Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-15
All Games Summary
Total Picks
78
Final results
78
Correct picks
61
Incorrect picks
17
Pending
0
Accuracy
78.2%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (78)
Green Bay (13-12) 65, Minnesota (11-12) 72 [7] 57-82 ✗ MAE: 9.1
BET UNDER 146.5		 Minnesota (97.2%)
Ohio (13-11) 81, Louisville #24 (16-6) 106 [25] 62-87 ✗ MAE: 18.9
BET UNDER 175.5		 Louisville (97.2%)
SE Louisiana (6-17) 68, Mississippi State (11-11) 75 [7] 60-84 ✗ MAE: 8.1
BET UNDER 150.8		 Mississippi State (97.2%)
William & Mary (14-8) 60, St. John's #22 (17-5) 93 [33] 68-90 ✓ MAE: 5.5
BET UNDER 179.5		 St. John's (97.1%)
New Hampshire (8-13) 44, George Mason (20-3) 61 [17] 53-81 ✗ MAE: 14.7
BET UNDER 144.8		 George Mason (96.9%)
Princeton (8-14) 57, Kansas #11 (17-5) 76 [19] 57-76 ✓ MAE: 0.1
BET UNDER 144.2		 Kansas (96.9%)
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9-13) 75, Vanderbilt #15 (19-3) 104 [29] 60-99 ✗ MAE: 10.2
BET UNDER 173.5		 Vanderbilt (96.9%)
Kansas City (4-20) 55, Texas (14-9) 71 [16] 62-90 ✗ MAE: 12.6
BET UNDER 159.5		 Texas (96.9%)
Bethune-Cookman (11-11) 82, Dayton (15-8) 91 [9] 62-87 ✗ MAE: 12.2
O/U: 148.5		 Dayton (96.6%)
Marshall (15-8) 78, Virginia #18 (19-3) 104 [26] 68-89 ✗ MAE: 12.3
O/U: 155.5		 Virginia (96.3%)
Mississippi Valley State (1-21) 73, Manhattan (9-15) 80 [7] 65-86 ✓ MAE: 7.2
BET UNDER 155.2		 Manhattan (96.1%)
Stony Brook (14-9) 79, Yale (16-4) 86 [7] 68-87 ✓ MAE: 6.0
BET OVER 150.2		 Yale (96.1%)
Bryan (TN) (0-4) 53, Lipscomb (15-9) 98 [45] 74-84 ✗ MAE: 17.7 Lipscomb (95.6%)
RIT (0-2) 64, Buffalo (14-9) 80 [16] 67-74 ✓ MAE: 4.4 Buffalo (93.9%)
Montana State (13-10) 58, Boise State (14-9) 62 [4] 68-78 ✗ MAE: 12.8
O/U: 147.5		 Boise State (91.1%)
Utah Tech (13-11) 62, Hawai'i (16-5) 68 [6] 64-86 ✗ MAE: 10.1
O/U: 150.0		 Hawai'i (90.7%)
Nicholls (10-13) 79, Murray State (17-7) 99 [20] 71-91 ✓ MAE: 8.0
BET OVER 158.0		 Murray State (90.7%)
Gardner-Webb (3-21) 84, Elon (13-10) 95 [11] 69-91 ✗ MAE: 9.7
BET OVER 154.5		 Elon (90.3%)
Binghamton (5-18) 82, Longwood (13-12) 90 [8] 65-82 ✗ MAE: 12.2
O/U: 147.5		 Longwood (89.4%)
Old Dominion (7-17) 73, George Washington (13-10) 96 [23] 66-87 ✓ MAE: 8.0
BET UNDER 155.8		 George Washington (89.3%)
South Carolina Upstate (10-14) 60, UNC Wilmington (19-3) 73 [13] 59-78 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 155.5		 UNC Wilmington (89.0%)
Youngstown State (12-12) 80, St. Bonaventure (13-10) 84 [4] 70-81 ✓ MAE: 6.2
BET OVER 146.2		 St. Bonaventure (81.9%)
Texas Southern (6-14) 67, Texas State (14-11) 77 [10] 68-80 ✓ MAE: 2.0
BET OVER 144.5		 Texas State (81.0%)
Central Penn (0-3) 50, American University (13-11) 115 [65] 77-92 ✗ MAE: 25.2 American University (80.9%)
New College (FL) (0-2) 67, North Florida (5-18) 122 [55] 84-93 ✗ MAE: 22.6 North Florida (80.9%)
Champion Christian (0-6) 64, Southern (9-13) 129 [65] 84-95 ✗ MAE: 27.4 Southern (80.6%)
Jackson State (6-16) 51, Louisiana Tech (12-10) 68 [17] 68-68 ✗ MAE: 8.4
BET UNDER 146.8		 Louisiana Tech (80.5%)
Detroit Mercy (10-12) 83, Toledo (12-11) 90 [7] 77-78 ✗ MAE: 9.4
BET UNDER 159.5		 Toledo (80.0%)
