Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-11
All Games Summary
Total Picks
70
Final results
70
Correct picks
56
Incorrect picks
14
Pending
0
Accuracy
80.0%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (70)
Ball State (7-15) 55, Wisconsin (16-6) 86 [31] 60-86 ✓ MAE: 2.4
BET UNDER 156.5		 Wisconsin (97.4%)
Central Arkansas (13-10) 56, Arkansas #21 (16-6) 93 [37] 67-98 ✗ MAE: 8.1
BET OVER 158.5		 Arkansas (97.2%)
Maryland Eastern Shore (8-16) 50, Nebraska #9 (20-2) 69 [19] 50-84 ✓ MAE: 7.7
BET UNDER 146.5		 Nebraska (97.1%)
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9-13) 69, Oklahoma (11-12) 95 [26] 63-99 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET UNDER 169.0		 Oklahoma (97.0%)
Alcorn State (4-17) 64, Maryland (8-13) 84 [20] 60-87 ✓ MAE: 3.3
O/U: 147.2		 Maryland (97.0%)
Morehead State (12-11) 56, Clemson #20 (19-4) 83 [27] 53-83 ✓ MAE: 1.7
BET UNDER 151.5		 Clemson (97.0%)
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (12-11) 46, Kansas #11 (17-5) 77 [31] 55-77 ✓ MAE: 4.6
BET UNDER 146.5		 Kansas (96.8%)
Florida A&M (7-12) 60, UCF (17-5) 97 [37] 63-94 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 169.5		 UCF (96.8%)
Northern Arizona (8-15) 49, Arizona #1 (22-0) 84 [35] 59-98 ✗ MAE: 12.1
BET UNDER 163.0		 Arizona (96.8%)
Chicago State (2-19) 66, Butler (13-10) 98 [32] 61-89 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 158.5		 Butler (96.8%)
Eastern Illinois (9-14) 58, Notre Dame (11-12) 78 [20] 55-76 ✓ MAE: 2.5
BET UNDER 143.2		 Notre Dame (96.8%)
Delaware (6-16) 68, BYU #16 (17-5) 85 [17] 54-92 ✗ MAE: 10.5
BET UNDER 164.0		 BYU (96.7%)
Hampton (10-13) 53, Virginia #18 (19-3) 91 [38] 59-82 ✓ MAE: 7.7
BET UNDER 148.8		 Virginia (96.6%)
App State (16-9) 53, Ohio State (14-7) 75 [22] 62-78 ✓ MAE: 5.9
BET UNDER 147.2		 Ohio State (96.5%)
Radford (13-12) 74, North Carolina #14 (18-4) 89 [15] 68-90 ✓ MAE: 3.7
BET UNDER 163.0		 North Carolina (96.4%)
Wofford (16-8) 62, Auburn (14-8) 93 [31] 65-96 ✓ MAE: 2.7
BET OVER 152.5		 Auburn (96.2%)
Oakwood (0-3) 76, Tennessee State (14-8) 114 [38] 78-93 ✗ MAE: 11.4 Tennessee State (95.5%)
Ohio (13-11) 60, Saint Mary's (20-4) 90 [30] 65-86 ✓ MAE: 4.0
BET OVER 144.5		 Saint Mary's (94.2%)
Lincoln University (CA) (0-5) 76, Pepperdine (6-18) 113 [37] 82-95 ✗ MAE: 11.9 Pepperdine (94.1%)
DePaul (12-11) 53, Buffalo (14-9) 66 [13] 68-80 ✗ MAE: 14.6
BET UNDER 153.2		 DePaul (94.0%)
UT Rio Grande Valley (12-11) 65, Boise State (14-9) 85 [20] 72-79 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET UNDER 161.2		 Boise State (93.1%)
Jacksonville (9-14) 64, High Point (21-4) 85 [21] 66-92 ✓ MAE: 4.1
O/U: 156.2		 High Point (92.7%)
UAB (14-8) 74, Alabama State (7-15) 77 [3] 67-94 ✗ MAE: 15.1
BET UNDER 165.0		 UAB (92.5%)
Queens University (12-11) 81, Duquesne (13-10) 87 [6] 76-92 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET OVER 162.5		 Duquesne (89.6%)
Wagner (7-13) 61, Fordham (12-11) 63 [2] 66-70 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 139.2		 Fordham (87.1%)
Creighton (12-11) 63, Gonzaga #6 (22-2) 90 [27] 69-89 ✓ MAE: 3.5
BET UNDER 164.8		 Gonzaga (86.2%)
Memphis (10-11) 77, Ole Miss (11-11) 83 [6] 66-80 ✓ MAE: 7.0
BET UNDER 152.0		 Ole Miss (84.4%)
Murray State (17-7) 91, SMU (15-7) 102 [11] 81-88 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET OVER 164.0		 SMU (84.2%)
UC Riverside (8-15) 68, New Mexico (18-5) 82 [14] 60-89 ✓ MAE: 7.3
BET OVER 141.8		 New Mexico (82.4%)
Sacred Heart (10-14) 60, Villanova (17-5) 94 [34] 66-77 ✗ MAE: 11.6
