Test Predictions Recap
2026-01-17
All Games Summary
Total Picks
145
Final results
145
Correct picks
90
Incorrect picks
55
Pending
0
Accuracy
62.1%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (145)
Western Michigan (8-14) 89, Akron (19-4) 104 [15] 73-93 ✗ MAE: 13.7
O/U: 164.0		 Akron (94.4%)
Bethesda University (0-7) 67, San Diego (10-15) 113 [46] 74-89 ✗ MAE: 15.6 San Diego (93.0%)
NC State (17-6) 74, Georgia Tech (11-12) 78 [4] 65-80 ✗ MAE: 9.3
BET UNDER 154.5		 NC State (91.0%)
Rutgers (9-14) 87, Wisconsin (16-6) 96 [9] 65-78 ✗ MAE: 19.6
BET UNDER 149.0		 Wisconsin (89.0%)
South Carolina Upstate (10-14) 69, High Point (21-4) 89 [20] 68-88 ✓ MAE: 0.9
BET OVER 152.5		 High Point (89.0%)
Richmond (13-10) 63, Saint Louis #19 (22-1) 88 [25] 73-89 ✓ MAE: 5.8
O/U: 162.5		 Saint Louis (88.8%)
Minnesota (11-12) 67, Illinois #5 (20-3) 77 [10] 60-78 ✓ MAE: 3.8
BET UNDER 142.5		 Illinois (88.6%)
UTEP (8-15) 69, Liberty (19-3) 80 [11] 60-75 ✓ MAE: 6.6
O/U: 137.5		 Liberty (87.9%)
South Carolina (11-12) 67, Auburn (14-8) 71 [4] 74-84 ✗ MAE: 9.8
BET OVER 152.5		 Auburn (86.3%)
Kansas City (4-20) 62, South Dakota State (11-13) 90 [28] 66-79 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET UNDER 151.5		 South Dakota State (85.4%)
Eastern Michigan (9-14) 79, Bowling Green (14-9) 85 [6] 70-80 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET OVER 141.8		 Bowling Green (82.5%)
Buffalo (14-9) 102, Miami (OH) #23 (23-0) 105 [3] 74-82 ✗ MAE: 25.6
BET UNDER 162.2		 Miami (OH) (80.8%)
Indiana State (10-14) 81, Murray State (17-7) 85 [4] 74-86 ✓ MAE: 4.0
BET UNDER 167.0		 Murray State (80.0%)
North Florida (5-18) 69, Central Arkansas (13-10) 98 [29] 83-87 ✗ MAE: 12.3
BET OVER 164.8		 Central Arkansas (79.7%)
South Alabama (16-7) 56, Louisiana (8-16) 59 [3] 53-65 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET UNDER 129.5		 South Alabama (79.6%)
Rider (3-18) 58, Saint Peter's (12-8) 69 [11] 59-74 ✓ MAE: 2.6
BET UNDER 134.5		 Saint Peter's (79.5%)
UT Arlington (14-7) 74, Utah Valley (16-6) 86 [12] 65-72 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET UNDER 143.5		 Utah Valley (79.2%)
West Georgia (10-12) 72, Florida Gulf Coast (10-13) 90 [18] 76-84 ✓ MAE: 4.8
BET OVER 155.5		 Florida Gulf Coast (78.1%)
Georgia Southern (14-11) 75, Coastal Carolina (14-11) 79 [4] 71-86 ✗ MAE: 9.8
O/U: 157.5		 Georgia Southern (77.3%)
Cal State Northridge (13-10) 80, Long Beach State (8-15) 87 [7] 72-82 ✗ MAE: 8.4
BET UNDER 158.5		 Cal State Northridge (77.3%)
Northern Arizona (8-15) 52, Portland State (15-6) 63 [11] 70-79 ✗ MAE: 17.1
BET OVER 140.2		 Portland State (77.3%)
Cornell (10-10) 68, Yale (16-4) 102 [34] 81-91 ✗ MAE: 12.3
BET UNDER 174.8		 Yale (77.0%)
Western Illinois (4-19) 79, Little Rock (9-14) 86 [7] 60-70 ✗ MAE: 17.1
BET UNDER 135.2		 Little Rock (76.7%)
Bucknell (8-16) 76, Colgate (14-10) 95 [19] 65-72 ✗ MAE: 17.2
BET UNDER 139.0		 Colgate (76.7%)
App State (16-9) 73, Old Dominion (7-17) 75 [2] 65-80 ✗ MAE: 8.2
BET OVER 140.5		 App State (76.6%)
