UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
July 25, 2026 · Post-event pick results, method calls, and accuracy.
Record
9–3
75.0% hit rate
Strong/Value
0–0
no Strong/Value picks this card
Net units
—
no bets this card
Fights graded
12
picks scored
Best call
Sam Patterson
74.4% · KO/TKO R2 ✓
Pick Results 12 fights
| Result | Pick | Prob | Conf | Tier | Winner | Method | Rd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIT |  Nurullo Aliev |
70.6% | HIGH | LEAN | Nurullo Aliev |
Decision | 3 |
| HIT |  Magomed Tuchalov |
64.5% | MED | LEAN | Magomed Tuchalov |
Decision | 3 |
| HIT |  Axel Sola |
56.7% | LOW | LEAN | Axel Sola |
Submission | 1 |
| HIT |  Sam Patterson |
74.4% | HIGH | LEAN | Sam Patterson |
KO/TKO | 2 |
| HIT |  Valter Walker |
65.3% | MED | LEAN | Valter Walker |
Submission | 1 |
| HIT |  Abubakar Vagaev |
55.3% | LOW | LEAN | Abubakar Vagaev |
Decision | 3 |
| HIT |  Rizvan Kuniev |
52.1% | LOW | LEAN | Rizvan Kuniev |
KO/TKO | 3 |
| MISS |  Damian Rzepecki |
54.5% | LOW | LEAN |  Magomed Zaynukov |
Decision | 3 |
| MISS |  Steve Erceg |
51.6% | LOW | LEAN |  Ramazan Temirov |
KO/TKO | 1 |
| HIT |  Magomed Ankalaev |
64.4% | MED | LEAN | Magomed Ankalaev |
KO/TKO | 5 |
| MISS |  Dustin Jacoby |
58.3% | LOW | LEAN |  Muhammad Said |
KO/TKO | 2 |
| HIT |  Abdul Hussein |
74.4% | HIGH | LEAN | Abdul Hussein |
Submission | 3 |
How we grade. Each pick is the model's pre-fight favorite. HIT means our picked fighter won; the Method column shows the actual finish. Confidence tiers come from walk-forward ROI thresholds, so a card of only Lean picks counts none toward the betting ledger.