UFC 329
July 11, 2026 · Post-event pick results, method calls, and accuracy.
Record
8–5
61.5% hit rate
Strong/Value
0–2
0.0% on Strong/Value picks
Net units
-2.00u
2 Strong/Value bets
Fights graded
13
picks scored
Best call
Damian Pinas
77.4% · KO/TKO R1 ✓
Pick Results 13 fights
| Result | Pick | Prob | Conf | Tier | Winner | Method | Rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIT |  Alessandro Costa |
61.5% | MED | LEAN | Alessandro Costa |
Submission | 2 |
| HIT |  Ryan Gandra |
58.7% | LOW | LEAN | Ryan Gandra |
KO/TKO | 1 |
| HIT |  Damian Pinas |
77.4% | HIGH | LEAN | Damian Pinas |
KO/TKO | 1 |
| HIT |  Wang Cong |
50.6% | LOW | LEAN | Wang Cong |
Decision | 3 |
| HIT |  Luke Riley |
71.9% | HIGH | LEAN | Luke Riley |
KO/TKO | 1 |
| HIT |  Adrian Yanez |
60.6% | MED | LEAN | Adrian Yanez |
KO/TKO | 1 |
| MISS |  Elisha Ellison |
64.6% | MED | LEAN |  Gable Steveson |
KO/TKO | 1 |
| MISS |  Nikita Krylov |
59.6% | LOW | VALUE1u |  Robert Whittaker |
KO/TKO | 3 |
| MISS |  Terrance McKinney |
62.2% | MED | VALUE1u |  King Green |
KO/TKO | 1 |
| MISS |  Lone'er Kavanagh |
62.6% | MED | LEAN |  Brandon Royval |
Submission | 3 |
| HIT |  Mario Bautista |
52.9% | LOW | LEAN | Mario Bautista |
Decision | 3 |
| MISS |  Benoit Saint Denis |
57.5% | LOW | LEAN |  Paddy Pimblett |
Submission | 1 |
| HIT |  Max Holloway |
52.5% | LOW | LEAN | Max Holloway |
KO/TKO | 1 |
How we grade. Each pick is the model's pre-fight favorite. HIT means our picked fighter won; the Method column shows the actual finish. Confidence tiers come from walk-forward ROI thresholds, so a card of only Lean picks counts none toward the betting ledger.