Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-08
All Games Summary
Total Picks
59
Final results
59
Correct picks
49
Incorrect picks
10
Pending
0
Accuracy
83.1%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (59)
Lafayette (7-17) 60, Texas (14-9) 97 [37] 72-87 ✗ MAE: 11.0
BET OVER 152.5		 Texas (96.8%)
Alcorn State (4-17) 50, Minnesota (11-12) 95 [45] 59-83 ✗ MAE: 10.5
BET UNDER 152.5		 Minnesota (95.9%)
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9-13) 72, Loyola Marymount (12-13) 94 [22] 67-85 ✓ MAE: 6.8
BET UNDER 157.2		 Loyola Marymount (95.6%)
Canisius (8-16) 70, St. Bonaventure (13-10) 89 [19] 65-79 ✓ MAE: 7.8
BET OVER 136.8		 St. Bonaventure (95.4%)
IU Indianapolis (6-18) 80, Butler (13-10) 112 [32] 75-86 ✗ MAE: 15.6
BET UNDER 192.2		 Butler (95.3%)
Queens University (12-11) 74, Villanova (17-5) 94 [20] 75-83 ✓ MAE: 5.9
BET OVER 150.5		 Villanova (93.2%)
Eastern Washington (5-17) 97, Colorado (13-10) 102 [5] 76-82 ✗ MAE: 20.5
BET OVER 152.8		 Colorado (89.6%)
Texas State (14-11) 71, Tulane (13-9) 79 [8] 70-74 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 146.8		 Tulane (87.4%)
Northern Kentucky (14-11) 56, Tennessee #25 (16-6) 95 [39] 64-85 ✗ MAE: 8.9
BET OVER 138.2		 Tennessee (83.2%)
Holy Cross (8-16) 53, BYU #16 (17-5) 98 [45] 56-87 ✓ MAE: 7.4
BET UNDER 165.2		 BYU (83.0%)
Western Carolina (8-14) 54, Duke #4 (21-1) 95 [41] 66-94 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET OVER 153.0		 Duke (83.0%)
Towson (13-11) 48, Houston #8 (20-2) 65 [17] 59-77 ✗ MAE: 11.5
BET OVER 130.5		 Houston (83.0%)
UMBC (13-8) 71, Dayton (15-8) 77 [6] 64-83 ✓ MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 154.5		 Dayton (82.9%)
Bellarmine (9-13) 71, Kansas State (10-12) 98 [27] 71-90 ✓ MAE: 4.2
BET UNDER 168.0		 Kansas State (82.9%)
Florida International (11-11) 66, Nebraska #9 (20-2) 96 [30] 70-82 ✗ MAE: 9.0
BET UNDER 156.2		 Nebraska (82.7%)
Delaware State (6-15) 43, Syracuse (13-10) 83 [40] 57-77 ✗ MAE: 10.3
BET UNDER 157.5		 Syracuse (82.6%)
Seattle U (15-9) 71, Cal Poly (9-14) 73 [2] 73-73 ✓ MAE: 1.0
BET UNDER 164.5		 Seattle U (81.7%)
Prairie View A&M (9-13) 62, Wichita State (14-9) 105 [43] 73-83 ✗ MAE: 16.4
O/U: 156.8		 Wichita State (81.2%)
Army (10-14) 76, St. Thomas-Minnesota (19-6) 83 [7] 72-82 ✓ MAE: 2.8
O/U: 151.5		 St. Thomas-Minnesota (80.8%)
Champion Christian (0-6) 63, Central Arkansas (13-10) 110 [47] 83-92 ✗ MAE: 18.8 Central Arkansas (80.5%)
Southern Virginia (0-2) 46, South Carolina Upstate (10-14) 105 [59] 71-78 ✗ MAE: 25.7 South Carolina Upstate (80.5%)
Weber State (11-12) 89, Utah (9-13) 92 [3] 73-82 ✗ MAE: 12.9
BET OVER 148.2		 Utah (79.2%)
Long Beach State (8-15) 62, Fresno State (11-11) 82 [20] 68-83 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET OVER 142.5		 Fresno State (77.9%)
UT Arlington (14-7) 56, New Mexico (18-5) 74 [18] 69-74 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET UNDER 146.0		 New Mexico (77.9%)
Tennessee State (14-8) 79, Belmont (21-3) 87 [8] 74-80 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 158.5		 Belmont (77.2%)
Southern Utah (8-15) 72, UT Rio Grande Valley (12-11) 95 [23] 75-66 ✗ MAE: 13.1
BET UNDER 160.2		 Southern Utah (77.2%) DOG
Utah Valley (16-6) 77, Boise State (14-9) 101 [24] 71-76 ✗ MAE: 15.6
BET UNDER 151.2		 Boise State (76.8%)
Pacific (15-10) 77, Nevada (16-7) 78 [1] 69-72 ✓ MAE: 6.9
O/U: 140.0		 Nevada (76.6%)
UAlbany (7-16) 62, Massachusetts (15-9) 83 [21] 76-75 ✗ MAE: 10.6
BET UNDER 156.5		 Massachusetts (76.0%)
