Test Predictions Recap
2026-04-06
Latest Apr 5 Apr 4 Apr 2 Apr 1 Mar 29 Mar 28 Mar 27
All Games Summary
Total Picks
1
Final results
1
Correct picks
1
Incorrect picks
0
Pending
0
Accuracy
100.0%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (1)
UConn #7 (34-5) 63, Michigan #3 (36-3) 69 [6] Michigan (75.8%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
1
Final results
1
Correct picks
1
Incorrect picks
0
Pending
0
Accuracy
100.0%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
1
Avg Confidence
75.8%
ECE (lower=better)
0.2424
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
1
ML Win Rate
100.0%
ML Profit
$$31
ML ROI
30.8%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)

No recommended picks met the criteria (4.0+ edge, ≤12 spread, ≥65% confidence).

Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No underdog moneyline bets met the plus-money requirement today.

75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 5% edge filter today.

10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No positive EV moneyline bets identified today.

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