Test Predictions Recap
2025-11-19
All Games Summary
Total Picks
41
Final results
41
Correct picks
32
Incorrect picks
9
Pending
0
Accuracy
78.0%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (41)
Jackson State (6-16) 66, Auburn (14-8) 112 [46] 64-97 ✗ MAE: 8.6
BET OVER 157.0		 Auburn (97.2%)
Bellarmine (9-13) 79, Notre Dame (11-12) 86 [7] 63-81 ✗ MAE: 10.2
BET UNDER 151.0		 Notre Dame (97.1%)
Kansas City (4-20) 45, TCU (13-9) 81 [36] 55-83 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 150.5		 TCU (96.9%)
Arkansas State (14-10) 72, Saint Mary's (20-4) 85 [13] 66-87 ✓ MAE: 3.8
BET OVER 149.5		 Saint Mary's (96.5%)
North Dakota (13-12) 60, Creighton (12-11) 75 [15] 62-88 ✓ MAE: 7.4
BET UNDER 155.8		 Creighton (96.3%)
UMBC (13-8) 52, George Washington (13-10) 89 [37] 66-87 ✓ MAE: 8.0
BET UNDER 160.5		 George Washington (96.2%)
UMass Lowell (9-14) 77, Bradley (16-8) 87 [10] 69-86 ✓ MAE: 4.8
BET OVER 150.0		 Bradley (95.7%)
Bryant (7-15) 61, Virginia Tech (16-7) 78 [17] 61-81 ✓ MAE: 1.3
BET UNDER 151.0		 Virginia Tech (95.6%)
Mount St. Mary's (10-14) 90, Maryland (8-13) 95 [5] 64-78 ✗ MAE: 21.3
BET UNDER 145.5		 Maryland (94.4%)
North Greenville (1-1) 57, The Citadel (8-15) 70 [13] 71-80 ✗ MAE: 11.8 The Citadel (94.0%)
Loyola Maryland (9-15) 78, Duquesne (13-10) 92 [14] 69-88 ✓ MAE: 6.4
BET OVER 150.2		 Duquesne (88.8%)
Lipscomb (15-9) 68, Belmont (21-3) 75 [7] 69-85 ✓ MAE: 5.3
BET UNDER 158.5		 Belmont (88.8%)
Harvard (12-9) 80, Penn State (10-12) 84 [4] 70-80 ✓ MAE: 6.9
BET OVER 142.5		 Penn State (88.8%)
VMI (6-18) 54, Richmond (13-10) 87 [33] 71-84 ✗ MAE: 9.6
BET OVER 151.5		 Richmond (86.5%)
Southern Utah (8-15) 74, Washington State (11-14) 98 [24] 63-84 ✗ MAE: 12.8
BET UNDER 157.2		 Washington State (84.6%)
North Florida (5-18) 78, Wofford (16-8) 86 [8] 69-88 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 161.5		 Wofford (84.2%)
Middle Tennessee (11-11) 61, Michigan #2 (20-1) 86 [25] 62-93 ✓ MAE: 3.6
BET UNDER 159.0		 Michigan (82.7%)
William Carey (0-2) 45, SE Louisiana (6-17) 71 [26] 59-68 ✗ MAE: 8.6 SE Louisiana (80.9%)
Nobel (0-7) 54, Long Beach State (8-15) 87 [33] 74-80 ✗ MAE: 13.4 Long Beach State (80.7%)
Bowling Green (14-9) 74, William & Mary (14-8) 82 [8] 75-84 ✗ MAE: 8.3
BET UNDER 167.0		 Bowling Green (77.0%)
Marquette (8-15) 71, Dayton (15-8) 77 [6] 72-72 ✓ MAE: 3.0
BET UNDER 152.5		 Marquette (73.2%)
South Carolina State (6-16) 66, Chattanooga (9-14) 78 [12] 75-70 ✓ MAE: 3.5
BET UNDER 154.8		 Chattanooga (71.1%)
La Salle (7-16) 55, Villanova (17-5) 70 [15] 73-69 ✗ MAE: 8.5
BET UNDER 145.2		 Villanova (70.1%)
Wyoming (13-10) 70, Sam Houston (16-7) 78 [8] 72-80 ✓ MAE: 1.9
BET UNDER 156.0		 Sam Houston (70.0%)
Hofstra (14-9) 76, Temple (14-8) 81 [5] 67-75 ✓ MAE: 7.2
BET UNDER 145.5		 Temple (69.7%)
Maine (5-18) 65, Merrimack (14-9) 72 [7] 68-64 ✓ MAE: 5.1
O/U: 130.5		 Merrimack (68.6%)
UNC Asheville (11-13) 73, Western Carolina (8-14) 80 [7] 71-77 ✓ MAE: 2.4
BET UNDER 152.5		 Western Carolina (68.1%) DOG
Samford (11-12) 62, Florida Gulf Coast (10-13) 77 [15] 72-82 ✗ MAE: 12.6
O/U: 154.0		 Samford (67.8%)
South Florida (15-8) 95, Oklahoma State (16-6) 103 [8] 84-92 ✗ MAE: 11.0
O/U: 177.8		 Oklahoma State (67.3%)
Ohio (13-11) 73, Bethune-Cookman (11-11) 76 [3] 67-83 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET UNDER 157.5		 Ohio (66.3%)
Cleveland State (10-14) 75, Valparaiso (11-12) 90 [15] 72-78 ✗ MAE: 10.8
BET UNDER 158.8		 Cleveland State (62.7%)
