Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-17
All Games Summary
Total Picks
29
Final results
29
Correct picks
24
Incorrect picks
5
Pending
0
Accuracy
82.8%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (29)
Southern Utah (8-15) 50, Gonzaga #6 (22-2) 122 [72] 56-101 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET UNDER 160.2		 Gonzaga (97.4%)
Canisius (8-16) 50, High Point (21-4) 93 [43] 60-89 ✓ MAE: 6.8
BET UNDER 152.5		 High Point (97.3%)
Rice (10-13) 66, Tennessee #25 (16-6) 91 [25] 56-87 ✓ MAE: 7.4
O/U: 143.8		 Tennessee (97.2%)
Florida A&M (7-12) 57, Georgia (16-6) 87 [30] 63-99 ✗ MAE: 9.3
BET UNDER 170.2		 Georgia (97.1%)
SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 69, Wisconsin (16-6) 94 [25] 64-81 ✗ MAE: 9.2
O/U: 146.2		 Wisconsin (97.0%)
Stonehill (9-14) 57, Iowa State #7 (20-2) 96 [39] 50-90 ✓ MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 147.0		 Iowa State (96.9%)
North Alabama (7-14) 61, Clemson #20 (19-4) 81 [20] 54-80 ✓ MAE: 3.7
BET UNDER 144.8		 Clemson (96.9%)
Prairie View A&M (9-13) 73, Missouri (15-7) 91 [18] 63-90 ✓ MAE: 5.4
BET UNDER 165.0		 Missouri (96.7%)
Lafayette (7-17) 59, West Virginia (14-8) 81 [22] 53-78 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET UNDER 135.0		 West Virginia (96.7%)
Alabama State (7-15) 66, Colorado (13-10) 94 [28] 66-93 ✓ MAE: 0.5
BET OVER 157.0		 Colorado (96.2%)
Carolina University (0-3) 46, Liberty (19-3) 98 [52] 69-84 ✗ MAE: 18.8 Liberty (95.7%)
Coastal Georgia (0-3) 63, Florida Atlantic (14-10) 92 [29] 75-87 ✗ MAE: 8.5 Florida Atlantic (95.5%)
Georgia State (9-15) 62, Arizona State (12-11) 75 [13] 69-88 ✗ MAE: 9.9
BET OVER 145.0		 Arizona State (94.8%)
Southwestern Adventist (0-3) 53, UT Rio Grande Valley (12-11) 110 [57] 70-85 ✗ MAE: 20.8 UT Rio Grande Valley (94.2%)
Bucknell (8-16) 50, Pittsburgh (9-14) 84 [34] 58-78 ✓ MAE: 7.3
BET UNDER 141.5		 Pittsburgh (91.8%)
Oakland (14-11) 83, UCF (17-5) 87 [4] 71-91 ✓ MAE: 7.9
O/U: 163.5		 UCF (91.1%)
VCU (17-6) 79, NC State (17-6) 85 [6] 72-79 ✓ MAE: 6.8
BET UNDER 164.8		 NC State (85.6%)
Bethesda University (0-7) 56, San José State (6-16) 110 [54] 76-82 ✗ MAE: 23.8 San José State (80.6%)
Oregon State (13-12) 75, Oregon (8-14) 87 [12] 62-81 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET OVER 141.0		 Oregon (77.7%)
Tulsa (20-3) 83, Kansas State (10-12) 84 [1] 78-85 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET OVER 160.5		 Kansas State (75.8%)
Cal State Bakersfield (8-15) 80, Portland State (15-6) 93 [13] 70-82 ✗ MAE: 10.4
BET OVER 143.5		 Portland State (74.9%)
Siena (16-7) 69, Colgate (14-10) 72 [3] 64-76 ✓ MAE: 7.5
BET UNDER 146.2		 Siena (73.2%)
Tennessee Tech (9-14) 59, West Georgia (10-12) 61 [2] 77-80 ✗ MAE: 18.7
BET OVER 152.5		 Tennessee Tech (67.0%)
Charleston (15-8) 62, Drake (12-12) 71 [9] 69-78 ✗ MAE: 8.9
BET UNDER 152.5		 Charleston (65.0%)
UL Monroe (4-20) 66, Lamar (12-11) 79 [13] 74-72 ✓ MAE: 5.3
BET OVER 140.5		 Lamar (62.6%)
UC Santa Barbara (15-7) 74, Loyola Marymount (12-13) 78 [4] 69-79 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET OVER 143.8		 UC Santa Barbara (58.8%)
Southern Illinois (10-13) 85, North Dakota State (19-5) 92 [7] 71-78 ✗ MAE: 14.0
BET UNDER 153.8		 North Dakota State (58.3%) DOG
Saint Joseph's (15-8) 74, Pennsylvania (10-10) 83 [9] 77-70 ✓ MAE: 7.9
BET UNDER 163.0		 Saint Joseph's (57.8%)
Niagara (6-17) 68, Le Moyne (11-12) 74 [6] 66-74 ✓ MAE: 1.0
BET OVER 138.2		 Le Moyne (53.8%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
29
Final results
29
Correct picks
24
Incorrect picks
5
Pending
0
Accuracy
82.8%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
17
ML Win Rate
64.7%
ML Profit
$-30
ML ROI
-17.5%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
2
Wins
2
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$100
ROI
50.0%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
13
ATS Wins
6
ATS Losses
7
ATS Win Rate
46.2%
Spread Profit
$-15
Spread ROI
-11.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-6.2%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
22
O/U Wins
10
O/U Losses
12
O/U Win Rate
45.5%
O/U Profit
$-29
O/U ROI
-13.2%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-6.9%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)

No recommended picks met the criteria (4.0+ edge, ≤12 spread, ≥65% confidence).

Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
2
Wins
2
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$100
ROI
50.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Southern Illinois 85, North Dakota State 92 [7] North Dakota State 58.3% N/A N/A WIN
Niagara 68, Le Moyne 74 [6] Le Moyne 53.8% +100 +6.0% WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Tennessee Tech 59, West Georgia 61 [2] Tennessee Tech 67.0% -157 +8.0% LOSS
Niagara 68, Le Moyne 74 [6] Le Moyne 53.8% +100 +6.0% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Tulsa @ Kansas State Tulsa 24.2% +762 +13.2% LOSS
Oregon State @ Oregon Oregon State 22.3% +675 +10.0% LOSS
Lamar @ UL Monroe UL Monroe 37.4% +360 +16.7% LOSS