Test Predictions Recap
2026-02-07
All Games Summary
Total Picks
155
Final results
155
Correct picks
109
Incorrect picks
46
Pending
0
Accuracy
70.3%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
COMPLETED GAMES (155)
Oklahoma State (16-6) 47, Arizona #1 (22-0) 84 [37] 68-97 MAE: 17.0
BET UNDER 167.8
Arizona (96.8%)
Oregon (8-14) 64, Purdue #12 (18-4) 68 [4] 63-81 MAE: 6.9
O/U: 143.8
Purdue (96.5%)
La Salle (7-16) 58, Saint Louis #19 (22-1) 82 [24] 68-92 MAE: 10.4
BET OVER 154.8
Saint Louis (96.2%)
Utah (9-13) 59, Kansas #11 (17-5) 71 [12] 66-83 MAE: 9.7
O/U: 150.2
Kansas (95.6%)
Oral Roberts (5-19) 75, St. Thomas-Minnesota (19-6) 92 [17] 65-84 MAE: 8.5
O/U: 150.5
St. Thomas-Minnesota (93.0%)
Gardner-Webb (3-21) 62, Presbyterian (11-13) 68 [6] 58-77 MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 146.5
Presbyterian (93.0%)
South Carolina State (6-16) 57, Howard (14-9) 85 [28] 52-75 MAE: 7.6
BET UNDER 142.5
Howard (92.4%)
Incarnate Word (10-13) 64, McNeese (18-5) 81 [17] 64-75 MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 146.2
McNeese (92.3%)
Baylor (13-9) 69, Iowa State #7 (20-2) 72 [3] 70-85 MAE: 7.0
BET OVER 151.5
Iowa State (92.2%)
Niagara (6-17) 55, Quinnipiac (16-9) 56 [1] 61-75 MAE: 12.4
O/U: 137.5
Quinnipiac (91.7%)
Radford (13-12) 77, High Point (21-4) 86 [9] 76-89 MAE: 2.1
O/U: 163.8
High Point (91.3%)
Western Illinois (4-20) 56, Tennessee State (15-8) 83 [27] 64-80 MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 150.8
Tennessee State (90.9%)
Syracuse (13-10) 59, Virginia #18 (19-3) 72 [13] 64-78 MAE: 5.3
BET UNDER 147.5
Virginia (90.1%)
San José State (6-16) 57, Colorado State (12-10) 65 [8] 61-77 MAE: 7.9
O/U: 136.8
Colorado State (89.0%)
North Alabama (7-14) 62, Austin Peay (16-6) 91 [29] 68-77 MAE: 10.0
O/U: 145.5
Austin Peay (88.4%)
Fresno State (11-11) 59, Nevada (16-7) 69 [10] 63-77 MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 145.5
Nevada (86.6%)
Air Force (3-19) 54, San Diego State (16-6) 88 [34] 76-65 MAE: 11.4
BET OVER 138.5
San Diego State (86.6%)
Southern Indiana (5-18) 65, Southeast Missouri State (14-10) 90 [25] 62-73 MAE: 10.0
BET UNDER 140.5
Southeast Missouri State (86.1%)
Longwood (13-12) 74, Winthrop (17-8) 79 [5] 71-81 MAE: 2.6
O/U: 151.5
Winthrop (85.6%)
Rutgers (9-14) 68, Nebraska #9 (20-2) 80 [12] 75-70 MAE: 3.7
O/U: 144.2
Nebraska (85.5%)
Oregon State (13-12) 61, Gonzaga #6 (22-2) 81 [20] 80-71 MAE: 5.5
BET OVER 145.8
Gonzaga (85.3%)
UT Arlington (14-8) 60, Utah Valley (17-6) 81 [21] 65-74 MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 141.5
Utah Valley (85.0%)
Vanderbilt #15 (19-3) 91, Oklahoma (11-12) 92 [1] 64-81 MAE: 18.6
BET UNDER 159.2
Vanderbilt (84.8%)
Stonehill (9-15) 54, Long Island University (15-8) 61 [7] 60-70 MAE: 7.3
O/U: 131.5
Long Island University (84.6%)
San Francisco (14-11) 54, Saint Mary's (20-4) 79 [25] 66-80 MAE: 6.8
BET OVER 142.5
Saint Mary's (84.6%)
New Hampshire (8-13) 57, Vermont (14-10) 80 [23] 59-75 MAE: 3.7
BET UNDER 138.2
Vermont (84.4%)
Chattanooga (10-14) 71, The Citadel (8-16) 78 [7] 67-80 MAE: 10.0
BET OVER 138.5
Chattanooga (84.3%)
North Florida (6-18) 72, Queens University (13-11) 91 [19] 95-104 MAE: 18.2
BET OVER 176.5
Queens University (84.2%)
St. Francis (PA) (6-16) 84, Le Moyne (11-13) 86 [2] 66-80 MAE: 11.9
BET UNDER 151.2
Le Moyne (84.1%)
