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The Lab Analytics|NFL

2026 · Preseason
Moneyline Beat the closing line in every season tested out of sample — the overfit-resistant test of a real edge.
NFL · 2026 Season · Preseason

Picks that beat the
closing line.

Model-driven NFL moneyline edges, measured against Vegas's closing number — the overfit-resistant test of a genuine edge. We publish only moneyline, the one market that cleared the bar every season tested out-of-sample.

+11.1% ROI · 4 seasons tested +0.104 CLV / bet 457 bets graded Sept 2026 kickoff
Top-rated · 2025 final SRS #1
Seahawks NFC W +12.6
Record · point diff14-3 · +191
SRS +12.6
Latest Final Scores All scores & standings →
Cardinals20
Rams37
FinalWk 18
Ravens24
Steelers26
FinalWk 18
Panthers14
Buccaneers16
FinalWk 18
Browns20
Bengals18
FinalWk 18
Cowboys17
Giants34
FinalWk 18
Power Rankings SRS · 2025 final
NFL power rankings by Simple Rating System, 2025 final season
#TeamW-LSRSNet
1SeahawksNFC W14-3+12.6+191
2RamsNFC W12-5+12.3+172
3JaguarsAFC S13-4+8.9+138
4TexansAFC S12-5+8.8+109
549ersNFC W12-5+5.8+66
6PatriotsAFC E14-3+5.7+170
7ColtsAFC S8-9+5.2+54
8BillsAFC E12-5+4.7+116
All 32 teams →