Test Predictions Recap
2026-01-01
All Games Summary
Total Picks
39
Final results
39
Correct picks
32
Incorrect picks
7
Pending
0
Accuracy
82.1%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (39)
Elms College (0-2) 43, Dartmouth (10-10) 107 [64] 67-85 ✗ MAE: 23.1 Dartmouth (94.5%)
Jacksonville (9-14) 57, Lipscomb (15-9) 76 [19] 67-83 ✗ MAE: 8.5
BET OVER 147.8		 Lipscomb (87.9%)
Western Illinois (4-19) 60, UT Martin (18-5) 67 [7] 59-70 ✓ MAE: 2.1
BET UNDER 140.0		 UT Martin (87.4%)
North Florida (5-18) 83, Austin Peay (16-6) 102 [19] 77-91 ✗ MAE: 8.4
BET OVER 162.0		 Austin Peay (86.4%)
Eastern Illinois (9-14) 59, Southeast Missouri State (13-10) 68 [9] 62-70 ✓ MAE: 2.7
BET UNDER 146.5		 Southeast Missouri State (86.4%)
IU Indianapolis (6-18) 72, Northern Kentucky (14-11) 81 [9] 72-87 ✓ MAE: 3.0
BET UNDER 176.5		 Northern Kentucky (85.1%)
Evansville (5-18) 47, Illinois State (15-8) 73 [26] 54-73 ✓ MAE: 3.5
BET UNDER 144.2		 Illinois State (84.9%)
Southern Indiana (5-17) 55, SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 59 [4] 57-70 ✓ MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 136.8		 SIU Edwardsville (79.1%)
Indiana State (10-14) 66, Northern Iowa (14-9) 75 [9] 59-75 ✓ MAE: 3.6
O/U: 134.5		 Northern Iowa (78.5%)
North Alabama (7-14) 67, Stetson (8-15) 70 [3] 62-76 ✗ MAE: 8.6
BET UNDER 142.8		 North Alabama (78.3%)
Morehead State (12-11) 64, Lindenwood (14-10) 77 [13] 68-74 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 147.8		 Lindenwood (76.3%)
Sacramento State (9-13) 84, Idaho State (10-13) 97 [13] 75-90 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET OVER 151.8		 Idaho State (76.1%)
Purdue Fort Wayne (14-10) 54, Green Bay (13-12) 72 [18] 65-77 ✗ MAE: 14.9
BET UNDER 146.5		 Purdue Fort Wayne (75.1%)
Northern Arizona (8-15) 64, Montana (13-10) 78 [14] 69-79 ✓ MAE: 3.2
O/U: 148.0		 Montana (74.2%)
Omaha (12-12) 69, South Dakota State (11-13) 84 [15] 68-82 ✓ MAE: 1.6
BET UNDER 152.2		 South Dakota State (73.9%)
Abilene Christian (10-11) 64, Utah Tech (13-11) 79 [15] 67-78 ✗ MAE: 13.1
BET OVER 138.2		 Abilene Christian (73.8%)
Valparaiso (11-12) 70, Southern Illinois (10-13) 75 [5] 64-76 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 146.0		 Southern Illinois (73.1%)
UC San Diego (15-8) 65, Cal Poly (9-14) 67 [2] 75-75 ✗ MAE: 9.1
BET UNDER 172.5		 UC San Diego (69.4%)
UL Monroe (4-20) 73, Southern Miss (12-13) 87 [14] 79-76 ✓ MAE: 5.5
O/U: 152.5		 Southern Miss (68.1%)
Milwaukee (9-16) 70, Wright State (15-9) 76 [6] 70-80 ✓ MAE: 2.0
O/U: 148.5		 Wright State (66.7%)
UC Riverside (8-15) 45, Hawai'i (16-5) 88 [43] 70-69 ✗ MAE: 20.8
BET UNDER 150.2		 Hawai'i (66.6%)
Oral Roberts (5-19) 61, North Dakota (13-12) 72 [11] 68-76 ✓ MAE: 5.2
BET UNDER 147.5		 North Dakota (65.8%)
Bradley (16-8) 78, Belmont (21-3) 88 [10] 75-85 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET OVER 153.5		 Belmont (64.3%)
Youngstown State (12-12) 83, Oakland (14-11) 85 [2] 75-82 ✓ MAE: 5.4
O/U: 158.5		 Youngstown State (62.4%)
Weber State (11-12) 90, Portland State (15-6) 95 [5] 74-79 ✗ MAE: 16.0
BET OVER 148.5		 Weber State (61.7%) DOG
UIC (13-11) 77, Murray State (17-7) 81 [4] 81-75 ✓ MAE: 1.0
BET UNDER 159.5		 Murray State (60.6%)
Eastern Kentucky (7-16) 89, Queens University (12-11) 91 [2] 81-89 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET OVER 164.5		 Queens University (60.4%)
Cal State Northridge (13-10) 80, UC Davis (13-9) 89 [9] 79-86 ✓ MAE: 2.3
O/U: 162.8		 UC Davis (59.6%)
Coastal Carolina (14-11) 81, Georgia Southern (14-11) 82 [1] 76-82 ✓ MAE: 3.5
O/U: 155.2		 Coastal Carolina (59.5%)
Northern Colorado (13-10) 75, Montana State (13-10) 89 [14] 71-82 ✓ MAE: 5.3