Oklahoma (11-12) 99, Nebraska #9 (20-2) 105 [6] 68-78 ✗ MAE: 28.9
BET UNDER 162.8		 Nebraska (79.2%)
UTEP (8-15) 51, Utah State (19-3) 75 [24] 63-83 ✗ MAE: 9.8
BET UNDER 149.2		 Utah State (79.1%)
Southern Utah (8-15) 85, Omaha (12-12) 90 [5] 74-74 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET UNDER 153.5		 Omaha (77.6%)
Grand Canyon (15-7) 64, Saint Louis #19 (22-1) 78 [14] 69-85 ✓ MAE: 6.2
BET UNDER 168.2		 Saint Louis (77.2%)
Nevada (16-7) 83, Santa Clara (20-5) 98 [15] 69-82 ✗ MAE: 14.9
BET OVER 144.8		 Santa Clara (77.1%)
Sam Houston (16-7) 79, Utah (9-13) 85 [6] 78-86 ✓ MAE: 1.4
BET OVER 158.5		 Utah (76.9%)
Morgan State (9-13) 72, Mercyhurst (11-12) 86 [14] 61-77 ✗ MAE: 10.0
BET UNDER 145.5		 Mercyhurst (75.5%)
Radford (13-12) 59, Wright State (15-9) 92 [33] 75-83 ✗ MAE: 20.8
O/U: 156.2		 Radford (75.4%)
Marquette (8-15) 82, Maryland (8-13) 89 [7] 68-76 ✗ MAE: 13.5
BET UNDER 146.0		 Marquette (74.2%)
Coppin State (3-21) 62, South Alabama (16-7) 72 [10] 72-64 ✓ MAE: 1.1
BET OVER 133.8		 South Alabama (73.5%)
UC Riverside (8-15) 74, North Dakota (13-12) 76 [2] 70-80 ✓ MAE: 5.9
O/U: 148.2		 UC Riverside (73.2%)
Duquesne (13-10) 77, Villanova (17-5) 87 [10] 68-82 ✓ MAE: 7.1
O/U: 151.2		 Villanova (72.9%)
Portland (11-14) 56, Wyoming (13-10) 93 [37] 69-82 ✗ MAE: 11.9
BET UNDER 160.8		 Wyoming (72.9%)
Weber State (11-12) 70, UC Irvine (15-7) 79 [9] 69-83 ✓ MAE: 2.5
O/U: 150.5		 UC Irvine (72.2%)
Idaho State (10-13) 74, Seattle U (15-9) 83 [9] 68-80 ✓ MAE: 4.1
BET OVER 138.8		 Seattle U (71.9%)
North Alabama (7-14) 74, East Tennessee State (17-7) 78 [4] 66-71 ✓ MAE: 7.4
BET UNDER 145.8		 North Alabama (71.5%)
Northeastern (6-15) 74, Vermont (14-9) 85 [11] 73-76 ✓ MAE: 7.2
BET OVER 134.5		 Northeastern (71.2%)
Bradley (16-8) 64, San Francisco (14-11) 75 [11] 65-77 ✓ MAE: 1.8
BET UNDER 146.8		 San Francisco (70.3%)
Idaho (13-9) 67, UC San Diego (15-8) 75 [8] 70-81 ✓ MAE: 4.9
BET OVER 148.8		 UC San Diego (70.0%)
Butler (13-10) 85, SMU (15-7) 87 [2] 78-90 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET OVER 164.0		 SMU (69.9%)
Chicago State (2-19) 63, UIC (13-11) 67 [4] 73-71 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 156.5		 UIC (68.1%)
La Salle (7-16) 69, Penn State (10-12) 83 [14] 80-73 ✓ MAE: 3.3
BET OVER 145.8		 Penn State (67.0%)
Air Force (3-19) 61, Miami (OH) #23 (23-0) 76 [15] 77-75 ✓ MAE: 7.5
BET OVER 143.8		 Miami (OH) (65.8%)
Boston University (9-15) 79, Merrimack (14-9) 91 [12] 61-71 ✗ MAE: 18.8
BET UNDER 135.5		 Boston University (64.9%)
Oral Roberts (5-19) 60, Belmont (21-3) 83 [23] 79-78 ✗ MAE: 11.0
BET UNDER 171.5		 Belmont (64.7%)
Cleveland State (10-14) 95, Kent State (17-6) 102 [7] 82-78 ✗ MAE: 18.4
BET UNDER 165.2		 Kent State (64.1%)
Temple (14-8) 71, Boston College (9-13) 76 [5] 64-73 ✓ MAE: 6.9
BET UNDER 142.5		 Temple (63.9%)
Stonehill (9-14) 63, Loyola Maryland (9-15) 74 [11] 64-74 ✗ MAE: 10.5
O/U: 139.5		 Stonehill (63.4%)
Sacred Heart (10-14) 64, Queens University (12-11) 81 [17] 75-86 ✓ MAE: 8.0
BET UNDER 165.5		 Queens University (62.8%)
Cal State Fullerton (10-13) 73, Pacific (15-10) 85 [12] 83-76 ✓ MAE: 2.3
O/U: 159.5		 Pacific (62.4%)
Fairleigh Dickinson (7-16) 81, NJIT (11-12) 93 [12] 70-76 ✗ MAE: 14.1
