UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
May 9, 2026 · Post-event pick results, method calls, and accuracy.
Record
3–3
50.0% hit rate
Strong/Value
0–0
no Strong/Value picks this card
Net units
—
no bets this card
Fights graded
6
picks scored
Best call
Ateba Gautier
68.1% · KO/TKO R2 ✓
Pick Results 6 fights
| Result | Pick | Prob | Conf | Tier | Winner | Method | Rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIT | King Green |
66.8% | MED | LEAN | King Green |
Submission | 1 |
| MISS | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
51.1% | LOW | LEAN | Alexander Volkov |
Decision | 3 |
| MISS | Khamzat Chimaev |
69.1% | MED | LEAN | Sean Strickland |
Decision | 5 |
| HIT | Ateba Gautier |
68.1% | MED | LEAN | Ateba Gautier |
KO/TKO | 2 |
| MISS | Joaquin Buckley |
50.6% | LOW | LEAN | Sean Brady |
Decision | 3 |
| HIT | Jose Ochoa |
50.6% | LOW | LEAN | Jose Ochoa |
Decision | 3 |
How we grade. Each pick is the model's pre-fight favorite. HIT means our picked fighter won; the Method column shows the actual finish. Confidence tiers come from walk-forward ROI thresholds, so a card of only Lean picks counts none toward the betting ledger.