Campbell (10-13) 75, UNC Wilmington (19-3) 78 [3] 58-74 ✗ MAE: 10.4
BET UNDER 149.5		 UNC Wilmington (76.1%)
James Madison (11-13) 72, Marshall (15-8) 77 [5] 74-83 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET OVER 149.8		 Marshall (76.0%)
Northwestern State (6-16) 74, Incarnate Word (10-13) 76 [2] 66-74 ✓ MAE: 5.4
BET UNDER 141.8		 Incarnate Word (76.0%)
Bellarmine (9-13) 69, Eastern Kentucky (7-16) 89 [20] 75-81 ✓ MAE: 7.3
O/U: 156.2		 Eastern Kentucky (74.9%)
Longwood (13-12) 83, Radford (13-12) 85 [2] 74-81 ✓ MAE: 7.0
BET UNDER 157.2		 Radford (74.6%)
Coppin State (3-21) 67, Maryland Eastern Shore (8-16) 70 [3] 58-70 ✓ MAE: 4.3
BET UNDER 133.5		 Maryland Eastern Shore (74.0%)
Loyola Marymount (12-13) 58, Portland (11-14) 71 [13] 68-80 ✗ MAE: 12.6
O/U: 148.2		 Loyola Marymount (74.0%)
Southern Indiana (5-17) 67, Tennessee State (14-8) 73 [6] 66-75 ✓ MAE: 1.6
BET UNDER 150.8		 Tennessee State (73.7%)
SE Louisiana (6-17) 56, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (12-11) 68 [12] 58-68 ✓ MAE: 0.8
BET UNDER 130.0		 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (73.6%)
Missouri State (13-9) 87, Middle Tennessee (11-11) 90 [3] 63-70 ✗ MAE: 22.0
BET UNDER 137.5		 Middle Tennessee (73.1%)
Southeast Missouri State (13-10) 55, SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 68 [13] 60-67 ✗ MAE: 9.9
BET UNDER 139.5		 Southeast Missouri State (72.8%)
Fairfield (14-10) 67, Marist (15-7) 82 [15] 58-73 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET UNDER 140.5		 Marist (72.6%)
Tennessee #25 (16-6) 78, Kentucky (16-7) 80 [2] 67-81 ✓ MAE: 7.7
BET OVER 145.0		 Tennessee (72.0%)
Air Force (3-19) 66, Nevada (16-7) 81 [15] 68-62 ✗ MAE: 8.7
BET UNDER 134.2		 Nevada (71.8%)
Arkansas State (14-10) 74, Troy (16-8) 99 [25] 71-82 ✗ MAE: 9.6
BET UNDER 165.5		 Troy (71.1%)
Seton Hall (16-7) 66, Butler (13-10) 77 [11] 60-76 ✗ MAE: 13.5
BET UNDER 144.5		 Seton Hall (70.6%)
Bradley (16-8) 62, Illinois State (15-8) 88 [26] 64-77 ✓ MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 147.8		 Illinois State (70.6%)
Northern Kentucky (14-11) 89, Robert Morris (15-10) 92 [3] 76-84 ✗ MAE: 10.4
BET OVER 153.5		 Northern Kentucky (70.5%)
Kansas State (10-12) 83, Oklahoma State (16-6) 84 [1] 84-87 ✓ MAE: 1.9
BET UNDER 175.5		 Oklahoma State (69.9%)
Georgetown (13-10) 62, UConn #3 (22-1) 64 [2] 75-71 ✗ MAE: 10.0
BET OVER 141.5		 UConn (69.7%)
Colorado (13-10) 61, West Virginia (14-8) 72 [11] 64-78 ✓ MAE: 4.1
O/U: 142.5		 West Virginia (69.7%)
Hofstra (14-9) 85, Elon (13-10) 89 [4] 68-78 ✗ MAE: 13.7
BET UNDER 149.2		 Hofstra (69.6%)
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9-13) 67, Florida A&M (7-12) 71 [4] 77-88 ✗ MAE: 13.9
BET OVER 149.2		 Arkansas-Pine Bluff (69.4%)
Grambling (10-11) 53, Southern (9-13) 71 [18] 65-77 ✗ MAE: 14.8
BET UNDER 152.5		 Grambling (69.3%)
Mercyhurst (11-12) 57, Stonehill (9-14) 62 [5] 58-65 ✓ MAE: 6.3
BET UNDER 128.5		 Mercyhurst (68.8%)
Montana (13-10) 67, Montana State (13-10) 76 [9] 73-83 ✓ MAE: 6.4