UC Riverside (8-16) 74, Cal State Northridge (14-10) 88 [14] 66-81 MAE: 7.5
BET UNDER 159.5
Cal State Northridge (84.0%)
Missouri State (13-9) 76, Liberty (19-3) 79 [3] 63-74 MAE: 9.2
BET UNDER 139.2
Liberty (83.7%)
Montana State (14-10) 71, Eastern Washington (6-17) 72 [1] 67-78 MAE: 6.0
BET UNDER 148.2
Montana State (83.5%)
Omaha (12-13) 84, North Dakota State (19-6) 92 [8] 64-80 MAE: 16.0
O/U: 144.5
North Dakota State (83.3%)
Ole Miss (11-11) 68, Texas (14-9) 79 [11] 67-81 MAE: 1.8
BET OVER 144.5
Texas (83.2%)
Virginia Tech (16-7) 73, NC State (17-6) 82 [9] 73-81 MAE: 0.6
BET OVER 152.5
NC State (83.0%)
Kansas State (10-12) 82, TCU (13-9) 84 [2] 67-78 MAE: 10.3
BET UNDER 154.0
TCU (82.9%)
Georgia Tech (11-12) 72, Stanford (14-9) 95 [23] 64-72 MAE: 15.4
BET UNDER 151.0
Stanford (82.7%)
Lamar (12-11) 74, Stephen F. Austin (20-3) 84 [10] 62-72 MAE: 12.1
BET UNDER 138.5
Stephen F. Austin (82.3%)
New Haven (10-13) 57, Chicago State (2-20) 63 [6] 55-67 MAE: 9.0
BET UNDER 127.5
New Haven (81.9%)
Saint Joseph's (15-8) 52, George Mason (20-3) 60 [8] 63-70 MAE: 10.4
BET UNDER 139.8
George Mason (81.7%)
Alcorn State (4-17) 77, Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9-13) 84 [7] 72-87 MAE: 4.4
BET OVER 145.5
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (81.6%)
South Dakota State (11-13) 67, South Dakota (13-12) 68 [1] 70-83 MAE: 8.8
BET UNDER 157.5
South Dakota State (81.1%)
Cal Poly (9-15) 58, UC Davis (14-9) 67 [9] 70-84 MAE: 14.4
BET UNDER 169.8
UC Davis (80.5%)
Purdue Fort Wayne (14-10) 68, Wright State (15-9) 73 [5] 67-81 MAE: 4.7
BET UNDER 150.5
Wright State (80.4%)
UT Martin (19-5) 55, Morehead State (12-12) 61 [6] 58-65 MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 135.8
UT Martin (79.9%)
Milwaukee (9-16) 62, Northern Kentucky (14-11) 67 [5] 72-83 MAE: 12.9
BET UNDER 157.0
Northern Kentucky (79.1%)
Pepperdine (6-18) 59, Pacific (15-10) 92 [33] 74-62 MAE: 10.5
BET UNDER 140.0
Pacific (78.9%)
Northern Arizona (9-15) 53, Weber State (11-13) 72 [19] 71-77 MAE: 11.8
BET UNDER 150.8
Weber State (78.8%)
Boston College (9-13) 68, Miami (17-5) 74 [6] 73-68 MAE: 0.6
O/U: 141.5
Miami (78.7%)
Abilene Christian (10-12) 63, California Baptist (17-6) 65 [2] 62-72 MAE: 3.9
O/U: 134.2
California Baptist (78.6%)
Stetson (8-16) 88, Eastern Kentucky (8-16) 100 [12] 72-78 MAE: 19.1
O/U: 151.5
Eastern Kentucky (77.5%)
Lipscomb (15-9) 78, Central Arkansas (13-10) 86 [8] 74-85 MAE: 9.8
BET OVER 154.5
Lipscomb (77.5%)
American University (13-11) 73, Navy (18-6) 82 [9] 54-66 MAE: 17.6
BET UNDER 134.2
Navy (77.3%)
Seton Hall (16-7) 68, Creighton (12-11) 69 [1] 63-71 MAE: 3.3
BET UNDER 139.0
Creighton (77.0%)
San Diego (10-15) 63, Loyola Marymount (12-13) 83 [20] 68-82 MAE: 3.2
O/U: 150.5
Loyola Marymount (76.6%)
VMI (6-18) 70, East Tennessee State (17-7) 87 [17] 76-71 MAE: 5.8
O/U: 145.2
East Tennessee State (76.2%)
Sacramento State (9-13) 73, Portland State (15-6) 74 [1] 74-69 MAE: 2.2
BET UNDER 153.0
Portland State (75.7%)
Towson (13-11) 49, Hofstra (15-9) 71 [22] 63-74 MAE: 8.2
O/U: 137.8
Hofstra (75.5%)
Alabama State (7-15) 47, Grambling (10-11) 57 [10] 64-78 MAE: 19.1
BET UNDER 144.2
Grambling (75.4%)
Cal State Bakersfield (8-16) 66, Cal State Fullerton (11-13) 82 [16] 71-82 MAE: 2.7
BET UNDER 157.5
Cal State Fullerton (75.2%)
Western Carolina (8-14) 66, Wofford (16-8) 77 [11] 71-82 MAE: 4.6
