Recap — Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	5/9	56%
60%–70%	6/10	60%
70%–80%	8/11	73%
80%–90%	1/1	100%

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Oregon PICK

82.2% win prob

12

@

UC San Diego

17.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Oregon (82.2%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

New Mexico St.

20.6% win prob

4

@

Arizona St. PICK

79.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (79.4%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Grambling

21.2% win prob

5

@

Tulane PICK

78.8% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Tulane (78.8%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

St. Thomas (MN)

21.4% win prob

5

@

Minnesota PICK

78.6% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Minnesota (78.6%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Youngstown St.

22.4% win prob

7

@

Pittsburgh PICK

77.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Pittsburgh (77.6%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Merrimack

23.4% win prob

2

@

Boston College PICK

76.6% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Boston College (76.6%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Presbyterian

24.4% win prob

4

@

The Citadel PICK

75.6% win prob

9

Predicted Winner The Citadel (75.6%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Towson PICK

72.5% win prob

19

@

UMES

27.5% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Towson (72.5%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

Toledo

29.7% win prob

2

@

Michigan PICK

70.3% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Michigan (70.3%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Troy PICK

67.8% win prob

7

@

Florida A&M

32.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Troy (67.8%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Northeastern PICK

66.1% win prob

6

@

UMass Lowell

33.9% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Northeastern (66.1%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

Saint Peter's

34.8% win prob

15

@

La Salle PICK

65.2% win prob

16

Predicted Winner La Salle (65.2%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

UIC

35.4% win prob

13

@

Purdue PICK

64.6% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Purdue (64.6%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

Abilene Christian PICK

64.6% win prob

9

@

SFA

35.4% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Abilene Christian (64.6%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Rice PICK

63.0% win prob

10

@

Houston Christian

37.0% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Rice (63.0%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

New Haven

41.1% win prob

3

@

Sacred Heart PICK

58.9% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Sacred Heart (58.9%)

Low 58% ✓ WIN

South Dakota St.

41.8% win prob

5

@

Creighton PICK

58.2% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Creighton (58.2%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Yale PICK

56.6% win prob

7

@

Iona

43.4% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Yale (56.6%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Bryant PICK

53.7% win prob

4

@

Rhode Island

46.3% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Bryant (53.7%)

Low 51% ✓ WIN

Old Dominion PICK

50.7% win prob

7

@

Richmond

49.3% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Old Dominion (50.7%)

Medium 77% ✗ LOSS

Quinnipiac

23.1% win prob

8

@

UConn PICK

76.9% win prob

3

Predicted Winner UConn (76.9%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

Missouri PICK

76.5% win prob

4

@

Lindenwood

23.5% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Missouri (76.5%)

Medium 72% ✗ LOSS

Bucknell

27.9% win prob

9

@

Penn St. PICK

72.1% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Penn St. (72.1%)

Low 70% ✗ LOSS

Cal Poly PICK

69.9% win prob

7

@

LMU (CA)

30.1% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Cal Poly (69.9%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Manhattan

30.8% win prob

17

@

Columbia PICK

69.2% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Columbia (69.2%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

Ga. Southern

37.0% win prob

5

@

Col. of Charleston PICK

63.0% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Col. of Charleston (63.0%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

Hofstra PICK

61.7% win prob

8

@

Villanova

38.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Hofstra (61.7%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Sacramento St.

42.4% win prob

7

@

Kansas PICK

57.6% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Kansas (57.6%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

Wagner

42.6% win prob

3

@

Fordham PICK

57.4% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Fordham (57.4%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Rider PICK

52.8% win prob

10

@

Saint Joseph's

47.2% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Rider (52.8%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

Princeton PICK

51.9% win prob

1

@

Seton Hall

48.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Princeton (51.9%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Findlay PICK

nan% win prob

12

@

Bowling Green

nan% win prob

7

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Hawaii Pacific PICK

nan% win prob

1

@

Hawaii

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low 69%

Fairleigh Dickinson PICK

69.3% win prob

—

@

Lehigh

30.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairleigh Dickinson (69.3%)

Low 66%

Air Force PICK

65.8% win prob

—

@

Oral Roberts

34.2% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Air Force (65.8%)

Low 61%

St. John's (NY) PICK

60.7% win prob

—

@

Marist

39.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner St. John's (NY) (60.7%)

Low 58%

Washington St.

42.4% win prob

—

@

Gonzaga PICK

57.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Gonzaga (57.6%)

Low 57%

Harvard

43.1% win prob

—

@

Holy Cross PICK

56.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Holy Cross (56.9%)

Low nan%

Seattle PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Non Div I - Saint Martin's

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Non Div I - Louisiana Christian PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

McNeese

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

The Lab Analytics/College Baseball