Test Predictions Recap
2026-04-02
Latest Apr 1 Mar 29 Mar 28 Mar 27 Mar 26 Mar 25 Mar 24
All Games Summary
Total Picks
4
Final results
3
Correct picks
3
Incorrect picks
0
Pending
1
Accuracy
100.0%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
⏰ UPCOMING GAMES (1)
New Mexico (26-10) @ Tulsa (29-7) Tulsa (67.1%)
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (3)
Rutgers (14-19) 69, Creighton (15-17) 82 [13] Creighton (69.6%)
Illinois State (23-12) 66, Auburn (20-16) 88 [22] Auburn (68.7%)
Stanford (20-12) 77, West Virginia (18-14) 82 [5] West Virginia (63.3%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
4
Final results
3
Correct picks
3
Incorrect picks
0
Pending
1
Accuracy
66.7%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
3
Avg Confidence
67.2%
ECE (lower=better)
0.0049
Calibration Quality
Excellent
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
1
ML Win Rate
0.0%
ML Profit
$$-100
ML ROI
-100.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$52
ROI
52.1%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)

No recommended picks met the criteria (4.0+ edge, ≤12 spread, ≥65% confidence).

Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Stanford 77, West Virginia 82 [5] West Virginia 63.3% N/A N/A WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$52
ROI
52.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Rutgers 69, Creighton 82 [13] Creighton 69.6% -192 +6.5% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$52
ROI
52.1%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Rutgers @ Creighton Creighton 69.6% -192 +6.5% WIN
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