December 2025
Strategy: Only bet moneyline when picking an underdog (positive odds)
Performance: LOSING - 39.6% win rate with -29.0% ROI.
Strategy: Only bet ML when confidence ≥ 75% AND our edge vs Vegas ≥ 10%
Performance: LOSING - 50.0% win rate with -282.6% ROI.
Strategy: Bet ML when our edge vs Vegas ≥ 5% (any confidence level)
Performance: LOSING - 41.8% win rate with -177.4% ROI.
Volume: Moderate bet frequency - more selective than all ML, but still good action.
Strategy: Bet ML when our edge vs Vegas ≥ 10% (any confidence level)
Performance: LOSING - 40.5% win rate with -58.8% ROI.
Volume: Lower bet frequency but highest ROI - best risk/reward ratio.
ATS Performance: BELOW BREAKEVEN - Winning 50.1% of spread bets. Need to improve by 2.3 percentage points.
SportsLine Benchmark: 60-70% ATS on top picks | Your Rate: 50.1%