Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-14
All Games Summary
Total Picks
48
Final results
48
Correct picks
38
Incorrect picks
10
Pending
0
Accuracy
79.2%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (48)
Cal State Bakersfield (8-15) 60, Ole Miss (11-11) 82 [22] 62-83 ✓ MAE: 1.5
BET OVER 140.5		 Ole Miss (97.5%)
Tarleton State (11-11) 81, Baylor (13-9) 94 [13] 66-90 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET OVER 149.8		 Baylor (97.3%)
Eastern Illinois (9-14) 53, Kentucky (16-7) 99 [46] 54-84 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET UNDER 147.8		 Kentucky (97.2%)
Indiana State (10-14) 62, Duke #4 (21-1) 100 [38] 64-95 ✓ MAE: 3.4
BET UNDER 163.2		 Duke (97.2%)
Colgate (14-10) 65, Illinois #5 (20-3) 84 [19] 60-94 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET UNDER 164.2		 Illinois (97.2%)
North Carolina Central (8-12) 53, North Carolina #14 (18-4) 97 [44] 55-90 ✓ MAE: 4.9
BET UNDER 159.8		 North Carolina (97.1%)
Maryland Eastern Shore (8-16) 45, Creighton (12-11) 84 [39] 52-78 ✓ MAE: 6.3
BET UNDER 135.5		 Creighton (97.0%)
Milwaukee (9-16) 63, Texas Tech #13 (16-6) 80 [17] 66-95 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET UNDER 165.5		 Texas Tech (96.7%)
Samford (11-12) 75, Arkansas #21 (16-6) 79 [4] 72-91 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET OVER 159.0		 Arkansas (96.7%)
Lehigh (10-14) 72, Rutgers (9-14) 84 [12] 66-77 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET OVER 136.8		 Rutgers (93.3%)
Illinois State (15-8) 67, USC (17-6) 87 [20] 72-85 ✓ MAE: 3.4
O/U: 155.0		 USC (92.3%)
South Carolina State (6-16) 61, Charleston (15-8) 88 [27] 64-88 ✓ MAE: 1.7
BET UNDER 156.5		 Charleston (91.9%)
Georgia Tech (11-12) 87, Georgia (16-6) 92 [5] 74-94 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET OVER 154.8		 Georgia (90.5%)
UAlbany (7-16) 61, Rhode Island (13-9) 80 [19] 64-83 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET UNDER 150.5		 Rhode Island (90.5%)
Xavier (12-11) 62, Iowa (17-5) 81 [19] 64-86 ✓ MAE: 3.3
BET OVER 142.8		 Iowa (90.4%)
Western Illinois (4-19) 59, California Baptist (16-6) 69 [10] 61-79 ✓ MAE: 5.8
O/U: 140.0		 California Baptist (89.5%)
Louisiana (8-16) 62, McNeese (18-5) 88 [26] 59-77 ✓ MAE: 6.9
O/U: 134.5		 McNeese (89.4%)
North Texas (12-11) 49, Saint Mary's (20-4) 80 [31] 59-74 ✓ MAE: 7.8
BET OVER 129.5		 Saint Mary's (89.1%)
Texas A&M (17-5) 74, UCF (17-5) 86 [12] 74-86 ✗ MAE: 12.1
BET UNDER 173.5		 Texas A&M (83.9%)
East Texas A&M (8-15) 64, Rice (10-13) 71 [7] 71-78 ✓ MAE: 7.4
BET OVER 146.8		 Rice (83.0%)
Furman (16-8) 54, Northern Iowa (14-9) 70 [16] 60-75 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 141.5		 Northern Iowa (82.8%)
Ecclesia (0-5) 75, Northwestern State (6-16) 95 [20] 73-80 ✗ MAE: 8.4 Northwestern State (80.8%)
Mississippi Valley State (1-21) 75, Utah Tech (13-11) 81 [6] 68-88 ✗ MAE: 12.9
BET OVER 145.5		 Mississippi Valley State (80.7%)
Virginia-Lynchburg (0-10) 68, Alabama State (7-15) 124 [56] 81-91 ✗ MAE: 22.9 Alabama State (80.5%)
Coastal Carolina (14-11) 67, Jacksonville State (11-10) 74 [7] 67-79 ✓ MAE: 2.6
BET OVER 139.5		 Jacksonville State (77.0%)
Manhattan (9-15) 56, Hawai'i (16-5) 86 [30] 62-82 ✓ MAE: 4.9
BET UNDER 155.8		 Hawai'i (76.4%)
Abilene Christian (10-11) 66, Stephen F. Austin (20-3) 76 [10] 62-75 ✓ MAE: 2.5
BET UNDER 142.2		 Stephen F. Austin (75.7%)
Norfolk State (10-14) 41, Towson (13-11) 51 [10] 59-72 ✗ MAE: 19.7
BET UNDER 138.2		 Towson (74.9%)
Eastern Michigan (9-14) 83, IU Indianapolis (6-18) 90 [7] 72-85 ✗ MAE: 9.6
BET UNDER 186.0		 Eastern Michigan (74.2%)
Tulane (13-9) 63, New Orleans (11-13) 85 [22] 66-80 ✗ MAE: 18.2
BET UNDER 153.8		 Tulane (73.6%)
Cal Poly (9-14) 82, Montana (13-10) 90 [8] 78-86 ✓ MAE: 3.7
BET UNDER 169.5		 Montana (69.9%)
Fordham (12-11) 71, Iona (14-9) 76 [5] 68-73 ✓ MAE: 2.9
BET UNDER 157.2		 Iona (69.2%)
Sacramento State (9-13) 73, UC Davis (13-9) 77 [4] 71-84 ✓ MAE: 4.5
BET OVER 151.5		 UC Davis (68.9%)
Arizona State (12-11) 65, Gonzaga #6 (22-2) 77 [12] 86-79 ✗ MAE: 11.2
BET OVER 158.2		 Gonzaga (68.8%)