O/U: 152.5		 Montana State (58.4%)
VMI (6-18) 58, Samford (11-12) 78 [20] 77-76 ✗ MAE: 9.6
O/U: 152.5		 Samford (58.0%)
UC Santa Barbara (15-7) 84, Cal State Fullerton (10-13) 95 [11] 78-79 ✗ MAE: 10.9
O/U: 156.5		 Cal State Fullerton (56.2%) DOG
Tennessee Tech (9-14) 58, Little Rock (9-14) 77 [19] 67-76 ✓ MAE: 4.8
O/U: 144.0		 Little Rock (54.1%)
Tarleton State (11-11) 85, Utah Valley (16-6) 91 [6] 79-72 ✗ MAE: 12.6
BET OVER 144.0		 Utah Valley (52.7%)
California Baptist (16-6) 51, UT Arlington (14-7) 63 [12] 62-68 ✓ MAE: 7.9
BET UNDER 135.2		 UT Arlington (52.7%) DOG
Cal State Bakersfield (8-15) 77, UC Irvine (15-7) 81 [4] 74-72 ✓ MAE: 5.9
BET OVER 143.5		 UC Irvine (52.4%)
Bellarmine (9-13) 85, West Georgia (10-12) 87 [2] 79-82 ✓ MAE: 5.1
BET OVER 151.5		 West Georgia (52.2%) DOG
Florida Gulf Coast (10-13) 83, Central Arkansas (13-10) 85 [2] 79-82 ✓ MAE: 3.4
BET OVER 156.5		 Central Arkansas (51.9%) DOG
Chattanooga (9-14) 72, UNC Greensboro (9-15) 77 [5] 69-76 ✓ MAE: 2.1
BET UNDER 147.5		 UNC Greensboro (50.7%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
39
Final results
39
Correct picks
32
Incorrect picks
7
Pending
0
Accuracy
82.1%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
5
Wins
3
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
60.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$113
ROI
22.6%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
2
Completed
2
Covered
1
Failed
1
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-9
ROI
-4.5%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
2
O/U Wins
2
O/U Losses
0
O/U Win Rate
100.0%
O/U Profit
$182
O/U ROI
90.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+47.6%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Evansville 47 @ Illinois State 73 Illinois State (84.9%) Illinois State -11.8 +7.8 +19.6 +26.0 COVERED
Utah Tech 79 @ Abilene Christian 64 Abilene Christian (73.8%) Abilene Christian -5.2 +6.0 +11.3 -15.0 FAILED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
4
Wins
4
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$337
ROI
84.2%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
California Baptist 51, UT Arlington 63 [12] UT Arlington 52.7% +115 +7.4% WIN
Bellarmine 85, West Georgia 87 [2] West Georgia 52.2% N/A N/A WIN
Florida Gulf Coast 83, Central Arkansas 85 [2] Central Arkansas 51.9% +120 +8.1% WIN
Chattanooga 72, UNC Greensboro 77 [5] UNC Greensboro 50.7% +102 +3.3% WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
5
Wins
3
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
60.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$113
ROI
22.6%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Oral Roberts 61, North Dakota 72 [11] North Dakota 65.8% -128 +11.8% WIN
Youngstown State 83, Oakland 85 [2] Youngstown State 62.4% -115 +11.3% LOSS
Abilene Christian 64, Utah Tech 79 [15] Abilene Christian 73.8% -216 +8.2% LOSS
Florida Gulf Coast 83, Central Arkansas 85 [2] Central Arkansas 51.9% +120 +8.1% WIN
California Baptist 51, UT Arlington 63 [12] UT Arlington 52.7% +115 +7.4% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-22
ROI
-11.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Oral Roberts 61, North Dakota 72 [11] North Dakota 65.8% -128 +11.8% WIN
Youngstown State 83, Oakland 85 [2] Youngstown State 62.4% -115 +11.3% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Evansville @ Illinois State Evansville 15.1% +850 +5.1% LOSS
Sacramento State @ Idaho State Sacramento State 23.9% +460 +6.9% LOSS
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside UC Riverside 33.4% +295 +9.2% LOSS