O/U: 146.5		 NJIT (62.1%)
Bowling Green (14-9) 87, Davidson (13-9) 91 [4] 74-78 ✗ MAE: 13.0
BET OVER 145.0		 Davidson (61.6%)
Mercer (15-8) 69, Winthrop (17-8) 105 [36] 74-85 ✗ MAE: 12.4
BET UNDER 163.2		 Winthrop (61.3%)
Ball State (7-15) 62, Little Rock (9-14) 68 [6] 66-75 ✓ MAE: 7.2
BET UNDER 146.5		 Ball State (61.1%)
Army (10-14) 52, Harvard (12-9) 75 [23] 75-68 ✗ MAE: 8.4
BET UNDER 146.8		 Harvard (60.8%)
Delaware State (6-15) 52, New Haven (10-12) 65 [13] 66-61 ✗ MAE: 8.7
BET UNDER 130.5		 New Haven (60.2%)
Denver (9-15) 79, UTSA (4-18) 84 [5] 80-78 ✓ MAE: 3.0
BET OVER 148.8		 Denver (60.2%)
UNC Greensboro (9-15) 63, Austin Peay (16-6) 69 [6] 81-75 ✗ MAE: 11.7
BET OVER 146.5		 UNC Greensboro (59.5%)
Missouri State (13-9) 49, UT Arlington (14-7) 67 [18] 63-73 ✗ MAE: 10.0
BET UNDER 143.5		 UT Arlington (59.3%)
James Madison (11-13) 79, Long Island University (14-8) 88 [9] 72-82 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET OVER 147.8		 Long Island University (58.5%)
VMI (6-18) 67, Jacksonville (9-14) 69 [2] 72-79 ✓ MAE: 7.4
O/U: 151.0		 VMI (54.7%) DOG
Pepperdine (6-18) 81, Northern Colorado (13-10) 88 [7] 74-79 ✓ MAE: 7.9
O/U: 153.5		 Pepperdine (54.3%) DOG
Drexel (12-11) 50, Syracuse (13-10) 80 [30] 70-63 ✗ MAE: 18.6
BET UNDER 144.2		 Drexel (53.7%)
BYU #16 (17-5) 84, UConn #3 (22-1) 86 [2] 72-79 ✗ MAE: 9.6
BET UNDER 156.0		 UConn (53.3%)
Clemson #20 (19-4) 74, Georgetown (13-10) 79 [5] 72-73 ✓ MAE: 3.8
BET OVER 141.8		 Georgetown (53.1%) DOG
Chattanooga (9-14) 73, Florida Gulf Coast (10-13) 91 [18] 74-80 ✓ MAE: 6.0
O/U: 152.5		 Florida Gulf Coast (52.8%) DOG
Bellarmine (9-13) 86, Wofford (16-8) 94 [8] 73-78 ✗ MAE: 14.3
BET UNDER 156.5		 Wofford (52.1%)
New Mexico (18-5) 68, New Mexico State (11-11) 76 [8] 73-75 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET OVER 140.2		 New Mexico (51.8%)
Southeast Missouri State (13-10) 72, St. Thomas-Minnesota (19-6) 84 [12] 84-72 ✓ MAE: 0.2
BET OVER 152.5		 Southeast Missouri State (50.7%) DOG
Utah Valley (16-6) 74, Fresno State (11-11) 75 [1] 72-72 ✓ MAE: 2.2
BET UNDER 156.5		 Utah Valley (50.6%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
78
Final results
78
Correct picks
61
Incorrect picks
17
Pending
0
Accuracy
78.2%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
60
ML Win Rate
80.0%
ML Profit
$116
ML ROI
19.3%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
4
Wins
3
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
75.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$72
ROI
18.1%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$38
ROI
37.7%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
9
Wins
6
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$184
ROI
20.5%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
2
Wins
2
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$210
ROI
105.1%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
42
ATS Wins
17
ATS Losses
25
ATS Win Rate
40.5%
Spread Profit
$-95
Spread ROI
-22.7%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-11.9%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
64
O/U Wins
34
O/U Losses
30
O/U Win Rate
53.1%
