February 2026
Strategy: Only bet moneyline when picking an underdog (positive odds)
Performance: LOSING - 33.9% win rate with -230.2% ROI.
Strategy: Only bet ML when confidence ≥ 75% AND our edge vs Vegas ≥ 10%
Performance: LOSING - 36.4% win rate with -411.5% ROI.
Strategy: Bet ML when our edge vs Vegas ≥ 5% (any confidence level)
Performance: LOSING - 52.8% win rate with -41.5% ROI.
Volume: Moderate bet frequency - more selective than all ML, but still good action.
Strategy: Bet ML when our edge vs Vegas ≥ 10% (any confidence level)
Performance: LOSING - 38.1% win rate with -209.6% ROI.
Volume: Lower bet frequency but highest ROI - best risk/reward ratio.
ATS Performance: BELOW BREAKEVEN - Winning 49.8% of spread bets. Need to improve by 2.6 percentage points.
SportsLine Benchmark: 60-70% ATS on top picks | Your Rate: 49.8%