UConn #3 (22-1) 67, Arizona #1 (22-0) 71 [4] 72-78 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 156.8		 UConn (62.3%)
South Carolina Upstate (10-14) 84, Tennessee Tech (9-14) 88 [4] 70-78 ✗ MAE: 12.5
BET UNDER 150.5		 South Carolina Upstate (61.0%)
Louisiana Tech (12-10) 51, Indiana State (10-14) 60 [9] 66-73 ✗ MAE: 13.9
BET UNDER 148.0		 Indiana State (60.6%)
Campbell (10-13) 85, Weber State (11-12) 91 [6] 76-84 ✓ MAE: 7.8
O/U: 159.5		 Weber State (60.2%)
Illinois #5 (20-3) 86, Alabama (15-7) 90 [4] 78-91 ✗ MAE: 8.3
BET UNDER 181.0		 Illinois (60.0%)
Jacksonville State (11-10) 65, South Alabama (16-7) 71 [6] 62-73 ✗ MAE: 8.2
O/U: 135.5		 Jacksonville State (59.1%)
Alabama State (7-15) 64, Air Force (3-19) 66 [2] 70-65 ✓ MAE: 3.5
BET UNDER 138.2		 Air Force (58.6%)
UC Irvine (15-7) 72, Utah Valley (16-6) 79 [7] 71-81 ✓ MAE: 1.3
BET OVER 149.5		 Utah Valley (56.9%)
Youngstown State (12-12) 75, Toledo (12-11) 92 [17] 76-83 ✓ MAE: 4.8
BET UNDER 161.2		 Toledo (56.9%)
Howard (14-9) 60, Stetson (8-15) 64 [4] 68-72 ✗ MAE: 8.1
BET UNDER 150.0		 Stetson (50.5%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
41
Final results
41
Correct picks
32
Incorrect picks
9
Pending
0
Accuracy
78.0%
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
19
ML Win Rate
63.2%
ML Profit
$-11
ML ROI
-5.6%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$123
ROI
122.5%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
5
Wins
3
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
60.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$30
ROI
5.9%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
15
ATS Wins
3
ATS Losses
12
ATS Win Rate
20.0%
Spread Profit
$-93
Spread ROI
-61.8%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-32.4%
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
21
O/U Wins
11
O/U Losses
10
O/U Win Rate
52.4%
O/U Profit
$-0
O/U ROI
-0.0%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-0.0%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
2
Completed
2
Covered
1
Failed
1
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-9
ROI
-4.5%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
2
O/U Wins
1
O/U Losses
1
O/U Win Rate
50.0%
O/U Profit
$-9
O/U ROI
-4.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-2.4%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
North Florida 78 @ Wofford 86 Wofford (84.2%) Wofford -11.0 +8.5 +19.5 +8.0 FAILED
Wyoming 70 @ Sam Houston 78 Sam Houston (70.0%) Sam Houston -1.8 +6.6 +8.4 +8.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$123
ROI
122.5%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Howard 60, Stetson 64 [4] Stetson 50.5% +122 +7.1% WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
5
Wins
3
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
60.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$30
ROI
5.9%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Howard 60, Stetson 64 [4] Stetson 50.5% +122 +7.1% WIN
Samford 62, Florida Gulf Coast 77 [15] Samford 67.8% -175 +6.4% LOSS
North Florida 78, Wofford 86 [8] Wofford 84.2% -452 +6.2% WIN
South Carolina Upstate 84, Tennessee Tech 88 [4] South Carolina Upstate 61.0% -135 +5.8% LOSS
Youngstown State 75, Toledo 92 [17] Toledo 56.9% -117 +5.5% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Middle Tennessee @ Michigan Middle Tennessee 17.3% +2500 +13.5% LOSS
Bryant @ Virginia Tech Bryant 4.4% +4000 +2.0% LOSS
Villanova @ La Salle La Salle 29.9% +480 +13.5% LOSS