BET UNDER 157.5
Wofford (75.1%)
Iona (14-10) 76, Mount St. Mary's (10-15) 83 [7] 64-72 MAE: 11.5
BET UNDER 139.8
Iona (74.0%)
Washington State (11-14) 92, Santa Clara (20-5) 96 [4] 76-78 MAE: 16.8
BET UNDER 160.5
Santa Clara (74.0%)
Bucknell (8-16) 59, Colgate (14-10) 78 [19] 75-68 MAE: 5.8
O/U: 141.5
Colgate (73.8%)
Wagner (8-13) 67, Central Connecticut (12-10) 84 [17] 61-68 MAE: 11.1
BET UNDER 137.2
Central Connecticut (72.9%)
Houston Christian (8-15) 47, SE Louisiana (6-17) 55 [8] 59-73 MAE: 15.3
O/U: 134.0
SE Louisiana (72.9%)
UTSA (4-18) 58, North Texas (12-11) 81 [23] 72-66 MAE: 9.0
O/U: 138.2
North Texas (72.5%)
Mississippi State (11-11) 68, Arkansas #21 (16-6) 88 [20] 86-77 MAE: 5.4
O/U: 163.5
Arkansas (72.3%)
Notre Dame (11-12) 79, Florida State (10-12) 82 [3] 70-80 MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 153.5
Notre Dame (72.3%)
UC San Diego (16-8) 67, Hawai'i (16-5) 72 [5] 63-77 MAE: 4.3
BET UNDER 146.5
Hawai'i (72.2%)
Middle Tennessee (11-11) 88, Delaware (6-16) 89 [1] 68-61 MAE: 23.9
BET UNDER 132.2
Middle Tennessee (72.1%)
Northeastern (6-16) 55, Stony Brook (14-10) 69 [14] 72-82 MAE: 15.1
O/U: 152.5
Stony Brook (72.0%)
Maine (6-18) 67, Bryant (7-16) 73 [6] 59-66 MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 129.5
Bryant (71.8%)
Youngstown State (12-12) 66, Robert Morris (15-10) 72 [6] 71-76 MAE: 5.7
BET OVER 144.2
Youngstown State (71.7%)
Tennessee Tech (10-14) 54, Eastern Illinois (9-15) 60 [6] 66-68 MAE: 9.9
BET UNDER 140.0
Tennessee Tech (71.3%)
Western Michigan (8-14) 61, Texas State (14-11) 77 [16] 67-81 MAE: 5.0
O/U: 146.5
Texas State (71.0%)
North Carolina Central (8-12) 68, Norfolk State (10-14) 75 [7] 64-76 MAE: 2.7
BET UNDER 148.5
Norfolk State (71.0%)
Wisconsin (16-6) 77, Indiana (15-8) 78 [1] 65-77 MAE: 6.1
BET UNDER 155.8
Indiana (70.8%)
Wyoming (13-10) 83, Utah State (19-3) 85 [2] 71-71 MAE: 12.8
BET UNDER 145.8
Utah State (70.7%)
New Mexico (18-5) 90, Boise State (14-9) 91 [1] 68-82 MAE: 15.6
BET UNDER 152.5
New Mexico (70.3%)
Washington (12-11) 73, UCLA (16-7) 77 [4] 69-82 MAE: 4.4
BET OVER 145.5
UCLA (70.0%)
Wake Forest (11-11) 80, Louisville #24 (16-6) 88 [8] 76-72 MAE: 9.6
BET UNDER 160.8
Louisville (69.7%)
Rider (3-19) 47, Merrimack (15-9) 73 [26] 64-62 MAE: 12.2
BET UNDER 137.5
Merrimack (69.7%)
Elon (13-11) 77, Drexel (12-12) 82 [5] 70-73 MAE: 8.0
BET OVER 138.0
Elon (69.5%)
Richmond (13-10) 77, Rhode Island (13-9) 82 [5] 63-77 MAE: 9.3
O/U: 141.5
Rhode Island (69.2%)
East Carolina (7-15) 73, Temple (14-8) 81 [8] 77-68 MAE: 4.6
BET OVER 139.8
Temple (68.8%)
Eastern Michigan (9-14) 60, App State (16-9) 65 [5] 61-77 MAE: 6.6
BET OVER 130.8
App State (68.2%)
Seattle U (15-9) 53, Portland (11-14) 54 [1] 68-68 MAE: 14.6
BET UNDER 140.8
Seattle U (68.1%)
Princeton (8-14) 60, Pennsylvania (10-10) 61 [1] 65-69 MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 141.8
Pennsylvania (67.7%)
North Dakota (14-12) 79, Denver (10-15) 98 [19] 70-84 MAE: 16.4
BET UNDER 161.2
North Dakota (67.2%)
Georgia State (9-15) 74, Northern Illinois (7-14) 75 [1] 68-74 MAE: 3.9
BET UNDER 144.2
Georgia State (66.5%)
Alabama A&M (12-10) 68, Southern (9-13) 81 [13] 71-77 MAE: 3.8
BET OVER 144.2
Southern (66.5%)
Arizona State (12-11) 70, Colorado (13-10) 78 [8] 73-83 MAE: 3.8
BET UNDER 157.8
Colorado (65.2%)