BET UNDER 160.5		 Villanova (81.9%)
New Mexico Highlands (0-3) 58, New Mexico State (11-11) 74 [16] 63-73 ✓ MAE: 3.0 New Mexico State (81.7%)
Pennsylvania (10-10) 81, Providence (10-13) 106 [25] 74-90 ✗ MAE: 12.0
BET UNDER 172.8		 Providence (81.0%)
Bethesda University (0-7) 60, Southern Utah (8-15) 118 [58] 76-85 ✗ MAE: 24.1 Southern Utah (80.8%)
Florida State (10-12) 76, Florida #17 (16-6) 78 [2] 78-88 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 180.5		 Florida (79.9%)
Boston College (9-13) 59, Central Connecticut (11-10) 60 [1] 63-73 ✗ MAE: 8.5
O/U: 136.5		 Boston College (77.6%)
Wake Forest (11-11) 84, Michigan #2 (20-1) 85 [1] 79-86 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET UNDER 168.2		 Michigan (76.9%)
Stonehill (9-14) 57, Rhode Island (13-9) 80 [23] 62-75 ✓ MAE: 4.8
BET UNDER 151.2		 Rhode Island (76.8%)
Navy (18-6) 71, Penn State (10-12) 80 [9] 69-78 ✓ MAE: 2.3
BET UNDER 154.5		 Penn State (76.0%)
Loyola Maryland (9-15) 64, NJIT (11-12) 66 [2] 71-72 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET OVER 139.8		 Loyola Maryland (71.3%)
UNLV (10-12) 93, Montana (13-10) 102 [9] 75-77 ✗ MAE: 21.6
BET UNDER 157.5		 UNLV (71.2%)
William & Mary (14-8) 86, Richmond (13-10) 90 [4] 75-83 ✗ MAE: 8.9
BET UNDER 165.0		 Richmond (70.9%)
Kentucky (16-7) 88, Louisville #24 (16-6) 96 [8] 76-85 ✗ MAE: 11.6
BET UNDER 173.5		 Louisville (69.2%)
Northwestern State (6-16) 83, North Alabama (7-14) 87 [4] 71-69 ✗ MAE: 14.9
BET UNDER 143.0		 North Alabama (68.7%)
Dayton (15-8) 62, Cincinnati (11-11) 74 [12] 67-76 ✓ MAE: 3.4
BET UNDER 148.0		 Cincinnati (67.9%)
La Salle (7-16) 63, Temple (14-8) 90 [27] 74-72 ✗ MAE: 14.5
BET UNDER 148.5		 Temple (67.2%)
Norfolk State (10-14) 57, Old Dominion (7-17) 60 [3] 73-73 ✗ MAE: 14.4
BET UNDER 150.0		 Old Dominion (66.2%)
Lipscomb (15-9) 64, UNC Asheville (11-13) 69 [5] 76-75 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET UNDER 157.5		 UNC Asheville (65.5%)
Wright State (15-9) 71, Toledo (12-11) 81 [10] 73-86 ✗ MAE: 11.3
O/U: 159.0		 Wright State (65.2%)
Western Illinois (4-19) 58, Cal State Bakersfield (8-15) 74 [16] 71-72 ✓ MAE: 7.8
O/U: 141.5		 Cal State Bakersfield (64.8%)
Sacramento State (9-13) 87, UC Santa Barbara (15-7) 92 [5] 76-77 ✗ MAE: 13.2
BET UNDER 160.8		 UC Santa Barbara (64.7%)
Texas Tech #13 (16-6) 77, Illinois #5 (20-3) 81 [4] 77-88 ✓ MAE: 3.7
BET UNDER 168.0		 Illinois (63.9%)
Florida Gulf Coast (10-13) 94, Georgia Southern (14-11) 95 [1] 77-86 ✗ MAE: 13.1
O/U: 164.2		 Florida Gulf Coast (63.5%)
Harvard (12-9) 60, Northeastern (6-15) 77 [17] 71-83 ✗ MAE: 14.5
BET OVER 144.2		 Harvard (63.1%)
Austin Peay (16-6) 65, Wyoming (13-10) 79 [14] 74-82 ✓ MAE: 6.0
BET OVER 154.0		 Wyoming (62.8%)
Bucknell (8-16) 63, Princeton (8-14) 73 [10] 71-67 ✓ MAE: 6.9
BET UNDER 146.8		 Princeton (62.1%)
Rice (10-13) 69, Stephen F. Austin (20-3) 81 [12] 74-72 ✓ MAE: 4.9
BET UNDER 149.5		 Rice (61.6%)
Merrimack (14-9) 62, Tarleton State (11-11) 76 [14] 70-71 ✓ MAE: 6.6
O/U: 142.8		 Tarleton State (61.1%)
Quinnipiac (15-9) 60, Yale (16-4) 97 [37] 77-79 ✗ MAE: 19.5
O/U: 156.5		 Yale (60.1%)
Drexel (12-11) 83, Colgate (14-10) 90 [7] 76-70 ✗ MAE: 13.8
O/U: 144.0		 Colgate (60.1%)
St. Francis (PA) (6-15) 66, Mount St. Mary's (10-14) 74 [8] 70-71 ✓ MAE: 4.5
BET UNDER 148.5		 Mount St. Mary's (60.1%)
Cal State Northridge (13-10) 68, North Dakota State (19-5) 90 [22] 80-75 ✗ MAE: 13.4
O/U: 156.2		 North Dakota State (59.8%)
