Test Predictions Recap
2026-02-18
All Games Summary
Total Picks
59
Final results
53
Correct picks
34
Incorrect picks
19
Pending
6
Accuracy
64.2%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
⏰ UPCOMING GAMES (6)
Boise State (15-10) 0, Utah State (22-3) 0 [0] Utah State (77.0%)
Gonzaga #11 (25-2) 0, San Francisco (15-13) 0 [0] Gonzaga (72.2%)
Pepperdine (7-20) 0, Portland (12-15) 0 [0] Portland (63.9%)
Illinois #10 (21-5) 0, USC (18-7) 0 [0] Illinois (58.1%)
Colorado State (15-10) 0, UNLV (13-12) 0 [0] Colorado State (54.7%) DOG
Vanderbilt #19 (21-4) 0, Missouri (17-8) 0 [0] Vanderbilt (51.1%)
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (53)
Oklahoma (13-12) 66, Tennessee (18-7) 89 [23] Tennessee (91.1%)
UConn #5 (24-2) 84, Creighton (13-13) 91 [7] UConn (88.6%)
VMI (6-21) 76, Wofford (17-10) 82 [6] Wofford (88.1%)
Charlotte (13-12) 74, Tulsa (20-6) 79 [5] Tulsa (88.0%)
West Virginia (16-9) 56, Utah (9-16) 61 [5] West Virginia (85.8%)
La Salle (7-18) 61, Duquesne (15-10) 62 [1] Duquesne (85.7%)
BYU #23 (19-6) 68, Arizona #4 (23-2) 75 [7] Arizona (85.0%)
Lehigh (12-15) 49, Navy (21-6) 72 [23] Navy (80.6%)
Ole Miss (11-14) 77, Texas A&M (17-8) 80 [3] Texas A&M (78.4%)
Loyola Chicago (6-20) 59, Fordham (14-12) 62 [3] Fordham (76.2%)
Oral Roberts (6-21) 71, Omaha (14-14) 80 [9] Omaha (75.6%)
Cleveland State (10-17) 82, Youngstown State (13-14) 106 [24] Youngstown State (74.1%)
Georgia Tech (11-15) 68, Virginia #14 (22-3) 94 [26] Virginia (69.0%)
Jacksonville (10-17) 84, Florida Gulf Coast (12-15) 86 [2] Florida Gulf Coast (68.6%)
Loyola Maryland (11-16) 77, Army (10-17) 87 [10] Loyola Maryland (67.6%)
Murray State (19-9) 61, Illinois State (17-10) 78 [17] Illinois State (67.5%)
UL Monroe (4-23) 76, Troy (17-10) 77 [1] Troy (67.4%)
Evansville (6-20) 46, UIC (15-12) 84 [38] UIC (66.9%)
Richmond (14-12) 63, Davidson (15-10) 65 [2] Davidson (66.9%)
Maryland (10-15) 74, Northwestern (10-16) 78 [4] Northwestern (66.5%)
Seattle U (16-11) 70, Saint Mary's (23-4) 72 [2] Saint Mary's (66.4%)
Seton Hall (18-8) 57, DePaul (13-12) 69 [12] Seton Hall (66.3%)
Marquette (9-17) 70, St. John's #17 (20-5) 76 [6] St. John's (65.6%)
East Carolina (9-16) 89, Wichita State (16-10) 92 [3] Wichita State (65.5%)
UTSA (5-20) 52, Florida Atlantic (14-12) 60 [8] Florida Atlantic (64.7%)
Oklahoma State (16-9) 69, Kansas #8 (19-6) 81 [12] Kansas (64.1%)
Purdue Fort Wayne (15-12) 71, Northern Kentucky (16-11) 87 [16] Northern Kentucky (62.9%)
Indiana State (10-17) 60, Northern Iowa (17-10) 81 [21] Northern Iowa (62.9%)
Georgetown (13-12) 89, Butler (13-13) 93 [4] Georgetown (62.3%)
George Mason (21-5) 67, Dayton (16-9) 82 [15] George Mason (61.9%)
Penn State (11-15) 72, Rutgers (10-15) 85 [13] Penn State (61.7%)
Arkansas #20 (19-6) 115, Alabama #25 (18-7) 117 [2] Alabama (60.9%)
Bradley (18-9) 72, Valparaiso (14-13) 79 [7] Bradley (59.4%)
North Alabama (8-17) 78, Queens University (15-12) 85 [7] Queens University (58.6%)
Bellarmine (11-15) 72, Lipscomb (16-11) 75 [3] Lipscomb (57.2%)
Temple (15-10) 71, UAB (16-10) 76 [5] UAB (57.1%)
Auburn (14-11) 85, Mississippi State (12-13) 91 [6] Auburn (57.0%)
South Dakota State (12-15) 66, North Dakota State (21-6) 74 [8] North Dakota State (56.8%)
West Georgia (12-14) 80, Eastern Kentucky (9-18) 81 [1] Eastern Kentucky (55.4%)
Coastal Carolina (16-11) 65, James Madison (14-13) 67 [2] James Madison (55.0%)
Holy Cross (9-18) 83, Lafayette (8-19) 86 [3] Holy Cross (54.2%)
UNC Greensboro (12-15) 77, Western Carolina (10-15) 91 [14] UNC Greensboro (53.6%) DOG
