Model Accuracy
Overall
60.6%
4,261 / 7,029
High
73.8%
1,966–697
Medium
60.8%
1,071–691
Low
47.0%
1,224–1,380
Last 14d
65.6%
384–201
Best Day
78.8%
Feb 18 · 26–7
Max Streak
21
high-conf picks
vs Home Baseline
+2.0
home 58.6%
Rolling 14-Day Accuracy
By Confidence Tier
High≥70%
73.8%
1,966–697 of 2,663
Medium60–70
60.8%
1,071–691 of 1,762
Low<60
47.0%
1,224–1,380 of 2,604
Daily Accuracy
Baselines
| Strategy | Record | Acc | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lab Model | 4,261–2,768 | 60.6% | +10.6 |
| Higher season-end SRS (hindsight) | 4,340–2,629 | 62.3% | +12.3 |
| Always home team | 4,119–2,910 | 58.6% | +8.6 |
| Coin flip | — | 50.0% | — |
Notable Calls
Best
Ark.-Pine Bluff beat Alabama St. 1–26
Apr 4
conf 55%
conf 55%
Worst
Queens (NC) beat Southern Ill. 2–0
Feb 20
conf 98.3%
conf 98.3%
Sharpest Calls by Team
| Team | Record | Acc |
|---|---|---|
| Alcorn | 30–4 | 88.2% |
| UCLA | 44–8 | 84.6% |
| Mississippi Val. | 32–6 | 84.2% |
| Northwestern | 33–7 | 82.5% |
| VMI | 37–8 | 82.2% |
Softest Calls by Team
| Team | Record | Acc |
|---|---|---|
| Geo. Washington | 10–36 | 21.7% |
| Fla. Gulf Coast | 12–36 | 25.0% |
| Incarnate Word | 11–30 | 26.8% |
| UT-Rio Grande Valley | 13–35 | 27.1% |
| Seattle | 12–30 | 28.6% |
Daily Log
| Date | Picks | Correct | Acc | High | Med | Low |
|---|