Louisiana (8-16) 62, Tulane (13-9) 66 [4] 64-69 ✓ MAE: 4.4
O/U: 135.5		 Tulane (58.9%)
Army (10-14) 59, Duke #4 (21-1) 114 [55] 86-62 ✗ MAE: 15.3
BET UNDER 153.0		 Army (58.3%) DOG
Missouri State (13-9) 85, Arkansas State (14-10) 86 [1] 69-80 ✗ MAE: 11.2
BET UNDER 152.5		 Missouri State (56.1%)
Charlotte (13-10) 55, Davidson (13-9) 62 [7] 70-76 ✗ MAE: 14.8
BET OVER 143.5		 Charlotte (56.0%)
Air Force (3-19) 72, Long Island University (14-8) 76 [4] 66-70 ✓ MAE: 6.2
O/U: 137.5		 Long Island University (54.4%)
Morgan State (9-13) 79, UMBC (13-8) 81 [2] 70-75 ✓ MAE: 7.2
BET UNDER 162.5		 UMBC (53.7%)
UTEP (8-15) 58, Loyola Marymount (12-13) 71 [13] 70-73 ✓ MAE: 8.0
BET UNDER 144.5		 UTEP (52.2%) DOG
Kansas City (4-20) 91, Iona (14-9) 105 [14] 72-75 ✗ MAE: 24.5
BET UNDER 156.5		 Kansas City (50.4%) DOG
Winthrop (17-8) 66, Coastal Carolina (14-11) 72 [6] 84-74 ✗ MAE: 9.9
BET UNDER 165.2		 Coastal Carolina (50.3%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
70
Final results
70
Correct picks
56
Incorrect picks
14
Pending
0
Accuracy
80.0%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
52
ML Win Rate
65.4%
ML Profit
$-87
ML ROI
-16.7%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-68
ROI
-22.5%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
6
Wins
3
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-16.7%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
38
ATS Wins
19
ATS Losses
19
ATS Win Rate
50.0%
Spread Profit
$-17
Spread ROI
-4.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-2.4%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
60
O/U Wins
37
O/U Losses
23
O/U Win Rate
61.7%
O/U Profit
$106
O/U ROI
17.7%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+9.3%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
1
Completed
1
Covered
1
Failed
0
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$91
ROI
90.9%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
1
O/U Wins
1
O/U Losses
0
O/U Win Rate
100.0%
O/U Profit
$91
O/U ROI
90.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+47.6%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Creighton 63 @ Gonzaga #6 90 Gonzaga (86.2%) Gonzaga -11.5 +8.5 +20.0 +27.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-68
ROI
-22.5%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
UTEP 58, Loyola Marymount 71 [13] UTEP 52.2% +127 +9.8% LOSS
Kansas City 91, Iona 105 [14] Kansas City 50.4% +140 +10.4% LOSS
Winthrop 66, Coastal Carolina 72 [6] Coastal Carolina 50.3% +132 +8.8% WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
6
Wins
3
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-16.7%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Kansas City 91, Iona 105 [14] Kansas City 50.4% +140 +10.4% LOSS
UTEP 58, Loyola Marymount 71 [13] UTEP 52.2% +127 +9.8% LOSS
Winthrop 66, Coastal Carolina 72 [6] Coastal Carolina 50.3% +132 +8.8% WIN
Florida Gulf Coast 94, Georgia Southern 95 [1] Florida Gulf Coast 63.5% -130 +8.1% LOSS
Wagner 61, Fordham 63 [2] Fordham 87.1% -575 +5.9% WIN
Kentucky 88, Louisville 96 [8] Louisville 69.2% -200 +5.2% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Kansas City 91, Iona 105 [14] Kansas City 50.4% +140 +10.4% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$1300
ROI
433.3%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Central Connecticut @ Boston College Central Connecticut 22.4% +1500 +16.5% WIN
Sacred Heart @ Villanova Sacred Heart 18.1% +1550 +12.3% LOSS
Florida State @ Florida Florida State 20.1% +1325 +13.4% LOSS