UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
April 4, 2026 · Post-event pick results, method calls, and accuracy.
Record
6–7
46.2% hit rate
Strong/Value
0–0
no Strong/Value picks this card
Net units
—
no bets this card
Fights graded
13
picks scored
Best call
Kai Kamaka
80.9% · Decision R3 ✓
Pick Results 13 fights
| Result | Pick | Prob | Conf | Tier | Winner | Method | Rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MISS |  Guilherme Pat |
59.8% | LOW | LEAN |  Thomas Petersen |
Decision | 3 |
| MISS |  Tabatha Ricci |
58.6% | LOW | LEAN |  Virna Jandiroba |
Decision | 3 |
| HIT |  Alice Pereira |
60.3% | MED | LEAN | Alice Pereira |
KO/TKO | 2 |
| MISS | RRRobert Ruchala | 50.1% | LOW | LEAN | JDJose Delano | Decision | 3 |
| HIT |  Darrius Flowers |
52.9% | LOW | LEAN | Darrius Flowers |
KO/TKO | 2 |
| HIT |  Kai Kamaka |
80.9% | HIGH | LEAN | Kai Kamaka |
Decision | 3 |
| HIT |  Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev |
67.3% | MED | LEAN | Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev |
Submission | 1 |
| HIT |  Alessandro Costa |
55.5% | LOW | LEAN | Alessandro Costa |
KO/TKO | 2 |
| HIT |  Tommy McMillen |
64.6% | MED | LEAN | Tommy McMillen |
KO/TKO | 1 |
| MISS |  Melissa Gatto |
60.5% | MED | LEAN |  Dione Barbosa |
Decision | 3 |
| MISS |  Chris Duncan |
59.3% | LOW | LEAN |  Renato Moicano |
Submission | 2 |
| MISS |  Azamat Bekoev |
64.8% | MED | LEAN |  Tresean Gore |
Submission | 3 |
| MISS |  Rafael Estevam |
58.3% | LOW | LEAN |  Ethyn Ewing |
KO/TKO | 3 |
How we grade. Each pick is the model's pre-fight favorite. HIT means our picked fighter won; the Method column shows the actual finish. Confidence tiers come from walk-forward ROI thresholds, so a card of only Lean picks counts none toward the betting ledger.