Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-09
All Games Summary
Total Picks
28
Final results
28
Correct picks
24
Incorrect picks
4
Pending
0
Accuracy
85.7%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (28)
Morehead State (12-11) 81, Georgia (16-6) 120 [39] 62-95 ✗ MAE: 22.0
BET OVER 150.0		 Georgia (97.2%)
Coppin State (3-21) 70, James Madison (11-13) 84 [14] 66-78 ✓ MAE: 4.7
BET OVER 141.0		 James Madison (93.7%)
Lehigh (10-14) 47, West Virginia (14-8) 69 [22] 57-81 ✗ MAE: 10.6
BET UNDER 139.5		 West Virginia (93.6%)
Southern Miss (12-13) 79, South Carolina (11-12) 83 [4] 71-79 ✓ MAE: 6.3
BET OVER 147.2		 South Carolina (93.3%)
New Hampshire (8-13) 75, Harvard (12-9) 86 [11] 65-72 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET UNDER 147.5		 Harvard (88.7%)
Omaha (12-12) 74, Colorado State (12-10) 97 [23] 70-78 ✗ MAE: 11.6
BET UNDER 153.5		 Colorado State (88.5%)
VMI (6-18) 68, Missouri (15-7) 106 [38] 69-90 ✗ MAE: 8.6
BET UNDER 162.2		 Missouri (83.1%)
Manhattan (9-15) 83, USC (17-6) 114 [31] 67-88 ✗ MAE: 20.9
O/U: 155.5		 USC (83.0%)
Idaho State (10-13) 57, San Diego State (16-6) 73 [16] 71-83 ✗ MAE: 12.0
BET OVER 135.5		 San Diego State (82.3%)
Kentucky Christian (0-4) 42, UT Martin (18-5) 97 [55] 73-80 ✗ MAE: 24.0 UT Martin (80.7%)
North Carolina Central (8-12) 54, App State (16-9) 76 [22] 67-70 ✗ MAE: 9.4
O/U: 136.8		 App State (80.1%)
Florida Atlantic (14-10) 68, Liberty (19-3) 88 [20] 73-85 ✓ MAE: 4.2
BET OVER 152.5		 Liberty (76.7%)
Utah Tech (13-11) 66, Arizona State (12-11) 81 [15] 74-80 ✓ MAE: 4.4
O/U: 152.5		 Arizona State (76.3%)
Montana State (13-10) 73, Denver (9-15) 75 [2] 79-78 ✓ MAE: 4.7
BET OVER 146.2		 Montana State (74.1%)
Le Moyne (11-12) 60, Bowling Green (14-9) 83 [23] 70-87 ✓ MAE: 6.6
O/U: 155.2		 Bowling Green (74.0%)
South Dakota State (11-13) 58, Northern Iowa (14-9) 65 [7] 70-72 ✗ MAE: 9.8
BET UNDER 150.5		 Northern Iowa (71.2%)
Western Michigan (8-14) 82, Campbell (10-13) 91 [9] 76-77 ✗ MAE: 10.0
O/U: 152.8		 Campbell (70.1%)
Cornell (10-10) 65, Illinois State (15-8) 76 [11] 77-82 ✗ MAE: 8.9
BET UNDER 164.5		 Illinois State (69.6%)
Washington (12-11) 69, Baylor (13-9) 78 [9] 80-81 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET OVER 156.5		 Baylor (67.1%)
North Dakota (13-12) 85, Cal State Northridge (13-10) 93 [8] 76-79 ✗ MAE: 11.4
BET UNDER 157.8		 Cal State Northridge (61.6%)
Howard (14-9) 70, Grambling (10-11) 73 [3] 72-69 ✓ MAE: 0.9
BET UNDER 153.8		 Howard (61.3%)
Lipscomb (15-9) 77, Mercer (15-8) 92 [15] 77-74 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET UNDER 158.2		 Mercer (60.3%)
Pennsylvania (10-10) 78, American University (13-11) 84 [6] 74-72 ✗ MAE: 8.4
BET UNDER 154.5		 American University (59.0%) DOG
UC Davis (13-9) 63, Portland (11-14) 67 [4] 77-84 ✗ MAE: 15.4
BET OVER 151.5		 Portland (57.3%)
Brown (7-13) 84, Vermont (14-9) 89 [5] 69-71 ✗ MAE: 16.8
BET OVER 131.5		 Vermont (56.2%)
Marquette (8-15) 77, Indiana (15-8) 100 [23] 73-77 ✗ MAE: 13.5
BET UNDER 156.8		 Marquette (54.8%) DOG
Loyola Chicago (6-18) 62, North Texas (12-11) 64 [2] 63-72 ✓ MAE: 5.5
BET UNDER 138.8		 Loyola Chicago (52.1%)
Texas A&M (17-5) 63, Oklahoma State (16-6) 87 [24] 92-82 ✗ MAE: 17.1
O/U: 173.2		 Oklahoma State (50.6%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
28
Final results
28
Correct picks
24
Incorrect picks
4
Pending
0
Accuracy
85.7%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
26
ML Win Rate
73.1%
ML Profit
$-20
ML ROI
-7.5%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-75
ROI
-25.0%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
6
Wins
4
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$132
ROI
22.1%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
21
ATS Wins
12
ATS Losses
9
ATS Win Rate
57.1%
Spread Profit
$19
Spread ROI
9.1%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+4.7%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
22
O/U Wins
10
O/U Losses
12
O/U Win Rate
45.5%
O/U Profit
$-29
O/U ROI
-13.2%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-6.9%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
1
Completed
1
Covered
0
Failed
1
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
1
O/U Wins
1
O/U Losses
0
O/U Win Rate
100.0%
O/U Profit
$91
O/U ROI
90.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+47.6%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Denver 75 @ Montana State 73 Montana State (74.1%) Montana State -7.5 +9.0 -1.5 -2.0 FAILED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-75
ROI
-25.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Marquette 77, Indiana 100 [23] Marquette 54.8% +117 +10.6% LOSS
Loyola Chicago 62, North Texas 64 [2] Loyola Chicago 52.1% +117 +7.9% LOSS
Texas A&M 63, Oklahoma State 87 [24] Oklahoma State 50.6% +125 +7.7% WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
6
Wins
4
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$132
ROI
22.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Marquette 77, Indiana 100 [23] Marquette 54.8% +117 +10.6% LOSS
Pennsylvania 78, American University 84 [6] American University 59.0% -115 +8.5% WIN
Loyola Chicago 62, North Texas 64 [2] Loyola Chicago 52.1% +117 +7.9% LOSS
Texas A&M 63, Oklahoma State 87 [24] Oklahoma State 50.6% +125 +7.7% WIN
Florida Atlantic 68, Liberty 88 [20] Liberty 76.7% -270 +6.5% WIN
UC Davis 63, Portland 67 [4] Portland 57.3% -120 +5.2% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Marquette 77, Indiana 100 [23] Marquette 54.8% +117 +10.6% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Manhattan @ USC Manhattan 17.0% +3000 +13.9% LOSS
VMI @ Missouri VMI 16.9% +2050 +12.4% LOSS
Idaho State @ San Diego State Idaho State 17.7% +1625 +12.1% LOSS