Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-13
All Games Summary
Total Picks
19
Final results
19
Correct picks
17
Incorrect picks
2
Pending
0
Accuracy
89.5%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (19)
San José State (6-16) 60, Michigan State #10 (19-4) 79 [19] 58-88 ✓ MAE: 5.1
BET OVER 143.0		 Michigan State (97.3%)
Green Bay (13-12) 61, St. Thomas-Minnesota (19-6) 80 [19] 62-83 ✓ MAE: 1.8
BET UNDER 150.5		 St. Thomas-Minnesota (89.3%)
UMass Lowell (9-14) 72, Columbia (14-7) 86 [14] 69-82 ✓ MAE: 3.4
BET UNDER 156.5		 Columbia (88.4%)
Florida International (11-11) 81, LSU (14-8) 98 [17] 76-92 ✓ MAE: 5.6
BET OVER 158.8		 LSU (82.3%)
Mid-Atlantic Christian (0-5) 55, Campbell (10-13) 108 [53] 72-81 ✗ MAE: 22.1 Campbell (80.9%)
Bryan (TN) (0-4) 54, UNC Asheville (11-13) 92 [38] 70-80 ✗ MAE: 14.1 UNC Asheville (80.8%)
Washington Adventist (0-2) 83, North Carolina A&T (9-12) 89 [6] 77-82 ✓ MAE: 6.5 North Carolina A&T (80.6%)
UL Monroe (4-20) 61, Houston Christian (8-15) 72 [11] 69-79 ✓ MAE: 7.3
BET OVER 143.5		 Houston Christian (78.8%)
Monmouth (11-12) 58, Seton Hall (16-7) 70 [12] 61-74 ✓ MAE: 3.7
O/U: 136.0		 Seton Hall (76.9%)
Alcorn State (4-17) 64, Howard (14-9) 72 [8] 63-79 ✓ MAE: 3.9
BET UNDER 154.0		 Howard (76.6%)
Le Moyne (11-12) 80, Massachusetts (15-9) 94 [14] 74-81 ✗ MAE: 9.6
O/U: 153.8		 Massachusetts (76.6%)
California (17-6) 96, Kansas State (10-12) 99 [3] 74-82 ✗ MAE: 19.4
BET UNDER 164.5		 Kansas State (75.3%)
Loyola Chicago (6-18) 74, Wichita State (14-9) 95 [21] 65-77 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET UNDER 153.2		 Wichita State (68.6%)
Pittsburgh (9-14) 49, West Virginia (14-8) 71 [22] 62-73 ✓ MAE: 7.4
O/U: 135.0		 West Virginia (65.2%)
Central Michigan (7-16) 64, South Alabama (16-7) 66 [2] 62-76 ✓ MAE: 6.3
BET UNDER 140.8		 South Alabama (64.7%)
Alabama (15-7) 80, Purdue #12 (18-4) 87 [7] 82-87 ✓ MAE: 5.7
BET UNDER 173.0		 Alabama (61.7%)
Charleston Southern (11-13) 64, Alabama A&M (12-10) 68 [4] 78-79 ✗ MAE: 12.3
BET OVER 153.0		 Alabama A&M (60.3%)
Southern Miss (12-13) 70, Grambling (10-11) 75 [5] 67-78 ✓ MAE: 2.8
BET UNDER 148.5		 Grambling (57.4%)
Lafayette (7-17) 78, Cornell (10-10) 97 [19] 81-87 ✗ MAE: 12.3
BET OVER 160.2		 Lafayette (50.8%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
19
Final results
19
Correct picks
17
Incorrect picks
2
Pending
0
Accuracy
89.5%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
15
ML Win Rate
86.7%
ML Profit
$19
ML ROI
12.3%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
3
Wins
2
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$64
ROI
21.3%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
12
ATS Wins
7
ATS Losses
5
ATS Win Rate
58.3%
Spread Profit
$14
Spread ROI
11.4%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+5.9%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
13
O/U Wins
7
O/U Losses
6
O/U Win Rate
53.8%
O/U Profit
$4
O/U ROI
2.8%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+1.4%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
1
Completed
1
Covered
1
Failed
0
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$91
ROI
90.9%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
1
O/U Wins
1
O/U Losses
0
O/U Win Rate
100.0%
O/U Profit
$91
O/U ROI
90.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+47.6%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Alcorn State 64 @ Howard 72 Howard (76.6%) Howard -6.5 +9.3 +15.8 +8.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Lafayette 78, Cornell 97 [19] Lafayette 50.8% +172 +15.5% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
3
Wins
2
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$64
ROI
21.3%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Lafayette 78, Cornell 97 [19] Lafayette 50.8% +172 +15.5% LOSS
Southern Miss 70, Grambling 75 [5] Grambling 57.4% -115 +7.1% WIN
Charleston Southern 64, Alabama A&M 68 [4] Alabama A&M 60.3% -130 +6.1% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Lafayette 78, Cornell 97 [19] Lafayette 50.8% +172 +15.5% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Florida International @ LSU Florida International 17.7% +1850 +12.8% LOSS
Le Moyne @ Massachusetts Le Moyne 23.4% +775 +12.5% LOSS
Monmouth @ Seton Hall Monmouth 23.1% +675 +10.8% LOSS