Charleston Southern (11-13) 77, Lindenwood (14-10) 83 [6] 79-85 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET OVER 155.8		 Charleston Southern (68.2%) DOG
Drake (12-12) 59, SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 61 [2] 67-75 ✗ MAE: 10.9
O/U: 141.2		 Drake (67.9%)
Stonehill (9-14) 71, Fairfield (14-10) 73 [2] 63-76 ✓ MAE: 5.1
BET UNDER 144.5		 Fairfield (66.9%)
The Citadel (8-15) 92, West Georgia (10-12) 100 [8] 76-88 ✗ MAE: 13.6
BET OVER 150.2		 West Georgia (66.6%)
Washington State (11-14) 69, Washington (12-11) 81 [12] 74-72 ✓ MAE: 4.9
BET UNDER 158.5		 Washington (66.0%)
Coppin State (3-21) 59, Central Michigan (7-16) 82 [23] 74-64 ✓ MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 143.2		 Coppin State (64.8%)
Troy (16-8) 63, Loyola Marymount (12-13) 74 [11] 70-75 ✓ MAE: 3.8
BET OVER 139.5		 Loyola Marymount (60.4%)
Providence (10-13) 88, Colorado (13-10) 97 [9] 76-84 ✗ MAE: 12.6
BET UNDER 163.8		 Colorado (60.2%)
TCU (13-9) 63, Michigan #2 (20-1) 67 [4] 80-75 ✗ MAE: 12.3
BET UNDER 163.8		 Michigan (59.8%)
DePaul (12-11) 79, Northwestern (10-13) 81 [2] 74-71 ✓ MAE: 7.7
O/U: 145.2		 Northwestern (59.2%)
Brown (7-13) 63, Hampton (10-13) 72 [9] 70-67 ✓ MAE: 3.4
BET UNDER 140.2		 Brown (56.6%)
Bucknell (8-16) 77, Hofstra (14-9) 83 [6] 67-73 ✗ MAE: 9.9
O/U: 139.8		 Bucknell (53.1%) DOG
UCLA (16-7) 65, Arizona #1 (22-0) 69 [4] 76-82 ✗ MAE: 12.4
BET OVER 153.5		 UCLA (51.5%) DOG
High Point (21-4) 74, UAB (14-8) 91 [17] 80-85 ✓ MAE: 5.9
BET UNDER 168.5		 UAB (51.2%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
48
Final results
48
Correct picks
38
Incorrect picks
10
Pending
0
Accuracy
79.2%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
34
ML Win Rate
73.5%
ML Profit
$12
ML ROI
3.6%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
4
Wins
2
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-70
ROI
-17.5%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
4
Wins
2
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-52
ROI
-13.0%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
24
ATS Wins
8
ATS Losses
16
ATS Win Rate
33.3%
Spread Profit
$-87
Spread ROI
-36.4%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-19.1%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
42
O/U Wins
29
O/U Losses
13
O/U Win Rate
69.0%
O/U Profit
$134
O/U ROI
31.8%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+16.6%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
2
Completed
2
Covered
1
Failed
1
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-9
ROI
-4.5%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
2
O/U Wins
2
O/U Losses
0
O/U Win Rate
100.0%
O/U Profit
$182
O/U ROI
90.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+47.6%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
IU Indianapolis 90 @ Eastern Michigan 83 Eastern Michigan (74.2%) Eastern Michigan -4.8 +7.4 +12.2 -7.0 FAILED
Abilene Christian 66 @ Stephen F. Austin 76 Stephen F. Austin (75.7%) Stephen F. Austin -6.8 +6.6 +13.4 +10.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
4
Wins
2
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-70
ROI
-17.5%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Providence 88, Colorado 97 [9] Colorado 60.2% N/A N/A WIN
Bucknell 77, Hofstra 83 [6] Bucknell 53.1% +122 +9.9% LOSS
UCLA 65, Arizona 69 [4] UCLA 51.5% +127 +9.1% LOSS
High Point 74, UAB 91 [17] UAB 51.2% +130 +9.3% WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
4
Wins
2
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-52
ROI
-13.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Bucknell 77, Hofstra 83 [6] Bucknell 53.1% +122 +9.9% LOSS
High Point 74, UAB 91 [17] UAB 51.2% +130 +9.3% WIN
Louisiana 62, McNeese 88 [26] McNeese 89.4% -550 +9.1% WIN
UCLA 65, Arizona 69 [4] UCLA 51.5% +127 +9.1% LOSS
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$3800
ROI
1266.7%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Utah Tech @ Mississippi Valley State Utah Tech 19.3% +4000 +16.9% WIN
Manhattan @ Hawai'i Manhattan 23.6% +862 +13.6% LOSS
Gonzaga @ Arizona State Arizona State 31.2% +612 +17.8% LOSS