New Orleans (11-13) 76, UT Rio Grande Valley (12-11) 95 [19] 64-69 MAE: 18.7
BET UNDER 151.2
UT Rio Grande Valley (65.2%)
Fordham (12-11) 67, St. Bonaventure (13-10) 70 [3] 62-72 MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 139.5
Fordham (65.0%)
Southern Utah (8-15) 59, Tarleton State (11-12) 62 [3] 77-71 MAE: 13.4
O/U: 146.8
Tarleton State (64.9%) DOG
DePaul (12-11) 72, Providence (10-13) 90 [18] 68-82 MAE: 6.3
BET UNDER 155.0
Providence (64.9%)
Kent State (17-6) 65, Southern Miss (12-13) 66 [1] 80-74 MAE: 11.2
BET OVER 150.2
Kent State (64.8%)
Binghamton (5-19) 64, NJIT (12-12) 73 [9] 64-72 MAE: 0.6
BET UNDER 140.5
NJIT (64.1%)
Detroit Mercy (10-12) 63, Green Bay (13-12) 76 [13] 70-79 MAE: 5.1
O/U: 150.2
Green Bay (63.4%)
UL Monroe (4-20) 68, Ball State (7-15) 73 [5] 65-64 MAE: 5.9
BET UNDER 141.2
Ball State (63.3%)
Loyola Maryland (9-15) 69, Boston University (9-15) 78 [9] 67-76 MAE: 2.0
BET UNDER 145.8
Boston University (62.4%)
William & Mary (15-8) 74, Hampton (11-13) 77 [3] 80-70 MAE: 6.5
O/U: 151.8
William & Mary (62.4%)
Pittsburgh (9-14) 67, SMU (15-7) 86 [19] 77-74 MAE: 8.0
BET OVER 147.5
SMU (62.1%)
Illinois #5 (20-3) 82, Michigan State #10 (19-4) 85 [3] 68-77 MAE: 11.0
O/U: 144.5
Michigan State (61.4%)
Duke #4 (21-1) 68, North Carolina #14 (18-4) 71 [3] 80-68 MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 151.5
Duke (61.1%)
Kennesaw State (14-8) 58, Jacksonville State (12-10) 77 [19] 65-74 MAE: 5.2
BET UNDER 149.8
Jacksonville State (60.0%)
Prairie View A&M (9-13) 76, Bethune-Cookman (11-11) 82 [6] 72-81 MAE: 2.7
O/U: 153.2
Bethune-Cookman (59.7%)
Grand Canyon (15-7) 78, UNLV (10-12) 80 [2] 75-73 MAE: 4.9
O/U: 148.8
Grand Canyon (59.6%)
Jacksonville (9-15) 73, West Georgia (10-13) 87 [14] 70-77 MAE: 6.0
BET OVER 137.8
West Georgia (59.6%) DOG
Columbia (14-7) 67, Cornell (10-10) 88 [21] 79-90 MAE: 15.9
O/U: 170.5
Columbia (59.0%)
Dartmouth (10-10) 58, Harvard (12-9) 71 [13] 69-67 MAE: 5.7
BET UNDER 141.5
Dartmouth (58.7%) DOG
Charleston Southern (11-13) 94, South Carolina Upstate (10-14) 100 [6] 78-71 MAE: 22.4
O/U: 149.5
Charleston Southern (58.6%)
Little Rock (9-15) 61, SIU Edwardsville (15-9) 71 [10] 71-61 MAE: 0.2
O/U: 131.8
SIU Edwardsville (58.4%) DOG
Delaware State (6-15) 47, Coppin State (3-21) 65 [18] 66-66 MAE: 9.9
BET UNDER 134.5
Delaware State (57.6%)
Ohio (13-11) 72, Old Dominion (7-17) 78 [6] 80-70 MAE: 7.7
BET UNDER 154.8
Ohio (56.8%)
Florida International (11-11) 70, Western Kentucky (12-11) 80 [10] 70-79 MAE: 0.8
BET UNDER 157.5
Western Kentucky (56.7%)
Auburn (14-8) 92, Alabama (15-7) 96 [4] 78-88 MAE: 10.8
BET UNDER 175.5
Auburn (56.2%)
Army (10-14) 60, Lafayette (7-17) 63 [3] 73-79 MAE: 14.6
BET OVER 142.8
Army (56.1%) DOG
UAlbany (8-16) 79, UMass Lowell (9-15) 89 [10] 72-74 MAE: 10.9
O/U: 144.5
UAlbany (55.9%)
Florida A&M (7-12) 57, Texas Southern (6-14) 62 [5] 68-73 MAE: 10.8
BET UNDER 146.5
Florida A&M (55.7%)
Idaho (13-10) 68, Montana (13-11) 73 [5] 65-76 MAE: 2.8
BET UNDER 151.8
Montana (55.6%)
Siena (17-7) 65, Saint Peter's (13-8) 70 [5] 58-63 MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 135.8
Saint Peter's (55.3%) DOG
Central Michigan (7-16) 80, Louisiana (8-16) 85 [5] 63-73 MAE: 14.6
O/U: 134.5
Louisiana (55.0%)
LSU (14-8) 71, Georgia (16-6) 83 [12] 81-75 MAE: 3.1
BET UNDER 160.5
Georgia (54.8%)