Cal State Fullerton (10-13) 82, Wyoming (13-10) 92 [10] 72-79 ✗ MAE: 11.7
BET UNDER 154.5		 Wyoming (75.8%)
Oklahoma (11-12) 68, Gonzaga #6 (22-2) 83 [15] 81-82 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET UNDER 166.5		 Gonzaga (75.5%)
Drexel (12-11) 65, Saint Joseph's (15-8) 76 [11] 68-69 ✓ MAE: 5.0
O/U: 139.0		 Saint Joseph's (75.3%)
Montana (13-10) 68, Stanford (14-9) 91 [23] 72-76 ✗ MAE: 10.0
BET UNDER 150.5		 Stanford (74.8%)
Central Michigan (7-16) 54, Bradley (16-8) 85 [31] 73-74 ✗ MAE: 14.8
O/U: 147.5		 Bradley (74.0%)
Houston Christian (8-15) 60, UC San Diego (15-8) 78 [18] 70-72 ✓ MAE: 7.7
O/U: 141.0		 UC San Diego (71.9%)
San José State (6-16) 74, UC Santa Barbara (15-7) 85 [11] 73-73 ✓ MAE: 6.4
O/U: 146.5		 UC Santa Barbara (71.4%)
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (12-11) 77, Tarleton State (11-11) 85 [8] 74-70 ✗ MAE: 8.5
BET OVER 142.5		 Tarleton State (70.6%)
East Carolina (7-15) 72, Richmond (13-10) 87 [15] 72-73 ✓ MAE: 7.1
O/U: 143.2		 Richmond (67.2%)
St. John's #22 (17-5) 96, Alabama (15-7) 103 [7] 83-80 ✗ MAE: 17.8
BET UNDER 172.0		 St. John's (67.1%)
Fairleigh Dickinson (7-16) 83, Saint Peter's (12-8) 93 [10] 66-68 ✗ MAE: 21.2
BET UNDER 137.5		 Saint Peter's (66.5%)
New Haven (10-12) 43, Penn State (10-12) 87 [44] 76-64 ✗ MAE: 16.5
BET UNDER 143.8		 Penn State (66.3%)
UNC Greensboro (9-15) 90, Elon (13-10) 92 [2] 80-76 ✗ MAE: 12.8
BET OVER 142.5		 UNC Greensboro (64.3%)
Florida A&M (7-12) 72, Kennesaw State (14-8) 92 [20] 76-74 ✗ MAE: 9.2
BET UNDER 167.0		 Kennesaw State (64.1%)
Monmouth (11-12) 60, La Salle (7-16) 73 [13] 71-67 ✗ MAE: 8.5
BET UNDER 143.8		 La Salle (63.6%)
Maine (5-18) 60, Stony Brook (14-9) 71 [11] 67-62 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET UNDER 132.0		 Stony Brook (63.4%)
UNC Asheville (11-13) 90, Georgia Southern (14-11) 93 [3] 76-77 ✗ MAE: 15.2
BET UNDER 162.5		 Georgia Southern (62.3%)
Arkansas #21 (16-6) 66, Michigan State #10 (19-4) 69 [3] 81-75 ✗ MAE: 10.8
O/U: 155.2		 Michigan State (62.2%)
Binghamton (5-18) 59, Niagara (6-17) 67 [8] 70-68 ✓ MAE: 6.2
O/U: 139.5		 Binghamton (62.0%)
Chattanooga (9-14) 69, UNLV (10-12) 101 [32] 73-71 ✗ MAE: 17.0
BET UNDER 155.2		 UNLV (61.6%)
Norfolk State (10-14) 78, William & Mary (14-8) 81 [3] 72-80 ✓ MAE: 5.5
BET UNDER 158.2		 Norfolk State (60.3%) DOG
East Tennessee State (17-7) 64, Presbyterian (11-13) 68 [4] 69-73 ✓ MAE: 4.9
O/U: 141.8		 East Tennessee State (59.5%)
UCF (17-5) 93, Vanderbilt #15 (19-3) 105 [12] 82-81 ✗ MAE: 17.2
BET UNDER 166.5		 Vanderbilt (58.9%)
Providence (10-13) 101, Virginia Tech (16-7) 107 [6] 79-78 ✗ MAE: 25.7
O/U: 157.5		 Virginia Tech (58.1%) DOG
NJIT (11-12) 53, Fairfield (14-10) 74 [21] 70-72 ✗ MAE: 11.7
BET UNDER 145.8		 Fairfield (57.8%)
Toledo (12-11) 73, Marshall (15-8) 85 [12] 81-75 ✓ MAE: 3.0
BET UNDER 160.5		 Toledo (55.9%)
Air Force (3-19) 54, Austin Peay (16-6) 74 [20] 75-63 ✓ MAE: 5.0
O/U: 136.8		 Air Force (52.6%) DOG
South Florida (15-8) 95, George Washington (13-10) 99 [4] 85-81 ✗ MAE: 13.9
BET OVER 159.2		 George Washington (52.4%) DOG
Milwaukee (9-16) 76, Wofford (16-8) 86 [10] 76-75 ✓ MAE: 5.6
O/U: 150.5		 Wofford (52.4%) DOG
Charleston (15-8) 77, Florida Atlantic (14-10) 94 [17] 77-80 ✗ MAE: 10.3
O/U: 157.5		 Charleston (52.2%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
59
Final results
59
Correct picks
49
Incorrect picks
10
Pending
0
Accuracy
83.1%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
45
ML Win Rate
80.0%
ML Profit
$19
ML ROI
