Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-10
All Games Summary
Total Picks
31
Final results
31
Correct picks
25
Incorrect picks
6
Pending
0
Accuracy
80.6%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (31)
Columbia (14-7) 62, UConn #3 (22-1) 89 [27] 58-90 ✓ MAE: 2.8
BET UNDER 155.0		 UConn (97.3%)
West Georgia (10-12) 62, UCLA (16-7) 83 [21] 63-93 ✓ MAE: 5.5
BET OVER 147.2		 UCLA (97.2%)
Lindenwood (14-10) 66, Saint Louis #19 (22-1) 109 [43] 66-96 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET UNDER 166.0		 Saint Louis (96.9%)
Cleveland State (10-14) 63, Northwestern (10-13) 110 [47] 62-91 ✗ MAE: 10.2
O/U: 151.8		 Northwestern (96.6%)
Stetson (8-15) 61, Miami (17-5) 102 [41] 56-99 ✓ MAE: 4.2
BET UNDER 161.8		 Miami (96.5%)
Holy Cross (8-16) 69, Utah (9-13) 87 [18] 67-83 ✓ MAE: 2.7
BET UNDER 155.2		 Utah (96.3%)
Lincoln University (CA) (0-5) 63, UC Irvine (15-7) 130 [67] 79-98 ✗ MAE: 24.0 UC Irvine (95.5%)
College Of Biblical Studies (0-9) 50, McNeese (18-5) 132 [82] 72-89 ✗ MAE: 32.8 McNeese (95.1%)
Arlington Baptist (0-3) 61, UT Arlington (14-7) 117 [56] 75-93 ✗ MAE: 18.9 UT Arlington (94.4%)
Maine (5-18) 60, Rutgers (9-14) 72 [12] 61-71 ✓ MAE: 0.6
O/U: 131.0		 Rutgers (93.5%)
Eastern Michigan (9-14) 66, Pittsburgh (9-14) 78 [12] 62-80 ✓ MAE: 3.3
O/U: 140.8		 Pittsburgh (93.1%)
SE Louisiana (6-17) 60, Georgia Tech (11-12) 70 [10] 60-76 ✓ MAE: 3.2
O/U: 134.5		 Georgia Tech (89.5%)
Fairfield (14-10) 59, Seton Hall (16-7) 82 [23] 64-79 ✓ MAE: 4.0
BET OVER 137.8		 Seton Hall (88.2%)
UMass Lowell (9-14) 67, New Haven (10-12) 73 [6] 60-78 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET UNDER 142.5		 UMass Lowell (82.5%)
Cal State Fullerton (10-13) 65, California (17-6) 93 [28] 70-89 ✓ MAE: 4.8
BET UNDER 162.5		 California (82.4%)
Northern Illinois (7-14) 59, Grand Canyon (15-7) 88 [29] 62-86 ✓ MAE: 2.2
BET UNDER 163.5		 Grand Canyon (82.2%)
New Orleans (11-13) 58, LSU (14-8) 93 [35] 73-84 ✗ MAE: 12.2
BET UNDER 160.8		 LSU (81.1%)
Lamar (12-11) 65, TCU (13-9) 78 [13] 67-75 ✓ MAE: 2.5
BET UNDER 147.2		 TCU (81.0%)
East Texas A&M (8-15) 74, Hawai'i (16-5) 100 [26] 66-77 ✗ MAE: 15.6
BET UNDER 146.5		 Hawai'i (81.0%)
Virginia-Lynchburg (0-10) 58, Tennessee Tech (9-14) 118 [60] 80-91 ✗ MAE: 24.3 Tennessee Tech (80.8%)
South Carolina State (6-16) 62, North Carolina A&T (9-12) 85 [23] 76-71 ✗ MAE: 13.9
BET UNDER 159.8		 North Carolina A&T (77.1%)
Mississippi State (11-11) 80, Iowa State #7 (20-2) 96 [16] 72-87 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET OVER 150.2		 Iowa State (74.2%)
Little Rock (9-14) 72, Milwaukee (9-16) 92 [20] 69-81 ✓ MAE: 6.9
BET UNDER 156.5		 Milwaukee (70.4%)
SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 55, Indiana State (10-14) 64 [9] 68-79 ✗ MAE: 13.9
BET UNDER 159.2		 SIU Edwardsville (66.0%)
UNC Wilmington (19-3) 77, Kent State (17-6) 86 [9] 78-73 ✓ MAE: 6.8
BET UNDER 156.5		 Kent State (64.4%)
Delaware State (6-15) 57, Niagara (6-17) 68 [11] 66-63 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 137.5		 Niagara (61.9%)
Eastern Kentucky (7-16) 79, Western Kentucky (12-10) 87 [8] 80-74 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 163.2		 Eastern Kentucky (60.2%) DOG
Xavier (12-11) 68, Santa Clara (20-5) 87 [19] 76-78 ✗ MAE: 10.7
O/U: 155.2		 Xavier (59.9%)