BET OVER 151.0		 Montana State (68.5%)
Idaho State (10-13) 66, Eastern Washington (5-17) 84 [18] 80-86 ✗ MAE: 12.2
BET OVER 152.2		 Idaho State (68.3%)
VMI (6-18) 68, The Citadel (8-15) 82 [14] 70-81 ✗ MAE: 12.1
BET OVER 143.5		 VMI (68.2%)
Oregon (8-14) 71, Michigan #2 (20-1) 81 [10] 85-73 ✓ MAE: 2.7
O/U: 157.5		 Michigan (67.9%)
Notre Dame (11-12) 76, Virginia Tech (16-7) 89 [13] 68-72 ✗ MAE: 12.5
BET UNDER 143.2		 Virginia Tech (67.6%)
Furman (16-8) 70, Wofford (16-8) 74 [4] 72-82 ✓ MAE: 7.3
BET OVER 151.2		 Furman (67.4%)
Mississippi Valley State (1-21) 63, Bethune-Cookman (11-11) 79 [16] 74-66 ✓ MAE: 3.9
BET UNDER 144.5		 Bethune-Cookman (67.3%)
McNeese (18-5) 76, UT Rio Grande Valley (12-11) 79 [3] 77-68 ✓ MAE: 5.8
O/U: 145.2		 McNeese (67.1%)
Arkansas #21 (16-6) 76, Georgia (16-6) 90 [14] 88-97 ✗ MAE: 9.9
BET OVER 181.5		 Georgia (66.3%)
Southern Miss (12-13) 67, Texas State (14-11) 74 [7] 68-76 ✓ MAE: 1.5
BET OVER 140.5		 Texas State (65.9%)
South Dakota (13-12) 80, North Dakota (13-12) 96 [16] 72-82 ✗ MAE: 10.8
BET UNDER 160.5		 North Dakota (65.9%)
Western Kentucky (12-10) 65, Kennesaw State (14-8) 81 [16] 71-81 ✗ MAE: 13.0
BET UNDER 165.5		 Western Kentucky (65.3%)
Gardner-Webb (3-21) 55, Presbyterian (11-13) 92 [37] 72-72 ✗ MAE: 18.2
BET UNDER 145.8		 Presbyterian (65.2%)
Austin Peay (16-6) 78, Lipscomb (15-9) 82 [4] 72-79 ✓ MAE: 4.6
BET UNDER 156.0		 Lipscomb (65.1%)
Massachusetts (15-9) 68, Northern Illinois (7-14) 70 [2] 81-72 ✓ MAE: 7.9
BET UNDER 157.2		 Massachusetts (65.1%)
UCF (17-5) 77, Arizona #1 (22-0) 84 [7] 83-82 ✓ MAE: 2.9
O/U: 165.5		 Arizona (64.9%)
Pittsburgh (9-14) 59, Louisville #24 (16-6) 100 [41] 78-70 ✗ MAE: 16.5
BET UNDER 152.0		 Louisville (64.5%)
Nicholls (10-13) 80, Lamar (12-11) 90 [10] 63-76 ✗ MAE: 15.8
O/U: 139.2		 Nicholls (64.3%)
Youngstown State (12-12) 78, Cleveland State (10-14) 80 [2] 82-78 ✓ MAE: 2.7
BET OVER 152.8		 Youngstown State (64.1%)
Vanderbilt #15 (19-3) 94, Florida #17 (16-6) 98 [4] 75-80 ✗ MAE: 18.5
BET UNDER 164.8		 Vanderbilt (63.7%) DOG
Missouri (15-7) 70, LSU (14-8) 78 [8] 70-78 ✓ MAE: 0.5
O/U: 148.2		 LSU (63.6%)
Miami (17-5) 59, Clemson #20 (19-4) 69 [10] 67-78 ✗ MAE: 8.7
BET OVER 142.5		 Clemson (63.6%)
Dartmouth (10-10) 74, Pennsylvania (10-10) 84 [10] 74-80 ✓ MAE: 8.0
BET UNDER 162.8		 Dartmouth (63.3%)
Lindenwood (14-10) 55, UT Martin (18-5) 69 [14] 67-78 ✗ MAE: 10.3
BET UNDER 147.5		 UT Martin (63.2%)
East Texas A&M (8-15) 70, Houston Christian (8-15) 81 [11] 64-76 ✓ MAE: 5.5
O/U: 139.5		 Houston Christian (63.0%)
USC (17-6) 64, Purdue #12 (18-4) 69 [5] 78-78 ✗ MAE: 11.7
O/U: 155.5		 Purdue (62.9%)
St. Francis (PA) (6-15) 90, Central Connecticut (11-10) 98 [8] 73-76 ✗ MAE: 19.7
BET OVER 144.8		 Central Connecticut (62.8%)
Princeton (8-14) 80, Harvard (12-9) 87 [7] 59-69 ✗ MAE: 19.4
BET UNDER 133.5		 Harvard (62.2%)
Northern Colorado (13-10) 89, Sacramento State (9-13) 93 [4] 86-82 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET OVER 164.5		 Northern Colorado (62.1%)
Stanford (14-9) 50, Duke #4 (21-1) 80 [30] 78-75 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET OVER 147.8		 Duke (62.1%)
UCLA (16-7) 74, Ohio State (14-7) 86 [12] 70-78 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET OVER 146.5		 Ohio State (62.0%)
Syracuse (13-10) 73, Boston College (9-13) 81 [8] 70-64 ✗ MAE: 9.8
BET UNDER 140.5		 Syracuse (61.9%)
Iowa State #7 (20-2) 70, Cincinnati (11-11) 79 [9] 70-67 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 141.8		 Iowa State (61.8%)
St. Thomas-Minnesota (19-6) 65, North Dakota State (19-5) 68 [3] 71-78 ✗ MAE: 8.5
O/U: 150.5		 North Dakota State (61.7%)
San José State (6-16) 62, UNLV (10-12) 76 [14] 72-70 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 146.2		 UNLV (61.3%)
New Orleans (11-13) 79, Stephen F. Austin (20-3) 84 [5] 69-71 ✗ MAE: 11.6
BET UNDER 147.5		 Stephen F. Austin (61.1%)
Delaware State (6-15) 79, Morgan State (9-13) 80 [1] 58-68 ✗ MAE: 16.4
BET UNDER 136.2		 Delaware State (60.7%)
Tarleton State (11-11) 71, Utah Tech (13-11) 75 [4] 73-79 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET OVER 150.0		 Utah Tech (60.5%)
Manhattan (9-15) 59, Siena (16-7) 74 [15] 72-68 ✓ MAE: 5.7
BET UNDER 145.2		 Siena (60.2%)
Texas (14-9) 70, Texas A&M (17-5) 74 [4] 78-89 ✗ MAE: 11.8
O/U: 166.8		 Texas (60.2%)
Saint Mary's (20-4) 54, Santa Clara (20-5) 62 [8] 70-81 ✗ MAE: 17.5
O/U: 152.5		 Santa Clara (60.1%)
New Mexico (18-5) 79, San Diego State (16-6) 83 [4] 71-80 ✓ MAE: 5.4
BET OVER 148.8		 San Diego State (60.1%)
Seattle U (15-9) 50, Gonzaga #6 (22-2) 71 [21] 79-78 ✗ MAE: 18.0
BET OVER 151.5		 Gonzaga (60.0%)
North Alabama (7-14) 68, Jacksonville (9-14) 90 [22] 63-72 ✗ MAE: 15.9
O/U: 133.5		 North Alabama (59.8%)
Oregon State (13-12) 64, Pacific (15-10) 81 [17] 66-75 ✗ MAE: 13.1
O/U: 139.5		 Oregon State (59.8%)
Oral Roberts (5-19) 62, Omaha (12-12) 73 [11] 70-77 ✗ MAE: 9.0
O/U: 146.5		 Oral Roberts (59.7%)
Louisiana Tech (12-10) 60, Jacksonville State (11-10) 64 [4] 57-67 ✓ MAE: 3.0
BET UNDER 127.5		 Jacksonville State (59.4%)
Drake (12-12) 67, UIC (13-11) 74 [7] 68-72 ✓ MAE: 1.4
O/U: 139.5		 UIC (59.3%)
Weber State (11-12) 67, Idaho (13-9) 75 [8] 75-83 ✗ MAE: 8.1
O/U: 158.5		 Weber State (59.3%)
Chicago State (2-19) 57, Le Moyne (11-12) 72 [15] 67-69 ✗ MAE: 8.2
BET UNDER 147.2		 Le Moyne (58.9%)
Utah State (19-3) 74, Grand Canyon (15-7) 84 [10] 81-70 ✗ MAE: 10.4
O/U: 150.0		 Utah State (58.9%)
UL Monroe (4-20) 57, Georgia State (9-15) 77 [20] 80-76 ✗ MAE: 11.2
O/U: 156.0		 Georgia State (58.6%)
IU Indianapolis (6-18) 77, Detroit Mercy (10-12) 80 [3] 77-83 ✓ MAE: 4.2
BET UNDER 169.5		 IU Indianapolis (58.5%)
Indiana (15-8) 57, Iowa (17-5) 74 [17] 69-73 ✗ MAE: 10.9
BET UNDER 145.2		 Indiana (58.3%)
Mississippi State (11-11) 67, Ole Miss (11-11) 68 [1] 70-79 ✓ MAE: 6.8
O/U: 147.5		 Mississippi State (58.2%)
Cal State Fullerton (10-13) 72, UC Riverside (8-15) 81 [9] 74-81 ✓ MAE: 1.4
BET UNDER 157.5		 UC Riverside (58.1%) DOG
South Carolina State (6-16) 82, Norfolk State (10-14) 89 [7] 65-69 ✗ MAE: 18.2
BET UNDER 139.8		 Norfolk State (58.0%)
TCU (13-9) 79, Utah (9-13) 82 [3] 74-72 ✓ MAE: 7.8
BET UNDER 154.5		 TCU (58.0%)
North Carolina #14 (18-4) 78, California (17-6) 84 [6] 77-73 ✓ MAE: 6.2
O/U: 150.8		 North Carolina (58.0%)
Florida International (11-11) 63, Sam Houston (16-7) 76 [13] 76-86 ✗ MAE: 11.5
BET UNDER 168.5		 Florida International (57.7%)
Fairleigh Dickinson (7-16) 59, Long Island University (14-8) 66 [7] 76-68 ✗ MAE: 9.6
O/U: 144.0		 Long Island University (57.1%)
BYU #16 (17-5) 71, Texas Tech #13 (16-6) 84 [13] 74-86 ✓ MAE: 2.7
BET UNDER 164.2		 Texas Tech (57.1%)
Villanova (17-5) 79, St. John's #22 (17-5) 86 [7] 65-72 ✗ MAE: 13.8
BET UNDER 148.0		 Villanova (56.7%) DOG
UNC Greensboro (9-15) 92, Mercer (15-8) 102 [10] 75-79 ✗ MAE: 20.4
BET UNDER 156.5		 UNC Greensboro (56.5%) DOG
Delaware (6-16) 68, New Mexico State (11-11) 97 [29] 73-61 ✗ MAE: 15.4
O/U: 134.0		 New Mexico State (56.3%)
Wagner (7-13) 74, New Haven (10-12) 80 [6] 60-66 ✗ MAE: 13.8
BET UNDER 129.5		 New Haven (56.2%)
UC Irvine (15-7) 72, UC Davis (13-9) 75 [3] 75-76 ✓ MAE: 2.0
BET OVER 147.5		 UC Davis (56.1%) DOG
Northwestern (10-13) 58, Nebraska #9 (20-2) 77 [19] 77-67 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET UNDER 149.5		 Nebraska (56.0%)
Holy Cross (8-16) 55, Lafayette (7-17) 74 [19] 64-72 ✓ MAE: 5.4
BET UNDER 138.2		 Lafayette (55.9%)
Charleston (15-8) 106, Stony Brook (14-9) 112 [6] 69-70 ✗ MAE: 39.1
BET UNDER 142.5		 Stony Brook (55.8%) DOG
Tennessee Tech (9-14) 70, Morehead State (12-11) 76 [6] 70-74 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET OVER 141.8		 Tennessee Tech (55.8%)
Florida State (10-12) 68, Wake Forest (11-11) 69 [1] 77-84 ✗ MAE: 11.9
BET UNDER 168.0		 Florida State (54.6%) DOG
St. Bonaventure (13-10) 74, La Salle (7-16) 78 [4] 73-74 ✓ MAE: 2.8
BET OVER 142.8		 St. Bonaventure (54.2%)
Fordham (12-11) 63, Duquesne (13-10) 74 [11] 70-78 ✗ MAE: 9.4
BET OVER 145.8		 Fordham (53.9%) DOG
Western Carolina (8-14) 82, Chattanooga (9-14) 90 [8] 72-78 ✗ MAE: 10.8
O/U: 150.5		 Western Carolina (53.5%)
Lehigh (10-14) 79, Navy (18-6) 82 [3] 67-68 ✗ MAE: 13.0
O/U: 136.0		 Navy (53.2%)
Oklahoma (11-12) 81, Alabama (15-7) 83 [2] 90-85 ✓ MAE: 5.2
BET UNDER 177.5		 Alabama (53.2%)
SMU (15-7) 68, Virginia #18 (19-3) 72 [4] 79-85 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET OVER 153.5		 SMU (53.2%) DOG
Quinnipiac (15-9) 71, Merrimack (14-9) 83 [12] 64-72 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET UNDER 141.0		 Merrimack (53.1%) DOG
Hawai'i (16-5) 62, UC Santa Barbara (15-7) 77 [15] 70-76 ✓ MAE: 4.3
BET OVER 142.8		 UC Santa Barbara (53.0%) DOG
Prairie View A&M (9-13) 78, Jackson State (6-16) 82 [4] 79-74 ✓ MAE: 4.6
BET UNDER 160.2		 Jackson State (53.0%)
Canisius (8-16) 68, Mount St. Mary's (10-14) 78 [10] 72-65 ✓ MAE: 4.7
BET OVER 134.2		 Mount St. Mary's (52.6%)
UNC Asheville (11-13) 67, Winthrop (17-8) 69 [2] 73-76 ✓ MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 153.5		 UNC Asheville (52.6%) DOG
Abilene Christian (10-11) 52, Southern Utah (8-15) 74 [22] 74-70 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET UNDER 149.5		 Abilene Christian (52.3%)
North Carolina Central (8-12) 69, Howard (14-9) 83 [14] 66-70 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET UNDER 141.0		 North Carolina Central (51.5%) DOG
Columbia (14-7) 80, Brown (7-13) 86 [6] 71-76 ✗ MAE: 9.6
BET OVER 142.2		 Brown (51.3%) DOG
Northern Iowa (14-9) 44, Valparaiso (11-12) 54 [10] 60-62 ✗ MAE: 12.1
BET UNDER 131.0		 Valparaiso (51.0%) DOG
Cal State Bakersfield (8-15) 62, UC San Diego (15-8) 83 [21] 73-73 ✗ MAE: 10.4
O/U: 147.5		 UC San Diego (51.0%)
Washington (12-11) 63, Michigan State #10 (19-4) 80 [17] 76-74 ✓ MAE: 7.3
BET OVER 141.5		 Michigan State (50.9%)
Wyoming (13-10) 60, Fresno State (11-11) 63 [3] 69-74 ✗ MAE: 9.8
BET UNDER 145.8		 Fresno State (50.9%) DOG
Southern Illinois (10-13) 68, Belmont (21-3) 73 [5] 73-77 ✓ MAE: 4.5
BET UNDER 153.5		 Southern Illinois (50.9%) DOG
Boston University (9-15) 57, Loyola Maryland (9-15) 74 [17] 70-74 ✓ MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 148.2		 Loyola Maryland (50.7%) DOG
Stetson (8-15) 81, Queens University (12-11) 87 [6] 82-81 ✓ MAE: 2.5
O/U: 162.5		 Stetson (50.5%) DOG
Alcorn State (4-17) 71, Texas Southern (6-14) 72 [1] 78-69 ✓ MAE: 4.2
O/U: 146.8		 Alcorn State (50.4%) DOG
Samford (11-12) 75, East Tennessee State (17-7) 76 [1] 72-76 ✓ MAE: 2.4
O/U: 146.8		 Samford (50.3%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
145
Final results
145
Correct picks
90
Incorrect picks
55
Pending
0
Accuracy
62.1%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
145
Avg Confidence
67.2%
ECE (lower=better)
0.0856
Calibration Quality
Good
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
125
ML Win Rate
60.0%
ML Profit
$-1641
ML ROI
-13.1%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
13
Wins
7
Losses
6
Pending
0
Win Rate
53.8%
Profit ($100/bet)
$80
ROI
6.2%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
31
Wins
14
Losses
17
Pending
0
Win Rate
45.2%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-569
ROI
-18.4%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
11
Wins
4
Losses
7
Pending
0
Win Rate
36.4%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-397
ROI
-36.1%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
62
ATS Wins
28
ATS Losses
34
ATS Win Rate
45.2%
Spread Profit
$-855
Spread ROI
-13.8%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-7.2%
Spread Confidence Calibration
Calibrated Games
144
Avg Confidence
57.5%
ECE (lower=better)
0.2472
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
116
O/U Wins
63
O/U Losses
53
O/U Win Rate
54.3%
O/U Profit
$427
O/U ROI
3.7%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+1.9%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
8
Completed
8
Covered
3
Failed
5
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
37.5%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-227
ROI
-28.4%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
8
O/U Wins
4
O/U Losses
4
O/U Win Rate
50.0%
O/U Profit
$-36
O/U ROI
-4.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-2.4%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Butler 77 @ Seton Hall 66 Seton Hall (70.6%) Seton Hall -6.2 +9.6 +15.9 -11.0 FAILED
Coastal Carolina 79 @ Georgia Southern 75 Georgia Southern (77.3%) Georgia Southern -6.5 +9.1 +15.6 -4.0 FAILED
Campbell 75 @ UNC Wilmington 78 UNC Wilmington (76.1%) UNC Wilmington -6.5 +9.1 +15.6 +3.0 FAILED
Old Dominion 75 @ App State 73 App State (76.6%) App State -6.5 +8.0 +14.5 -2.0 FAILED
Bradley 62 @ Illinois State 88 Illinois State (70.6%) Illinois State -5.5 +7.7 +13.2 +26.0 COVERED
Arkansas State 74 @ Troy 99 Troy (71.1%) Troy -3.5 +7.6 +11.1 +25.0 COVERED
Fairfield 67 @ Marist 82 Marist (72.6%) Marist -7.8 +7.4 +15.1 +15.0 COVERED
Kentucky 80 @ Tennessee #25 78 Tennessee (72.0%) Tennessee -6.2 +7.2 +13.4 -2.0 FAILED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
13
Wins
7
Losses
6
Pending
0
Win Rate
53.8%
Profit ($100/bet)
$80
ROI
6.2%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Villanova 79, St. John's 86 [7] Villanova 56.7% N/A N/A LOSS
Florida State 68, Wake Forest 69 [1] Florida State 54.6% +112 +9.4% LOSS
SMU 68, Virginia 72 [4] SMU 53.2% +112 +8.0% LOSS
Quinnipiac 71, Merrimack 83 [12] Merrimack 53.1% +110 +7.4% WIN
Hawai'i 62, UC Santa Barbara 77 [15] UC Santa Barbara 53.0% +105 +6.3% WIN
Prairie View A&M 78, Jackson State 82 [4] Jackson State 53.0% N/A N/A WIN
North Carolina Central 69, Howard 83 [14] North Carolina Central 51.5% +145 +14.5% LOSS
Columbia 80, Brown 86 [6] Brown 51.3% +130 +9.3% WIN
Northern Iowa 44, Valparaiso 54 [10] Valparaiso 51.0% +115 +6.3% WIN
Wyoming 60, Fresno State 63 [3] Fresno State 50.9% +120 +7.3% WIN
Southern Illinois 68, Belmont 73 [5] Southern Illinois 50.9% +137 +10.4% LOSS
Boston University 57, Loyola Maryland 74 [17] Loyola Maryland 50.7% N/A N/A WIN
Samford 75, East Tennessee State 76 [1] Samford 50.3% +145 +11.0% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Cal State Northridge 80, Long Beach State 87 [7] Cal State Northridge 77.3% -230 +10.4% LOSS
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
31
Wins
14
Losses
17
Pending
0
Win Rate
45.2%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-569
ROI
-18.4%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
South Dakota 80, North Dakota 96 [16] North Dakota 65.9% -115 +14.8% WIN
North Carolina Central 69, Howard 83 [14] North Carolina Central 51.5% +145 +14.5% LOSS
Southern Miss 67, Texas State 74 [7] Texas State 65.9% -125 +12.7% WIN
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 67, Florida A&M 71 [4] Arkansas-Pine Bluff 69.4% -145 +12.3% LOSS
Dartmouth 74, Pennsylvania 84 [10] Dartmouth 63.3% -116 +11.8% LOSS
Arkansas 76, Georgia 90 [14] Georgia 66.3% -132 +11.6% WIN
Grambling 53, Southern 71 [18] Grambling 69.3% -150 +11.3% LOSS
Arkansas State 74, Troy 99 [25] Troy 71.1% -165 +11.2% WIN
Samford 75, East Tennessee State 76 [1] Samford 50.3% +145 +11.0% LOSS
Cal State Northridge 80, Long Beach State 87 [7] Cal State Northridge 77.3% -230 +10.4% LOSS
Southern Illinois 68, Belmont 73 [5] Southern Illinois 50.9% +137 +10.4% LOSS
James Madison 72, Marshall 77 [5] Marshall 76.0% -221 +10.0% WIN
Florida State 68, Wake Forest 69 [1] Florida State 54.6% +112 +9.4% LOSS
Columbia 80, Brown 86 [6] Brown 51.3% +130 +9.3% WIN
Bellarmine 69, Eastern Kentucky 89 [20] Eastern Kentucky 74.9% -220 +9.1% WIN
Austin Peay 78, Lipscomb 82 [4] Lipscomb 65.1% -141 +8.9% WIN
Georgia Southern 75, Coastal Carolina 79 [4] Georgia Southern 77.3% -250 +8.8% LOSS
Longwood 83, Radford 85 [2] Radford 74.6% -220 +8.8% WIN
IU Indianapolis 77, Detroit Mercy 80 [3] IU Indianapolis 58.5% -109 +8.7% LOSS
North Alabama 68, Jacksonville 90 [22] North Alabama 59.8% -115 +8.7% LOSS
Oregon State 64, Pacific 81 [17] Oregon State 59.8% -115 +8.7% LOSS
App State 73, Old Dominion 75 [2] App State 76.6% -240 +8.7% LOSS
SMU 68, Virginia 72 [4] SMU 53.2% +112 +8.0% LOSS
Quinnipiac 71, Merrimack 83 [12] Merrimack 53.1% +110 +7.4% WIN
Wyoming 60, Fresno State 63 [3] Fresno State 50.9% +120 +7.3% WIN
Mercyhurst 57, Stonehill 62 [5] Mercyhurst 68.8% -182 +6.6% LOSS
Florida International 63, Sam Houston 76 [13] Florida International 57.7% -115 +6.6% LOSS
Northern Iowa 44, Valparaiso 54 [10] Valparaiso 51.0% +115 +6.3% WIN
Hawai'i 62, UC Santa Barbara 77 [15] UC Santa Barbara 53.0% +105 +6.3% WIN
SE Louisiana 56, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 68 [12] Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 73.6% -242 +5.6% WIN
Oral Roberts 62, Omaha 73 [11] Oral Roberts 59.7% -130 +5.4% LOSS
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
11
Wins
4
Losses
7
Pending
0
Win Rate
36.4%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-397
ROI
-36.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
South Dakota 80, North Dakota 96 [16] North Dakota 65.9% -115 +14.8% WIN
North Carolina Central 69, Howard 83 [14] North Carolina Central 51.5% +145 +14.5% LOSS
Southern Miss 67, Texas State 74 [7] Texas State 65.9% -125 +12.7% WIN
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 67, Florida A&M 71 [4] Arkansas-Pine Bluff 69.4% -145 +12.3% LOSS
Dartmouth 74, Pennsylvania 84 [10] Dartmouth 63.3% -116 +11.8% LOSS
Arkansas 76, Georgia 90 [14] Georgia 66.3% -132 +11.6% WIN
Grambling 53, Southern 71 [18] Grambling 69.3% -150 +11.3% LOSS
Arkansas State 74, Troy 99 [25] Troy 71.1% -165 +11.2% WIN
Samford 75, East Tennessee State 76 [1] Samford 50.3% +145 +11.0% LOSS
Cal State Northridge 80, Long Beach State 87 [7] Cal State Northridge 77.3% -230 +10.4% LOSS
Southern Illinois 68, Belmont 73 [5] Southern Illinois 50.9% +137 +10.4% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Michigan @ Oregon Oregon 32.1% +1600 +26.4% LOSS
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State Mississippi Valley State 32.7% +950 +23.6% LOSS
Gonzaga @ Seattle U Seattle U 40.0% +725 +28.5% LOSS