4.2%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
4
Wins
2
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$138
ROI
34.4%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
8
Wins
5
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
62.5%
Profit ($100/bet)
$143
ROI
17.9%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-17
ROI
-8.3%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
39
ATS Wins
24
ATS Losses
15
ATS Win Rate
61.5%
Spread Profit
$68
Spread ROI
17.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+9.1%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
52
O/U Wins
21
O/U Losses
31
O/U Win Rate
40.4%
O/U Profit
$-119
O/U ROI
-22.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-12.0%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
6
Completed
6
Covered
4
Failed
2
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$164
ROI
27.3%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
6
O/U Wins
4
O/U Losses
2
O/U Win Rate
66.7%
O/U Profit
$164
O/U ROI
27.3%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+14.3%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
UAlbany 62 @ Massachusetts 83 Massachusetts (76.0%) Massachusetts -9.5 +9.8 -0.3 +21.0 COVERED
Cal Poly 73 @ Seattle U 71 Seattle U (81.7%) Seattle U -9.5 +9.6 -0.1 -2.0 FAILED
San José State 74 @ UC Santa Barbara 85 UC Santa Barbara (71.4%) UC Santa Barbara -9.5 +9.5 +0.0 +11.0 COVERED
Long Beach State 62 @ Fresno State 82 Fresno State (77.9%) Fresno State -6.5 +8.5 +15.0 +20.0 COVERED
UT Rio Grande Valley 95 @ Southern Utah 72 Southern Utah (77.2%) DOG Southern Utah +1.2 +7.4 -8.7 -23.0 FAILED
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 77 @ Tarleton State 85 Tarleton State (70.6%) Tarleton State -3.5 +7.4 -3.9 +8.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
4
Wins
2
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$138
ROI
34.4%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Air Force 54, Austin Peay 74 [20] Air Force 52.6% N/A N/A LOSS
South Florida 95, George Washington 99 [4] George Washington 52.4% +127 +10.0% WIN
Milwaukee 76, Wofford 86 [10] Wofford 52.4% +110 +6.7% WIN
Charleston 77, Florida Atlantic 94 [17] Charleston 52.2% +150 +13.6% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
8
Wins
5
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
62.5%
Profit ($100/bet)
$143
ROI
17.9%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Charleston 77, Florida Atlantic 94 [17] Charleston 52.2% +150 +13.6% LOSS
Arkansas 66, Michigan State 69 [3] Michigan State 62.2% -120 +10.0% WIN
South Florida 95, George Washington 99 [4] George Washington 52.4% +127 +10.0% WIN
Norfolk State 78, William & Mary 81 [3] Norfolk State 60.3% -112 +9.8% LOSS
Providence 101, Virginia Tech 107 [6] Virginia Tech 58.1% -115 +7.1% WIN
Milwaukee 76, Wofford 86 [10] Wofford 52.4% +110 +6.7% WIN
Long Beach State 62, Fresno State 82 [20] Fresno State 77.9% -285 +6.6% WIN
UNC Greensboro 90, Elon 92 [2] UNC Greensboro 64.3% -150 +6.4% LOSS
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-17
ROI
-8.3%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Charleston 77, Florida Atlantic 94 [17] Charleston 52.2% +150 +13.6% LOSS
Arkansas 66, Michigan State 69 [3] Michigan State 62.2% -120 +10.0% WIN
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Bellarmine @ Kansas State Bellarmine 17.1% +4000 +14.7% LOSS
Towson @ Houston Towson 17.0% +4000 +14.6% LOSS
Northern Kentucky @ Tennessee Northern Kentucky 16.8% +4000 +14.4% LOSS