Buffalo (14-9) 69, South Alabama (16-7) 81 [12] 70-79 MAE: 1.8
BET OVER 143.2
South Alabama (54.8%)
Texas A&M (17-5) 67, Florida #17 (16-6) 86 [19] 83-78 MAE: 7.0
BET UNDER 168.0
Florida (54.7%)
Maryland Eastern Shore (8-16) 71, Morgan State (9-13) 79 [8] 61-69 MAE: 9.9
BET UNDER 141.5
Morgan State (54.2%)
Georgetown (13-10) 73, Villanova (17-5) 80 [7] 71-71 MAE: 5.6
BET OVER 139.0
Georgetown (54.2%) DOG
North Carolina A&T (9-13) 71, Campbell (11-13) 79 [8] 75-80 MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 159.8
North Carolina A&T (54.0%) DOG
Bowling Green (14-9) 54, Arkansas State (14-10) 91 [37] 74-86 MAE: 12.9
BET OVER 154.8
Arkansas State (53.2%)
George Washington (13-10) 86, Duquesne (13-10) 88 [2] 73-79 MAE: 11.2
BET UNDER 158.8
Duquesne (52.8%) DOG
Sacred Heart (10-15) 68, Manhattan (9-16) 80 [12] 70-76 MAE: 3.0
BET UNDER 162.5
Manhattan (52.7%) DOG
Lehigh (10-14) 67, Holy Cross (8-16) 76 [9] 61-68 MAE: 7.4
BET UNDER 137.2
Holy Cross (52.7%) DOG
Toledo (12-11) 71, James Madison (11-13) 73 [2] 85-74 MAE: 7.5
BET OVER 152.2
Toledo (52.7%)
South Carolina (11-12) 59, Missouri (15-7) 78 [19] 69-74 MAE: 12.2
BET UNDER 146.2
South Carolina (52.4%) DOG
Marist (16-7) 60, Fairfield (15-10) 63 [3] 67-63 MAE: 3.5
BET UNDER 137.5
Fairfield (52.4%) DOG
Massachusetts (15-9) 91, Coastal Carolina (14-11) 94 [3] 82-73 MAE: 14.9
BET OVER 147.5
Massachusetts (51.9%)
Sam Houston (16-7) 78, Louisiana Tech (12-10) 87 [9] 69-75 MAE: 10.4
BET OVER 141.2
Louisiana Tech (51.8%) DOG
Tennessee #25 (16-6) 71, Kentucky (16-7) 74 [3] 73-74 MAE: 1.1
O/U: 146.8
Kentucky (51.4%)
Butler (13-10) 55, Marquette (8-15) 70 [15] 79-74 MAE: 14.0
BET UNDER 156.5
Butler (51.4%) DOG
UC Irvine (16-7) 79, UC Santa Barbara (15-8) 84 [5] 66-78 MAE: 9.8
BET OVER 137.5
UC Santa Barbara (51.2%)
California (17-6) 55, Clemson #20 (19-4) 77 [22] 65-68 MAE: 12.8
BET UNDER 136.5
California (51.1%) DOG
Cleveland State (10-14) 74, IU Indianapolis (6-18) 82 [8] 72-79 MAE: 2.5
BET UNDER 168.5
IU Indianapolis (51.1%)
New Mexico State (11-11) 88, UTEP (8-15) 91 [3] 74-65 MAE: 20.3
O/U: 137.8
New Mexico State (51.1%) DOG
Florida Gulf Coast (10-14) 65, Bellarmine (10-13) 81 [16] 73-80 MAE: 4.2
O/U: 154.5
Bellarmine (50.9%) DOG
Marshall (15-8) 74, Miami (OH) #23 (23-0) 90 [16] 73-78 MAE: 10.7
BET UNDER 161.8
Marshall (50.8%) DOG
Mercyhurst (12-12) 52, Fairleigh Dickinson (8-16) 55 [3] 60-67 MAE: 10.4
BET UNDER 130.2
Fairleigh Dickinson (50.7%)
BYU #16 (17-5) 66, Houston #8 (20-2) 77 [11] 71-78 MAE: 9.0
O/U: 149.2
BYU (50.6%) DOG
Northwestern State (6-17) 48, East Texas A&M (9-15) 52 [4] 71-66 MAE: 18.2
BET UNDER 142.8
Northwestern State (50.6%) DOG
Akron (19-4) 69, Troy (16-8) 79 [10] 84-78 MAE: 8.1
BET OVER 156.2
Akron (50.6%)
Idaho State (10-14) 61, Northern Colorado (14-10) 69 [8] 75-82 MAE: 13.4
BET OVER 153.0
Idaho State (50.4%) DOG
Mercer (15-9) 49, Samford (12-12) 69 [20] 71-78 MAE: 15.2
BET UNDER 162.5
Samford (50.3%) DOG
Nicholls (10-13) 76, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (12-11) 83 [7] 62-70 MAE: 13.2
BET UNDER 136.8
Nicholls (50.0%)
Mississippi Valley State (1-21) 81, Jackson State (6-16) 97 [16] 69-69 MAE: 19.8
BET UNDER 143.8
Mississippi Valley State (50.0%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
155
Final results
155
Correct picks
109
Incorrect picks
46
Pending
0
Accuracy