St. Thomas-Minnesota (19-6) 71, Washington State (11-14) 81 [10] 79-73 ✗ MAE: 8.2
BET UNDER 157.5		 Washington State (58.6%)
Georgia State (9-15) 61, Presbyterian (11-13) 63 [2] 75-69 ✗ MAE: 9.9
O/U: 142.0		 Georgia State (57.5%)
The Citadel (8-15) 86, Charleston Southern (11-13) 96 [10] 75-79 ✗ MAE: 14.0
BET OVER 145.2		 The Citadel (53.6%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
31
Final results
31
Correct picks
25
Incorrect picks
6
Pending
0
Accuracy
80.6%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
22
ML Win Rate
81.8%
ML Profit
$-1
ML ROI
-0.6%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
6
Wins
3
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-114
ROI
-19.0%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-126
ROI
-42.0%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
16
ATS Wins
8
ATS Losses
8
ATS Win Rate
50.0%
Spread Profit
$-7
Spread ROI
-4.6%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-2.4%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
23
O/U Wins
11
O/U Losses
12
O/U Win Rate
47.8%
O/U Profit
$-20
O/U ROI
-8.7%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-4.6%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
4
Completed
4
Covered
3
Failed
1
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
75.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$173
ROI
43.2%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
4
O/U Wins
3
O/U Losses
1
O/U Win Rate
75.0%
O/U Profit
$173
O/U ROI
43.2%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+22.6%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Mississippi State 80 @ Iowa State #7 96 Iowa State (74.2%) Iowa State -5.5 +9.8 +15.3 +16.0 COVERED
Little Rock 72 @ Milwaukee 92 Milwaukee (70.4%) Milwaukee -4.5 +7.8 +12.3 +20.0 COVERED
South Carolina State 62 @ North Carolina A&T 85 North Carolina A&T (77.1%) North Carolina A&T -2.8 +7.6 -4.8 +23.0 COVERED
New Haven 73 @ UMass Lowell 67 UMass Lowell (82.5%) UMass Lowell -10.5 +7.1 +17.6 -6.0 FAILED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
The Citadel 86, Charleston Southern 96 [10] The Citadel 53.6% +160 +16.5% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
6
Wins
3
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-114
ROI
-19.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
The Citadel 86, Charleston Southern 96 [10] The Citadel 53.6% +160 +16.5% LOSS
Little Rock 72, Milwaukee 92 [20] Milwaukee 70.4% -135 +15.1% WIN
SIU Edwardsville 55, Indiana State 64 [9] SIU Edwardsville 66.0% -137 +10.3% LOSS
UNC Wilmington 77, Kent State 86 [9] Kent State 64.4% -145 +7.3% WIN
Mississippi State 80, Iowa State 96 [16] Iowa State 74.2% -232 +6.8% WIN
Eastern Kentucky 79, Western Kentucky 87 [8] Eastern Kentucky 60.2% -125 +6.3% LOSS
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-126
ROI
-42.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
The Citadel 86, Charleston Southern 96 [10] The Citadel 53.6% +160 +16.5% LOSS
Little Rock 72, Milwaukee 92 [20] Milwaukee 70.4% -135 +15.1% WIN
SIU Edwardsville 55, Indiana State 64 [9] SIU Edwardsville 66.0% -137 +10.3% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
East Texas A&M @ Hawai'i East Texas A&M 19.0% +2000 +14.4% LOSS
New Orleans @ LSU New Orleans 18.9% +1800 +13.9% LOSS
Cal State Fullerton @ California Cal State Fullerton 17.6% +1800 +12.5% LOSS