.8		 Furman (58.9%)
Mount St. Mary's (10-14) 62, Bucknell (8-16) 73 [11] 70-68 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET UNDER 143.5		 Mount St. Mary's (58.7%)
Southern Indiana (5-17) 74, VMI (6-18) 78 [4] 75-71 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 153.5		 Southern Indiana (52.5%) DOG
Nicholls (10-13) 57, Eastern Illinois (9-14) 65 [8] 74-68 ✗ MAE: 10.1
BET OVER 135.2		 Eastern Illinois (50.8%) DOG
Arkansas State (14-10) 65, Stephen F. Austin (20-3) 90 [25] 74-77 ✗ MAE: 11.2
BET UNDER 155.2		 Arkansas State (50.5%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
52
Final results
52
Correct picks
41
Incorrect picks
11
Pending
0
Accuracy
78.8%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
38
ML Win Rate
63.2%
ML Profit
$-69
ML ROI
-18.3%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$127
ROI
127.5%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$27
ROI
13.7%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
29
ATS Wins
10
ATS Losses
19
ATS Win Rate
34.5%
Spread Profit
$-99
Spread ROI
-34.2%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-17.9%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
45
O/U Wins
25
O/U Losses
20
O/U Win Rate
55.6%
O/U Profit
$27
O/U ROI
6.1%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+3.2%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
3
Completed
3
Covered
2
Failed
1
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$82
ROI
27.3%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
3
O/U Wins
1
O/U Losses
2
O/U Win Rate
33.3%
O/U Profit
$-109
O/U ROI
-36.4%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-19.1%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Georgetown 70 @ Maryland 60 Maryland (70.4%) Maryland -4.8 +9.4 -4.6 -10.0 FAILED
Charleston 75 @ Liberty 90 Liberty (73.8%) Liberty -8.5 +8.5 +0.0 +15.0 COVERED
Kansas #11 74 @ North Carolina #14 87 North Carolina (75.4%) North Carolina -2.5 +7.5 -5.0 +13.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$127
ROI
127.5%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Nicholls 57, Eastern Illinois 65 [8] Eastern Illinois 50.8% +127 +8.3% WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$27
ROI
13.7%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Nicholls 57, Eastern Illinois 65 [8] Eastern Illinois 50.8% +127 +8.3% WIN
Mount St. Mary's 62, Bucknell 73 [11] Mount St. Mary's 58.7% -125 +5.5% LOSS
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Stonehill @ DePaul Stonehill 18.0% +4000 +15.6% LOSS
Utah Tech @ Arizona Utah Tech 17.0% +4000 +14.6% LOSS
Northern Illinois @ Wisconsin Northern Illinois 16.9% +4000 +14.5% LOSS