70.3%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
155
Avg Confidence
70.0%
ECE (lower=better)
0.0403
Calibration Quality
Excellent
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
143
ML Win Rate
71.3%
ML Profit
$365
ML ROI
2.5%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
16
Wins
6
Losses
10
Pending
0
Win Rate
37.5%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-342
ROI
-21.4%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
8
Wins
6
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
75.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$103
ROI
12.8%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
58
Wins
37
Losses
21
Pending
0
Win Rate
63.8%
Profit ($100/bet)
$73
ROI
1.3%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
24
Wins
13
Losses
11
Pending
0
Win Rate
54.2%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-148
ROI
-6.2%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
99
ATS Wins
50
ATS Losses
49
ATS Win Rate
50.5%
Spread Profit
$-355
Spread ROI
-3.6%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-1.9%
Spread Confidence Calibration
Calibrated Games
155
Avg Confidence
59.2%
ECE (lower=better)
0.1251
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
116
O/U Wins
72
O/U Losses
44
O/U Win Rate
62.1%
O/U Profit
$2145
O/U ROI
18.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+9.7%
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
16
Wins
6
Losses
10
Pending
0
Win Rate
37.5%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-342
ROI
-21.4%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Dartmouth 58, Harvard 71 [13] Dartmouth 58.7% +103 +11.6% LOSS
Little Rock 61, SIU Edwardsville 71 [10] SIU Edwardsville 58.4% +107 +12.2% WIN
Army 60, Lafayette 63 [3] Army 56.1% +105 +9.4% LOSS
Georgetown 73, Villanova 80 [7] Georgetown 54.2% +145 +14.8% LOSS
North Carolina A&T 71, Campbell 79 [8] North Carolina A&T 54.0% +146 +14.9% LOSS
Sacred Heart 68, Manhattan 80 [12] Manhattan 52.7% +105 +6.0% WIN
Lehigh 67, Holy Cross 76 [9] Holy Cross 52.7% +105 +5.9% WIN
Sam Houston 78, Louisiana Tech 87 [9] Louisiana Tech 51.8% +140 +11.7% WIN
Butler 55, Marquette 70 [15] Butler 51.4% +115 +6.7% LOSS
California 55, Clemson 77 [22] California 51.1% +140 +11.0% LOSS
Florida Gulf Coast 65, Bellarmine 81 [16] Bellarmine 50.9% +100 +3.1% WIN
Marshall 74, Miami (OH) 90 [16] Marshall 50.8% +115 +6.1% LOSS
BYU 66, Houston 77 [11] BYU 50.6% +136 +8.4% LOSS
Idaho State 61, Northern Colorado 69 [8] Idaho State 50.4% +100 +2.5% LOSS
Mercer 49, Samford 69 [20] Samford 50.3% +100 +2.5% WIN
Mississippi Valley State 81, Jackson State 97 [16] Mississippi Valley State 50.0% +260 +23.4% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
8
Wins
6
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
75.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$103
ROI
12.8%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
St. Francis (PA) 84, Le Moyne 86 [2] Le Moyne 84.1% -320 +11.1% WIN
Montana State 71, Eastern Washington 72 [1] Montana State 83.5% -251 +14.7% LOSS
New Haven 57, Chicago State 63 [6] New Haven 81.9% -235 +14.5% LOSS
Alcorn State 77, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 84 [7] Arkansas-Pine Bluff 81.6% -290 +10.2% WIN
Seton Hall 68, Creighton 69 [1] Creighton 77.0% -141 +20.7% WIN
San Diego 63, Loyola Marymount 83 [20] Loyola Marymount 76.6% -206 +11.8% WIN
Sacramento State 73, Portland State 74 [1] Portland State 75.7% -175 +14.3% WIN
Towson 49, Hofstra 71 [22] Hofstra 75.5% -165 +15.6% WIN
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
58
Wins
37
Losses
21
Pending
0
Win Rate
63.8%
Profit ($100/bet)
$73
ROI
1.3%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Mississippi Valley State 81, Jackson State 97 [16] Mississippi Valley State 50.0% +260 +23.4% LOSS
Seton Hall 68, Creighton 69 [1] Creighton 77.0% -141 +20.7% WIN
Notre Dame 79, Florida State 82 [3] Notre Dame 72.3% -137 +16.6% LOSS
Southern Utah 59, Tarleton State 62 [3] Tarleton State 64.9% -105 +16.0% WIN
Towson 49, Hofstra 71 [22] Hofstra 75.5% -165 +15.6% WIN
Fordham 67, St. Bonaventure 70 [3] Fordham 65.0% -108 +15.3% LOSS
Maine 67, Bryant 73 [6] Bryant 71.8% -143 +15.1% WIN
North Carolina A&T 71, Campbell 79 [8] North Carolina A&T 54.0% +146 +14.9% LOSS
Georgetown 73, Villanova 80 [7] Georgetown 54.2% +145 +14.8% LOSS
Montana State 71, Eastern Washington 72 [1] Montana State 83.5% -251 +14.7% LOSS
New Haven 57, Chicago State 63 [6] New Haven 81.9% -235 +14.5% LOSS
Sacramento State 73, Portland State 74 [1] Portland State 75.7% -175 +14.3% WIN
Little Rock 61, SIU Edwardsville 71 [10] SIU Edwardsville 58.4% +107 +12.2% WIN
San Diego 63, Loyola Marymount 83 [20] Loyola Marymount 76.6% -206 +11.8% WIN
Sam Houston 78, Louisiana Tech 87 [9] Louisiana Tech 51.8% +140 +11.7% WIN
Dartmouth 58, Harvard 71 [13] Dartmouth 58.7% +103 +11.6% LOSS
Youngstown State 66, Robert Morris 72 [6] Youngstown State 71.7% -170 +11.2% LOSS
St. Francis (PA) 84, Le Moyne 86 [2] Le Moyne 84.1% -320 +11.1% WIN
California 55, Clemson 77 [22] California 51.1% +140 +11.0% LOSS
Illinois 82, Michigan State 85 [3] Michigan State 61.4% -110 +10.9% WIN
Jacksonville 73, West Georgia 87 [14] West Georgia 59.6% -105 +10.6% WIN
Iona 76, Mount St. Mary's 83 [7] Iona 74.0% -195 +10.4% LOSS
Alcorn State 77, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 84 [7] Arkansas-Pine Bluff 81.6% -290 +10.2% WIN
Bucknell 59, Colgate 78 [19] Colgate 73.8% -198 +10.1% WIN
East Carolina 73, Temple 81 [8] Temple 68.8% -160 +9.7% WIN
Army 60, Lafayette 63 [3] Army 56.1% +105 +9.4% LOSS
Wisconsin 77, Indiana 78 [1] Indiana 70.8% -175 +9.4% WIN
Western Carolina 66, Wofford 77 [11] Wofford 75.1% -217 +9.4% WIN
Middle Tennessee 88, Delaware 89 [1] Middle Tennessee 72.1% -190 +9.1% LOSS
Alabama State 47, Grambling 57 [10] Grambling 75.4% -225 +9.0% WIN
Kennesaw State 58, Jacksonville State 77 [19] Jacksonville State 60.0% -115 +8.9% WIN
BYU 66, Houston 77 [11] BYU 50.6% +136 +8.4% LOSS
Northeastern 55, Stony Brook 69 [14] Stony Brook 72.0% -195 +8.3% WIN
Seattle U 53, Portland 54 [1] Seattle U 68.1% -165 +8.2% LOSS
Purdue Fort Wayne 68, Wright State 73 [5] Wright State 80.4% -305 +8.1% WIN
Elon 77, Drexel 82 [5] Elon 69.5% -175 +8.1% LOSS
Cal Poly 58, UC Davis 67 [9] UC Davis 80.5% -300 +8.1% WIN
Saint Joseph's 52, George Mason 60 [8] George Mason 81.7% -330 +8.0% WIN
Milwaukee 62, Northern Kentucky 67 [5] Northern Kentucky 79.1% -282 +8.0% WIN
American University 73, Navy 82 [9] Navy 77.3% -260 +7.8% WIN
Northern Arizona 53, Weber State 72 [19] Weber State 78.8% -285 +7.5% WIN
North Dakota 79, Denver 98 [19] North Dakota 67.2% -165 +7.3% LOSS