North Carolina Central (10-14) 72, South Carolina State (6-18) 85 [13] North Carolina Central (52.8%)
Missouri State (13-12) 87, Kennesaw State (14-11) 91 [4] Missouri State (51.5%)
Pacific (17-11) 71, Washington State (11-16) 87 [16] Pacific (51.4%) DOG
St. Bonaventure (14-11) 65, Saint Joseph's (15-10) 71 [6] St. Bonaventure (50.9%)
Clemson (20-6) 77, Wake Forest (13-12) 85 [8] Clemson (50.7%)
Drake (12-16) 61, Southern Illinois (12-15) 66 [5] Drake (50.7%) DOG
Furman (17-10) 69, East Tennessee State (19-8) 78 [9] East Tennessee State (50.5%) DOG
Jacksonville State (13-12) 71, Louisiana Tech (14-11) 77 [6] Louisiana Tech (50.2%)
Delaware (9-16) 87, Western Kentucky (14-11) 88 [1] Delaware (50.2%) DOG
Bucknell (8-19) 57, American University (14-13) 75 [18] American University (50.2%)
Middle Tennessee (12-13) 70, Sam Houston (17-8) 78 [8] Middle Tennessee (50.1%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
59
Final results
53
Correct picks
34
Incorrect picks
19
Pending
6
Accuracy
64.2%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
53
Avg Confidence
64.6%
ECE (lower=better)
0.0990
Calibration Quality
Good
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
51
ML Win Rate
62.7%
ML Profit
$-761
ML ROI
-14.9%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
4
Wins
0
Losses
4
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-400
ROI
-100.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
9
Wins
5
Losses
3
Pending
1
Win Rate
62.5%
Profit ($100/bet)
$45
ROI
5.6%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
2
Wins
0
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-200
ROI
-100.0%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)

No recommended picks met the criteria (4.0+ edge, ≤12 spread, ≥65% confidence).

Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
4
Wins
0
Losses
4
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-400
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Pacific 71, Washington State 87 [16] Pacific 51.4% +105 +4.6% LOSS
Drake 61, Southern Illinois 66 [5] Drake 50.7% +105 +3.9% LOSS
Delaware 87, Western Kentucky 88 [1] Delaware 50.2% +140 +10.1% LOSS
Middle Tennessee 70, Sam Houston 78 [8] Middle Tennessee 50.1% +177 +15.6% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
9
Wins
5
Losses
3
Pending
1
Win Rate
62.5%
Profit ($100/bet)
$45
ROI
5.6%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Middle Tennessee 70, Sam Houston 78 [8] Middle Tennessee 50.1% +177 +15.6% LOSS
Delaware 87, Western Kentucky 88 [1] Delaware 50.2% +140 +10.1% LOSS
Murray State 61, Illinois State 78 [17] Illinois State 67.5% -156 +8.8% WIN
Temple 71, UAB 76 [5] UAB 57.1% -110 +7.1% WIN
Colorado State 0, UNLV 0 [0] Colorado State 54.7% -105 +5.8% PENDING
Oklahoma 66, Tennessee 89 [23] Tennessee 91.1% -850 +5.7% WIN
South Dakota State 66, North Dakota State 74 [8] North Dakota State 56.8% -115 +5.7% WIN
George Mason 67, Dayton 82 [15] George Mason 61.9% -140 +5.7% LOSS
Coastal Carolina 65, James Madison 67 [2] James Madison 55.0% -110 +5.5% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
2
Wins
0
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-200
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Middle Tennessee 70, Sam Houston 78 [8] Middle Tennessee 50.1% +177 +15.6% LOSS
Delaware 87, Western Kentucky 88 [1] Delaware 50.2% +140 +10.1% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Troy @ UL Monroe UL Monroe 32.6% +850 +22.6% LOSS
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA UTSA 35.3% +700 +23.3% LOSS
Virginia @ Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 31.0% +725 +19.4% LOSS