O/U Profit
$9
O/U ROI
1.4%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+0.7%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
6
Completed
6
Covered
4
Failed
2
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$164
ROI
27.3%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
6
O/U Wins
2
O/U Losses
4
O/U Win Rate
33.3%
O/U Profit
$-218
O/U ROI
-36.4%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-19.1%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Morgan State 72 @ Mercyhurst 86 Mercyhurst (75.5%) Mercyhurst -7.0 +8.8 +15.8 +14.0 COVERED
Southern Utah 85 @ Omaha 90 Omaha (77.6%) Omaha -8.2 +8.4 -0.2 +5.0 FAILED
Grand Canyon 64 @ Saint Louis #19 78 Saint Louis (77.2%) Saint Louis -8.2 +8.2 +16.4 +14.0 COVERED
Oklahoma 99 @ Nebraska #9 105 Nebraska (79.2%) Nebraska -1.5 +7.7 +9.2 +6.0 COVERED
Texas Southern 67 @ Texas State 77 Texas State (81.0%) Texas State -4.8 +7.2 +11.9 +10.0 COVERED
North Dakota 76 @ UC Riverside 74 UC Riverside (73.2%) UC Riverside -3.5 +6.2 +9.7 -2.0 FAILED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
4
Wins
3
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
75.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$72
ROI
18.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
BYU 84, UConn 86 [2] UConn 53.3% +172 +18.1% WIN
Clemson 74, Georgetown 79 [5] Georgetown 53.1% N/A N/A WIN
Chattanooga 73, Florida Gulf Coast 91 [18] Florida Gulf Coast 52.8% N/A N/A WIN
Southeast Missouri State 72, St. Thomas-Minnesota 84 [12] Southeast Missouri State 50.7% +130 +8.7% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$38
ROI
37.7%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Texas Southern 67, Texas State 77 [10] Texas State 81.0% -265 +11.1% WIN
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
9
Wins
6
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
66.7%
Profit ($100/bet)
$184
ROI
20.5%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
BYU 84, UConn 86 [2] UConn 53.3% +172 +18.1% WIN
Texas Southern 67, Texas State 77 [10] Texas State 81.0% -265 +11.1% WIN
Delaware State 52, New Haven 65 [13] New Haven 60.2% -112 +9.6% WIN
Southeast Missouri State 72, St. Thomas-Minnesota 84 [12] Southeast Missouri State 50.7% +130 +8.7% LOSS
James Madison 79, Long Island University 88 [9] Long Island University 58.5% -110 +8.5% WIN
Fairleigh Dickinson 81, NJIT 93 [12] NJIT 62.1% -127 +8.3% WIN
Gardner-Webb 84, Elon 95 [11] Elon 90.3% -625 +8.2% WIN
Ball State 62, Little Rock 68 [6] Ball State 61.1% -135 +5.8% LOSS
Temple 71, Boston College 76 [5] Temple 63.9% -152 +5.8% LOSS
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
2
Wins
2
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$210
ROI
105.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
BYU 84, UConn 86 [2] UConn 53.3% +172 +18.1% WIN
Texas Southern 67, Texas State 77 [10] Texas State 81.0% -265 +11.1% WIN
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$675
ROI
225.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Drexel @ Syracuse Syracuse 46.3% +875 +36.5% WIN
South Alabama @ Coppin State Coppin State 26.5% +1500 +20.5% LOSS
UTEP @ Utah State UTEP 20.9% +1250 +13.9% LOSS