The Lab Analytics|College Baseball
2026
The 2026 Men’s College World Series begins Friday, June 12 at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha. Eight teams, two double-elimination brackets, one best-of-three championship final. Our model makes Oklahoma the favorite at 36.7% to win the title. The SEC placed 5 of the eight teams in the field.
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining bracket, updated through last night's games. Full 64-team table on the Championship Odds page.
| # | Team | Finals | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | 62.1% | |
| 2 | Georgia SEED 3 | 38.0% | |
| 3 | North Carolina SEED 5 | 76.4% | |
| 4 | West Virginia | 23.6% | |
| 5 | Texas SEED 6 | — | |
| 6 | Alabama SEED 7 | — | |
| 7 | Troy | — | |
| 8 | Ole Miss | — |
| Date | Matchup | Result / Model Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jun 122:00 PM ET | Troy vs West Virginia | Troy 5, West Virginia 7 · Final |
| Fri, Jun 127:00 PM ET | Ole Miss vs North Carolina | Ole Miss 2, North Carolina 6 · Final |
| Sat, Jun 133:00 PM ET | Oklahoma vs Alabama | Oklahoma 9, Alabama 0 · Final |
| Sat, Jun 138:45 PM ET | Texas vs Georgia | Texas 1, Georgia 7 · Final |
| Sun, Jun 142:00 PM ET | Troy vs Ole Miss | Troy 12, Ole Miss 8 · Final |
| Sun, Jun 147:12 PM ET | West Virginia vs North Carolina | West Virginia 2, North Carolina 5 · Final |
| Mon, Jun 152:00 PM ET | Alabama vs Texas | Alabama 2, Texas 14 · Final |
| Mon, Jun 157:00 PM ET | Georgia vs Oklahoma | Georgia 3, Oklahoma 4 · Final |
| Tue, Jun 162:00 PM ET | West Virginia vs Troy | West Virginia 12, Troy 0 · Final |
| Tue, Jun 168:00 PM ET | Georgia vs Texas | Georgia 2, Texas 0 · Final |
| Wed, Jun 172:00 PM ET | North Carolina vs West Virginia | Model: North Carolina 51% |
| Wed, Jun 177:00 PM ET | Oklahoma vs Georgia | Model: Georgia 62% |
| Thu, Jun 1812:00 AM ET | Georgia vs Oklahoma | Model: Georgia 62% |
| Thu, Jun 1812:00 AM ET | North Carolina vs West Virginia | Model: North Carolina 51% |
Oklahoma (39-22) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 25 in our power rankings with a +5.1 SRS, a 4.63 team ERA, and 7.1 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a 36.7% chance to win the national championship — the best mark in the field — and 62.1% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Georgia (52-13) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 2 in our power rankings with a +7.0 SRS, a 4.20 team ERA, and 9.2 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a 33.3% chance to win the national championship — No. 2 among the eight teams — and 38.0% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →North Carolina (51-12) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 5 in our power rankings with a +6.8 SRS, a 3.45 team ERA, and 8.1 runs per game out of the ACC. The model gives them a 23.4% chance to win the national championship — No. 3 among the eight teams — and 76.4% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →West Virginia (45-15) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 19 in our power rankings with a +5.8 SRS, a 3.48 team ERA, and 7.9 runs per game out of the Big 12. The model gives them a 6.6% chance to win the national championship — No. 4 among the eight teams — and 23.6% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Texas (46-15) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 3 in our power rankings with a +7.0 SRS, a 3.49 team ERA, and 8.1 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a — chance to win the national championship — No. 5 among the eight teams — and — to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Alabama (42-21) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 24 in our power rankings with a +4.7 SRS, a 4.07 team ERA, and 6.5 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a — chance to win the national championship — No. 6 among the eight teams — and — to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Troy (37-31) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 46 in our power rankings with a +3.1 SRS, a 5.51 team ERA, and 7.0 runs per game out of the Sun Belt. The model gives them a — chance to win the national championship — No. 7 among the eight teams — and — to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Ole Miss (41-23) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 10 in our power rankings with a +5.3 SRS, a 4.08 team ERA, and 6.8 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a — chance to win the national championship — No. 8 among the eight teams — and — to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →