Test Predictions Recap
2026-01-24
All Games Summary
Total Picks
136
Final results
134
Correct picks
95
Incorrect picks
39
Pending
2
Accuracy
70.9%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
⏰ UPCOMING GAMES (2)
East Texas A&M (8-15) 0, Northwestern State (6-16) 0 [0] 63-73 Northwestern State (65.3%)
Delaware State (6-15) 0, North Carolina Central (8-12) 0 [0] 59-65 North Carolina Central (64.2%)
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (134)
Utah (9-13) 78, BYU #16 (17-5) 91 [13] 66-92 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET UNDER 167.2		 BYU (95.2%)
Air Force (3-19) 54, Boise State (14-9) 96 [42] 60-78 ✗ MAE: 11.9
O/U: 137.5		 Boise State (95.2%)
Wake Forest (11-11) 69, Duke #4 (21-1) 90 [21] 69-90 ✓ MAE: 0.1
BET OVER 152.2		 Duke (94.3%)
Maryland (8-13) 48, Michigan State #10 (19-4) 91 [43] 64-78 ✗ MAE: 14.6
O/U: 141.8		 Michigan State (93.7%)
West Virginia (14-8) 53, Arizona #1 (22-0) 88 [35] 65-82 ✗ MAE: 8.6
BET OVER 143.5		 Arizona (91.5%)
New Orleans (11-13) 63, McNeese (18-5) 82 [19] 71-83 ✓ MAE: 4.3
BET UNDER 156.5		 McNeese (90.6%)
San Francisco (14-11) 66, Gonzaga #6 (22-2) 68 [2] 67-84 ✗ MAE: 8.4
O/U: 151.0		 Gonzaga (90.0%)
Delaware (6-16) 51, Liberty (19-3) 67 [16] 57-75 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 134.5		 Liberty (88.1%)
San José State (6-16) 62, Wyoming (13-10) 66 [4] 69-80 ✗ MAE: 10.2
BET OVER 143.0		 Wyoming (87.4%)
Howard (14-9) 77, Morgan State (9-13) 78 [1] 58-72 ✗ MAE: 12.4
BET UNDER 148.2		 Howard (87.4%)
Virginia Tech (16-7) 71, Louisville #24 (16-6) 85 [14] 73-83 ✓ MAE: 1.9
BET UNDER 160.8		 Louisville (86.3%)
Coppin State (3-21) 76, Norfolk State (10-14) 103 [27] 64-78 ✗ MAE: 18.5
O/U: 143.5		 Norfolk State (86.0%)
Ole Miss (11-11) 63, Kentucky (16-7) 72 [9] 71-77 ✓ MAE: 6.4
BET OVER 145.5		 Kentucky (80.3%)
Pepperdine (6-18) 79, Washington State (11-14) 95 [16] 67-75 ✗ MAE: 16.0
BET UNDER 146.8		 Washington State (80.3%)
Villanova (17-5) 67, UConn #3 (22-1) 75 [8] 58-70 ✓ MAE: 7.0
BET UNDER 137.5		 UConn (80.1%)
Florida #17 (16-6) 67, Auburn (14-8) 76 [9] 78-90 ✗ MAE: 12.7
BET OVER 160.5		 Florida (79.9%)
South Carolina (11-12) 69, Texas A&M (17-5) 92 [23] 70-82 ✓ MAE: 5.6
BET UNDER 155.8		 Texas A&M (79.4%)
LSU (14-8) 81, Arkansas #21 (16-6) 85 [4] 76-87 ✓ MAE: 3.7
O/U: 164.2		 Arkansas (79.2%)
Florida State (10-12) 80, SMU (15-7) 83 [3] 76-93 ✓ MAE: 6.9
BET OVER 164.2		 SMU (79.1%)
Canisius (8-16) 55, Fairfield (14-10) 61 [6] 70-76 ✗ MAE: 14.9
BET OVER 141.5		 Fairfield (78.3%)
Army (10-14) 56, Navy (18-6) 84 [28] 62-78 ✓ MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 144.0		 Navy (78.0%)
Richmond (13-10) 69, George Washington (13-10) 85 [16] 70-80 ✓ MAE: 2.9
BET UNDER 159.5		 George Washington (77.6%)
Cal State Northridge (13-10) 68, Hawai'i (16-5) 89 [21] 71-78 ✓ MAE: 6.8
BET UNDER 157.8		 Hawai'i (76.1%)
Nevada (16-7) 73, New Mexico (18-5) 80 [7] 61-72 ✗ MAE: 9.6
BET UNDER 149.5		 New Mexico (75.1%)
Rider (3-18) 61, Mount St. Mary's (10-14) 71 [10] 60-73 ✓ MAE: 1.7
BET UNDER 138.8		 Mount St. Mary's (75.0%)
Boston College (9-13) 64, Notre Dame (11-12) 68 [4] 60-66 ✓ MAE: 2.9
BET UNDER 136.5		 Notre Dame (74.8%)
Northwestern (10-13) 64, UCLA (16-7) 71 [7] 69-76 ✓ MAE: 5.2
BET OVER 143.2		 UCLA (74.8%)
Robert Morris (15-10) 67, Green Bay (13-12) 71 [4] 69-82 ✗ MAE: 8.7
BET OVER 143.2		 Robert Morris (74.6%)
Illinois State (15-8) 69, Belmont (21-3) 80 [11] 70-76 ✓ MAE: 2.5
BET UNDER 150.8		 Belmont (74.5%)
Bradley (16-8) 70, UIC (13-11) 85 [15] 66-78 ✗ MAE: 13.4
O/U: 144.2		 Bradley (74.3%)
Binghamton (5-18) 63, Maine (5-18) 79 [16] 57-72 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET OVER 124.2		 Maine (74.2%)
Niagara (6-17) 70, Sacred Heart (10-14) 71 [1] 64-72 ✓ MAE: 3.6
BET UNDER 139.8		 Sacred Heart (74.1%)
Central Michigan (7-16) 65, Western Michigan (8-14) 77 [12] 72-80 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET OVER 148.5		 Western Michigan (74.0%)
Jackson State (6-16) 48, Bethune-Cookman (11-11) 85 [37] 71-85 ✗ MAE: 11.7
O/U: 156.5		 Bethune-Cookman (73.8%)
Weber State (11-12) 88, Montana State (13-10) 91 [3] 70-83 ✗ MAE: 13.0
BET OVER 146.0		 Montana State (73.8%)
Western Kentucky (12-10) 58, Sam Houston (16-7) 73 [15] 76-84 ✗ MAE: 14.8
BET OVER 156.5		 Sam Houston (73.8%)
UC Riverside (8-15) 66, UC Davis (13-9) 74 [8] 70-81 ✓ MAE: 5.2
O/U: 149.5		 UC Davis (73.5%)
Tennessee Tech (9-14) 58, SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 62 [4] 65-77 ✗ MAE: 10.8
BET OVER 135.8		 SIU Edwardsville (73.4%)
Boston University (9-15) 79, Colgate (14-10) 80 [1] 67-73 ✗ MAE: 9.7
BET UNDER 146.8		 Colgate (73.4%)
Southern (9-13) 74, Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9-13) 75 [1] 84-84 ✗ MAE: 9.4
BET OVER 154.2		 Southern (73.3%)
Campbell (10-13) 73, Monmouth (11-12) 88 [15] 70-73 ✗ MAE: 9.3
BET UNDER 148.8		 Campbell (73.3%)
New Mexico State (11-11) 78, Florida International (11-11) 81 [3] 74-80 ✓ MAE: 4.6
BET UNDER 157.8		 New Mexico State (72.8%)
Southern Utah (8-15) 91, Utah Tech (13-11) 102 [11] 72-81 ✗ MAE: 20.2
BET OVER 149.8		 Utah Tech (72.4%)
Manhattan (9-15) 57, Iona (14-9) 66 [9] 68-78 ✗ MAE: 11.2
BET UNDER 153.8		 Iona (72.3%)
Virginia #18 (19-3) 80, North Carolina #14 (18-4) 85 [5] 67-81 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET UNDER 152.5		 Virginia (72.0%)
Idaho State (10-13) 60, Montana (13-10) 69 [9] 76-81 ✗ MAE: 13.8
BET OVER 148.2		 Montana (72.0%)
Youngstown State (12-12) 64, Milwaukee (9-16) 65 [1] 70-81 ✗ MAE: 11.0
O/U: 151.8		 Youngstown State (71.9%)
Elon (13-10) 70, Charleston (15-8) 80 [10] 71-84 ✓ MAE: 2.2
BET UNDER 159.5		 Charleston (71.7%)
Purdue #12 (18-4) 82, Illinois #5 (20-3) 88 [6] 64-76 ✗ MAE: 15.0
BET UNDER 153.5		 Purdue (71.6%)
Northeastern (6-15) 78, Drexel (12-11) 83 [5] 66-77 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET OVER 140.8		 Drexel (71.3%)
Alcorn State (4-17) 58, Florida A&M (7-12) 66 [8] 69-82 ✗ MAE: 13.8
BET OVER 142.0		 Florida A&M (71.3%)
Northern Illinois (7-14) 53, Ball State (7-15) 58 [5] 67-74 ✗ MAE: 14.8
O/U: 141.8		 Ball State (71.1%)
Lindenwood (14-10) 86, Tennessee State (14-8) 96 [10] 75-82 ✗ MAE: 12.6
BET UNDER 160.2		 Lindenwood (70.8%)
Eastern Illinois (9-14) 68, Morehead State (12-11) 73 [5] 64-70 ✓ MAE: 3.4
O/U: 134.8		 Morehead State (70.7%)
Sacramento State (9-13) 67, Eastern Washington (5-17) 75 [8] 77-86 ✗ MAE: 10.1
O/U: 163.2		 Eastern Washington (69.9%)
UTSA (4-18) 64, Temple (14-8) 70 [6] 71-71 ✓ MAE: 3.7
BET UNDER 145.5		 Temple (69.5%)
UC San Diego (15-8) 59, UC Irvine (15-7) 61 [2] 70-74 ✗ MAE: 12.4
O/U: 144.5		 UC San Diego (69.2%)
Bucknell (8-16) 62, Loyola Maryland (9-15) 67 [5] 69-72 ✓ MAE: 6.3
BET UNDER 147.8		 Loyola Maryland (69.0%)
VMI (6-18) 58, Western Carolina (8-14) 88 [30] 72-82 ✗ MAE: 10.2
O/U: 152.8		 Western Carolina (68.9%)
Northern Kentucky (14-11) 80, Wright State (15-9) 88 [8] 72-82 ✓ MAE: 7.1
O/U: 153.2		 Wright State (68.8%)
Prairie View A&M (9-13) 80, Alabama State (7-15) 95 [15] 76-81 ✗ MAE: 9.7
O/U: 158.2		 Prairie View A&M (67.9%) DOG
Pennsylvania (10-10) 60, Yale (16-4) 77 [17] 81-74 ✗ MAE: 9.1
BET UNDER 157.5		 Yale (67.8%)
Baylor (13-9) 90, TCU (13-9) 97 [7] 65-75 ✗ MAE: 23.2
BET UNDER 147.2		 Baylor (66.8%)
Oklahoma State (16-6) 71, Iowa State #7 (20-2) 84 [13] 80-77 ✓ MAE: 5.2
BET UNDER 160.2		 Iowa State (66.5%)
Xavier (12-11) 83, St. John's #22 (17-5) 88 [5] 80-76 ✓ MAE: 7.5
BET UNDER 159.5		 St. John's (66.3%)
Texas State (14-11) 57, James Madison (11-13) 82 [25] 70-81 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET OVER 143.5		 James Madison (66.2%)
Denver (9-15) 86, North Dakota (13-12) 93 [7] 73-87 ✗ MAE: 10.3
BET UNDER 162.5		 Denver (65.8%)
Mississippi State (11-11) 56, Vanderbilt #15 (19-3) 88 [32] 83-77 ✗ MAE: 13.0
O/U: 159.8		 Vanderbilt (65.1%)
Hofstra (14-9) 82, William & Mary (14-8) 89 [7] 71-78 ✗ MAE: 10.8
BET UNDER 158.2		 William & Mary (64.9%)
San Diego (10-15) 73, Santa Clara (20-5) 85 [12] 83-77 ✓ MAE: 3.1
O/U: 161.2		 Santa Clara (64.8%)
Rice (10-13) 81, Tulsa (20-3) 87 [6] 76-75 ✗ MAE: 8.5
O/U: 152.2		 Tulsa (64.2%)
Providence (10-13) 78, Georgetown (13-10) 81 [3] 76-86 ✓ MAE: 7.0
BET OVER 159.5		 Providence (64.2%)
Southern Miss (12-13) 67, Coastal Carolina (14-11) 85 [18] 68-78 ✓ MAE: 4.0
BET OVER 141.5		 Coastal Carolina (63.9%)
UMass Lowell (9-14) 56, UMBC (13-8) 79 [23] 72-80 ✗ MAE: 8.1
O/U: 151.5		 UMBC (63.7%)
Portland (11-14) 69, Saint Mary's (20-4) 75 [6] 78-74 ✓ MAE: 3.8
BET OVER 144.5		 Saint Mary's (63.5%)
Georgia Tech (11-12) 63, Clemson #20 (19-4) 77 [14] 74-69 ✓ MAE: 4.3
O/U: 142.8		 Clemson (63.4%)
Saint Peter's (12-8) 59, Merrimack (14-9) 67 [8] 63-67 ✓ MAE: 2.2
BET UNDER 134.2		 Merrimack (63.1%)
Brown (7-13) 53, Princeton (8-14) 63 [10] 62-69 ✓ MAE: 7.4
BET UNDER 133.8		 Princeton (62.8%)
Lafayette (7-17) 59, Lehigh (10-14) 64 [5] 69-77 ✗ MAE: 11.6
BET OVER 143.5		 Lehigh (62.4%)
Seattle U (15-9) 54, Pacific (15-10) 56 [2] 68-76 ✗ MAE: 16.8
BET OVER 137.5		 Pacific (62.1%)
Towson (13-11) 73, North Carolina A&T (9-12) 80 [7] 72-70 ✓ MAE: 5.1
BET OVER 139.2		 Towson (62.1%)
Alabama (15-7) 73, Tennessee #25 (16-6) 79 [6] 77-86 ✓ MAE: 7.9
BET UNDER 167.0		 Alabama (62.0%)
Stanford (14-9) 66, California (17-6) 78 [12] 64-74 ✗ MAE: 10.9
BET UNDER 146.2		 Stanford (61.5%)
Georgia (16-6) 67, Texas (14-9) 87 [20] 81-93 ✗ MAE: 10.1
BET OVER 168.5		 Texas (61.4%)
Memphis (10-11) 59, Wichita State (14-9) 74 [15] 69-76 ✓ MAE: 6.2
O/U: 144.8		 Wichita State (61.4%)
Idaho (13-9) 66, Portland State (15-6) 69 [3] 76-81 ✗ MAE: 10.7
BET OVER 145.0		 Idaho (60.5%)
Murray State (17-7) 76, Northern Iowa (14-9) 81 [5] 61-69 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET UNDER 144.5		 Northern Iowa (60.5%) DOG
Nicholls (10-13) 61, SE Louisiana (6-17) 67 [6] 62-70 ✓ MAE: 2.4
BET UNDER 140.0		 SE Louisiana (60.5%)
Mercer (15-8) 77, Wofford (16-8) 80 [3] 71-77 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET UNDER 157.5		 Wofford (60.1%) DOG
Pittsburgh (9-14) 72, NC State (17-6) 81 [9] 78-68 ✓ MAE: 3.5
O/U: 145.5		 NC State (60.1%)
Eastern Kentucky (7-16) 76, Jacksonville (9-14) 81 [5] 70-74 ✓ MAE: 6.4
O/U: 142.5		 Jacksonville (60.1%)
Oklahoma (11-12) 87, Missouri (15-7) 88 [1] 77-74 ✗ MAE: 11.5
O/U: 151.5		 Missouri (59.8%)
Chattanooga (9-14) 64, Samford (11-12) 75 [11] 72-81 ✓ MAE: 6.6
O/U: 152.5		 Samford (59.8%)
Incarnate Word (10-13) 71, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (12-11) 79 [8] 65-70 ✓ MAE: 7.7
O/U: 136.5		 Incarnate Word (59.4%) DOG
Oral Roberts (5-19) 58, North Dakota State (19-5) 86 [28] 82-73 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET OVER 143.2		 North Dakota State (59.3%)
Quinnipiac (15-9) 64, Marist (15-7) 71 [7] 60-71 ✓ MAE: 2.2
BET UNDER 139.8		 Marist (59.1%)
Cal Poly (9-14) 78, Cal State Fullerton (10-13) 93 [15] 78-85 ✗ MAE: 11.1
BET UNDER 173.5		 Cal Poly (58.7%) DOG
Detroit Mercy (10-12) 87, Oakland (14-11) 95 [8] 82-76 ✗ MAE: 12.3
BET UNDER 167.5		 Oakland (58.4%)
Colorado (13-10) 86, UCF (17-5) 95 [9] 80-84 ✗ MAE: 8.9
BET OVER 159.5		 Colorado (58.2%)
Bryant (7-15) 52, Vermont (14-9) 62 [10] 68-67 ✗ MAE: 10.6
O/U: 133.5		 Vermont (58.1%)
Davidson (13-9) 69, VCU (17-6) 75 [6] 74-73 ✓ MAE: 2.5
O/U: 148.5		 VCU (58.1%)
Northern Colorado (13-10) 77, Northern Arizona (8-15) 81 [4] 80-74 ✓ MAE: 5.1
BET OVER 149.5		 Northern Colorado (57.5%)
Utah Valley (16-6) 71, California Baptist (16-6) 78 [7] 68-77 ✓ MAE: 2.0
BET UNDER 148.0		 California Baptist (57.3%)
Indiana State (10-14) 62, Drake (12-12) 76 [14] 69-78 ✗ MAE: 11.4
BET UNDER 151.2		 Indiana State (57.1%)
Dayton (15-8) 74, Saint Joseph's (15-8) 81 [7] 71-69 ✓ MAE: 7.7
O/U: 140.5		 Dayton (56.9%)
Harvard (12-9) 79, Cornell (10-10) 86 [7] 76-82 ✓ MAE: 6.3
BET UNDER 162.5		 Harvard (56.3%)
Minnesota (11-12) 57, Nebraska #9 (20-2) 76 [19] 63-66 ✗ MAE: 10.8
BET UNDER 139.8		 Minnesota (55.9%) DOG
UAlbany (7-16) 72, New Hampshire (8-13) 80 [8] 68-76 ✓ MAE: 4.2
BET OVER 137.5		 New Hampshire (55.6%)
Kansas State (10-12) 62, Kansas #11 (17-5) 86 [24] 80-71 ✓ MAE: 7.5
BET UNDER 158.8		 Kansas (55.1%)
Bowling Green (14-9) 72, Toledo (12-11) 73 [1] 80-87 ✗ MAE: 10.6
BET OVER 157.2		 Toledo (54.9%) DOG
Queens University (12-11) 66, West Georgia (10-12) 74 [8] 86-86 ✗ MAE: 16.0
BET OVER 162.5		 West Georgia (54.9%) DOG
Loyola Chicago (6-18) 59, Duquesne (13-10) 71 [12] 77-68 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET UNDER 152.5		 Duquesne (54.6%)
Arkansas State (14-10) 81, Georgia State (9-15) 82 [1] 77-76 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET UNDER 157.5		 Arkansas State (54.2%)
Dartmouth (10-10) 69, Columbia (14-7) 79 [10] 76-78 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 156.0		 Dartmouth (54.1%) DOG
UNLV (10-12) 71, San Diego State (16-6) 82 [11] 77-68 ✓ MAE: 4.0
BET UNDER 149.5		 San Diego State (53.9%)
Holy Cross (8-16) 67, American University (13-11) 76 [9] 68-63 ✓ MAE: 5.6
BET UNDER 139.5		 American University (53.7%)
UTEP (8-15) 57, Missouri State (13-9) 62 [5] 63-68 ✓ MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 139.8		 UTEP (53.5%) DOG
Presbyterian (11-13) 72, Winthrop (17-8) 82 [10] 83-70 ✓ MAE: 1.6
BET OVER 146.0		 Winthrop (52.8%)
Seton Hall (16-7) 60, DePaul (12-11) 67 [7] 60-66 ✓ MAE: 0.6
BET UNDER 134.0		 DePaul (52.5%) DOG
Fresno State (11-11) 57, Grand Canyon (15-7) 68 [11] 69-71 ✓ MAE: 7.4
BET UNDER 145.0		 Grand Canyon (52.5%)
Alabama A&M (12-10) 74, Texas Southern (6-14) 89 [15] 68-76 ✗ MAE: 9.6
O/U: 145.0		 Texas Southern (52.4%) DOG
Houston #8 (20-2) 86, Texas Tech #13 (16-6) 90 [4] 71-79 ✗ MAE: 13.1
BET OVER 141.2		 Texas Tech (52.4%) DOG
George Mason (20-3) 65, Rhode Island (13-9) 74 [9] 62-68 ✓ MAE: 4.6
BET UNDER 135.8		 Rhode Island (52.1%) DOG
Syracuse (13-10) 76, Miami (17-5) 85 [9] 69-76 ✓ MAE: 7.9
BET UNDER 149.5		 Syracuse (51.7%) DOG
Cincinnati (11-11) 68, Arizona State (12-11) 82 [14] 70-74 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET UNDER 147.8		 Arizona State (51.6%) DOG
Bellarmine (9-13) 114, North Florida (5-18) 117 [3] 76-81 ✗ MAE: 37.1
BET UNDER 165.5		 North Florida (51.3%) DOG
Hampton (10-13) 67, UNC Wilmington (19-3) 75 [8] 61-66 ✓ MAE: 7.5
BET UNDER 136.5		 Hampton (50.8%) DOG
Eastern Michigan (9-14) 75, Kent State (17-6) 76 [1] 74-79 ✓ MAE: 2.6
O/U: 154.2		 Eastern Michigan (50.7%) DOG
South Dakota (13-12) 78, St. Thomas-Minnesota (19-6) 90 [12] 80-78 ✓ MAE: 4.9
BET UNDER 161.5		 St. Thomas-Minnesota (50.4%)
Georgia Southern (14-11) 78, Troy (16-8) 83 [5] 75-78 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET UNDER 159.5		 Georgia Southern (50.4%) DOG
Kansas City (4-20) 60, Omaha (12-12) 77 [17] 69-74 ✗ MAE: 11.0
BET UNDER 148.5		 Kansas City (50.3%) DOG
Lamar (12-11) 81, Stephen F. Austin (20-3) 88 [7] 62-65 ✗ MAE: 21.0
BET UNDER 135.5		 Lamar (50.2%) DOG
Houston Christian (8-15) 51, UT Rio Grande Valley (12-11) 68 [17] 71-71 ✗ MAE: 11.1
O/U: 140.8		 Houston Christian (50.1%) DOG
Long Beach State (8-15) 71, UC Santa Barbara (15-7) 74 [3] 72-76 ✓ MAE: 3.0
BET OVER 144.2		 Long Beach State (50.0%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
136
Final results
134
Correct picks
95
Incorrect picks
39
Pending
2
Accuracy
70.9%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
134
Avg Confidence
67.4%
ECE (lower=better)
0.0484
Calibration Quality
Excellent
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
121
ML Win Rate
71.9%
ML Profit
$201
ML ROI
1.7%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
18
Wins
7
Losses
11
Pending
0
Win Rate
38.9%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-188
ROI
-10.5%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
31
Wins
18
Losses
13
Pending
0
Win Rate
58.1%
Profit ($100/bet)
$127
ROI
4.1%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
10
Wins
4
Losses
6
Pending
0
Win Rate
40.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-241
ROI
-24.1%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
83
ATS Wins
48
ATS Losses
35
ATS Win Rate
57.8%
Spread Profit
$863
Spread ROI
10.4%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+5.4%
Spread Confidence Calibration
Calibrated Games
134
Avg Confidence
60.3%
ECE (lower=better)
0.1999
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
100
O/U Wins
46
O/U Losses
54
O/U Win Rate
46.0%
O/U Profit
$-1219
O/U ROI
-12.2%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-6.4%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
6
Completed
6
Covered
3
Failed
3
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-27
ROI
-4.5%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
6
O/U Wins
3
O/U Losses
3
O/U Win Rate
50.0%
O/U Profit
$-27
O/U ROI
-4.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-2.4%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 75 @ Southern 74 Southern (73.3%) Southern -9.2 +9.8 -0.6 -1.0 FAILED
Elon 70 @ Charleston 80 Charleston (71.7%) Charleston -3.5 +9.4 +12.9 +10.0 COVERED
Binghamton 63 @ Maine 79 Maine (74.2%) Maine -6.2 +9.0 +15.3 +16.0 COVERED
North Carolina #14 85 @ Virginia #18 80 Virginia (72.0%) Virginia -6.8 +7.2 +13.9 -5.0 FAILED
Green Bay 71 @ Robert Morris 67 Robert Morris (74.6%) Robert Morris -6.5 +6.8 +13.3 -4.0 FAILED
Northeastern 78 @ Drexel 83 Drexel (71.3%) Drexel -4.0 +6.6 +10.6 +5.0 COVERED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
18
Wins
7
Losses
11
Pending
0
Win Rate
38.9%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-188
ROI
-10.5%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Mercer 77, Wofford 80 [3] Wofford 60.1% N/A N/A WIN
Incarnate Word 71, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 79 [8] Incarnate Word 59.4% N/A N/A LOSS
Dartmouth 69, Columbia 79 [10] Dartmouth 54.1% N/A N/A LOSS
UTEP 57, Missouri State 62 [5] UTEP 53.5% +103 +6.5% LOSS
Seton Hall 60, DePaul 67 [7] DePaul 52.5% +125 +9.8% WIN
Alabama A&M 74, Texas Southern 89 [15] Texas Southern 52.4% +101 +4.8% WIN
Houston 86, Texas Tech 90 [4] Texas Tech 52.4% +100 +4.5% WIN
George Mason 65, Rhode Island 74 [9] Rhode Island 52.1% +120 +8.4% WIN
Syracuse 76, Miami 85 [9] Syracuse 51.7% +107 +5.4% LOSS
Cincinnati 68, Arizona State 82 [14] Arizona State 51.6% +128 +9.4% WIN
Bellarmine 114, North Florida 117 [3] North Florida 51.3% +137 +10.8% WIN
Hampton 67, UNC Wilmington 75 [8] Hampton 50.8% +154 +13.0% LOSS
Eastern Michigan 75, Kent State 76 [1] Eastern Michigan 50.7% +155 +12.9% LOSS
Georgia Southern 78, Troy 83 [5] Georgia Southern 50.4% +167 +14.4% LOSS
Kansas City 60, Omaha 77 [17] Kansas City 50.3% +154 +12.5% LOSS
Lamar 81, Stephen F. Austin 88 [7] Lamar 50.2% +152 +12.0% LOSS
Houston Christian 51, UT Rio Grande Valley 68 [17] Houston Christian 50.1% +122 +6.8% LOSS
Long Beach State 71, UC Santa Barbara 74 [3] Long Beach State 50.0% +164 +13.7% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
31
Wins
18
Losses
13
Pending
0
Win Rate
58.1%
Profit ($100/bet)
$127
ROI
4.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Georgia Southern 78, Troy 83 [5] Georgia Southern 50.4% +167 +14.4% LOSS
Long Beach State 71, UC Santa Barbara 74 [3] Long Beach State 50.0% +164 +13.7% LOSS
Hampton 67, UNC Wilmington 75 [8] Hampton 50.8% +154 +13.0% LOSS
Eastern Michigan 75, Kent State 76 [1] Eastern Michigan 50.7% +155 +12.9% LOSS
Kansas City 60, Omaha 77 [17] Kansas City 50.3% +154 +12.5% LOSS
Elon 70, Charleston 80 [10] Charleston 71.7% -162 +12.3% WIN
Lamar 81, Stephen F. Austin 88 [7] Lamar 50.2% +152 +12.0% LOSS
Murray State 76, Northern Iowa 81 [5] Northern Iowa 60.5% -105 +11.6% WIN
Bellarmine 114, North Florida 117 [3] North Florida 51.3% +137 +10.8% WIN
Northern Kentucky 80, Wright State 88 [8] Wright State 68.8% -155 +10.4% WIN
Eastern Illinois 68, Morehead State 73 [5] Morehead State 70.7% -172 +9.9% WIN
Cal Poly 78, Cal State Fullerton 93 [15] Cal Poly 58.7% -105 +9.8% LOSS
Seton Hall 60, DePaul 67 [7] DePaul 52.5% +125 +9.8% WIN
Idaho State 60, Montana 69 [9] Montana 72.0% -185 +9.7% WIN
Cincinnati 68, Arizona State 82 [14] Arizona State 51.6% +128 +9.4% WIN
Western Kentucky 58, Sam Houston 73 [15] Sam Houston 73.8% -202 +9.4% WIN
Lindenwood 86, Tennessee State 96 [10] Lindenwood 70.8% -178 +9.3% LOSS
Central Michigan 65, Western Michigan 77 [12] Western Michigan 74.0% -211 +8.9% WIN
Hofstra 82, William & Mary 89 [7] William & Mary 64.9% -140 +8.7% WIN
Utah Valley 71, California Baptist 78 [7] California Baptist 57.3% -103 +8.7% WIN
Binghamton 63, Maine 79 [16] Maine 74.2% -219 +8.5% WIN
George Mason 65, Rhode Island 74 [9] Rhode Island 52.1% +120 +8.4% WIN
Campbell 73, Monmouth 88 [15] Campbell 73.3% -214 +7.9% LOSS
Illinois State 69, Belmont 80 [11] Belmont 74.5% -232 +7.6% WIN
Houston Christian 51, UT Rio Grande Valley 68 [17] Houston Christian 50.1% +122 +6.8% LOSS
UTEP 57, Missouri State 62 [5] UTEP 53.5% +103 +6.5% LOSS
Southern Miss 67, Coastal Carolina 85 [18] Coastal Carolina 63.9% -152 +5.8% WIN
Bowling Green 72, Toledo 73 [1] Toledo 54.9% -106 +5.7% WIN
Robert Morris 67, Green Bay 71 [4] Robert Morris 74.6% -255 +5.6% LOSS
Syracuse 76, Miami 85 [9] Syracuse 51.7% +107 +5.4% LOSS
Seattle U 54, Pacific 56 [2] Pacific 62.1% -144 +5.4% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
10
Wins
4
Losses
6
Pending
0
Win Rate
40.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-241
ROI
-24.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Georgia Southern 78, Troy 83 [5] Georgia Southern 50.4% +167 +14.4% LOSS
Long Beach State 71, UC Santa Barbara 74 [3] Long Beach State 50.0% +164 +13.7% LOSS
Hampton 67, UNC Wilmington 75 [8] Hampton 50.8% +154 +13.0% LOSS
Eastern Michigan 75, Kent State 76 [1] Eastern Michigan 50.7% +155 +12.9% LOSS
Kansas City 60, Omaha 77 [17] Kansas City 50.3% +154 +12.5% LOSS
Elon 70, Charleston 80 [10] Charleston 71.7% -162 +12.3% WIN
Lamar 81, Stephen F. Austin 88 [7] Lamar 50.2% +152 +12.0% LOSS
Murray State 76, Northern Iowa 81 [5] Northern Iowa 60.5% -105 +11.6% WIN
Bellarmine 114, North Florida 117 [3] North Florida 51.3% +137 +10.8% WIN
Northern Kentucky 80, Wright State 88 [8] Wright State 68.8% -155 +10.4% WIN
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Santa Clara @ San Diego San Diego 35.2% +700 +23.3% LOSS
San Francisco @ Gonzaga San Francisco 10.0% +1700 +4.6% LOSS
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts Oral Roberts 40.7% +317 +17.9% LOSS