North Carolina Central 68, Norfolk State 75 [7] Norfolk State 71.0% -198 +7.3% WIN
Tennessee Tech 54, Eastern Illinois 60 [6] Tennessee Tech 71.3% -200 +7.2% LOSS
Princeton 60, Pennsylvania 61 [1] Pennsylvania 67.7% -170 +7.0% WIN
Butler 55, Marquette 70 [15] Butler 51.4% +115 +6.7% LOSS
Siena 65, Saint Peter's 70 [5] Saint Peter's 55.3% -105 +6.4% WIN
Marshall 74, Miami (OH) 90 [16] Marshall 50.8% +115 +6.1% LOSS
Georgia Tech 72, Stanford 95 [23] Stanford 82.7% -380 +6.0% WIN
Sacred Heart 68, Manhattan 80 [12] Manhattan 52.7% +105 +6.0% WIN
Maryland Eastern Shore 71, Morgan State 79 [8] Morgan State 54.2% -102 +5.9% WIN
Lehigh 67, Holy Cross 76 [9] Holy Cross 52.7% +105 +5.9% WIN
Southern Indiana 65, Southeast Missouri State 90 [25] Southeast Missouri State 86.1% -535 +5.3% WIN
Boston College 68, Miami 74 [6] Miami 78.7% -330 +5.3% WIN
Lamar 74, Stephen F. Austin 84 [10] Stephen F. Austin 82.3% -420 +5.3% WIN
Radford 77, High Point 86 [9] High Point 91.3% -925 +5.2% WIN
Western Michigan 61, Texas State 77 [16] Texas State 71.0% -220 +5.2% WIN
Chattanooga 71, The Citadel 78 [7] Chattanooga 84.3% -482 +5.1% LOSS
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
24
Wins
13
Losses
11
Pending
0
Win Rate
54.2%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-148
ROI
-6.2%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Mississippi Valley State 81, Jackson State 97 [16] Mississippi Valley State 50.0% +260 +23.4% LOSS
Seton Hall 68, Creighton 69 [1] Creighton 77.0% -141 +20.7% WIN
Notre Dame 79, Florida State 82 [3] Notre Dame 72.3% -137 +16.6% LOSS
Southern Utah 59, Tarleton State 62 [3] Tarleton State 64.9% -105 +16.0% WIN
Towson 49, Hofstra 71 [22] Hofstra 75.5% -165 +15.6% WIN
Fordham 67, St. Bonaventure 70 [3] Fordham 65.0% -108 +15.3% LOSS
Maine 67, Bryant 73 [6] Bryant 71.8% -143 +15.1% WIN
North Carolina A&T 71, Campbell 79 [8] North Carolina A&T 54.0% +146 +14.9% LOSS
Georgetown 73, Villanova 80 [7] Georgetown 54.2% +145 +14.8% LOSS
Montana State 71, Eastern Washington 72 [1] Montana State 83.5% -251 +14.7% LOSS
New Haven 57, Chicago State 63 [6] New Haven 81.9% -235 +14.5% LOSS
Sacramento State 73, Portland State 74 [1] Portland State 75.7% -175 +14.3% WIN
Little Rock 61, SIU Edwardsville 71 [10] SIU Edwardsville 58.4% +107 +12.2% WIN
San Diego 63, Loyola Marymount 83 [20] Loyola Marymount 76.6% -206 +11.8% WIN
Sam Houston 78, Louisiana Tech 87 [9] Louisiana Tech 51.8% +140 +11.7% WIN
Dartmouth 58, Harvard 71 [13] Dartmouth 58.7% +103 +11.6% LOSS
Youngstown State 66, Robert Morris 72 [6] Youngstown State 71.7% -170 +11.2% LOSS
St. Francis (PA) 84, Le Moyne 86 [2] Le Moyne 84.1% -320 +11.1% WIN
California 55, Clemson 77 [22] California 51.1% +140 +11.0% LOSS
Illinois 82, Michigan State 85 [3] Michigan State 61.4% -110 +10.9% WIN
Jacksonville 73, West Georgia 87 [14] West Georgia 59.6% -105 +10.6% WIN
Iona 76, Mount St. Mary's 83 [7] Iona 74.0% -195 +10.4% LOSS
Alcorn State 77, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 84 [7] Arkansas-Pine Bluff 81.6% -290 +10.2% WIN
Bucknell 59, Colgate 78 [19] Colgate 73.8% -198 +10.1% WIN
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
San Diego State @ Air Force Air Force 13.4% +1600 +7.8% LOSS
East Tennessee State @ VMI VMI 23.8% +775 +12.8% LOSS
Gonzaga @ Oregon State Oregon State 14.7% +1125 +6.9% LOSS