The Lab Analytics|College Baseball

West Virginia 44-14

vs

North Carolina 50-12

Sunday, June 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Charles Schwab Field, Omaha

West Virginia 50%50% North Carolina

No. 14 West Virginia (44-14) meet No. 6 North Carolina (50-12) at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha. North Carolina hold the edge on both sides of the ball — 8.1 runs per game and a 3.47 team ERA. Our model makes North Carolina the favorite at 50%, with tournament-calibrated probabilities from 10,000 bracket simulations.

Road to Omaha

West Virginia

Regionals · 4-1

W 10-1 vs Binghamton

L 9-11 vs Kentucky

W 10-5 vs Wake Forest

W 11-9 vs Kentucky

W 6-5 vs Kentucky

Super Regional · 2-0

W 12-2 vs Cal Poly

W 17-1 vs Cal Poly

North Carolina

Regionals · 3-0

W 8-0 vs VCU

W 7-5 vs East Carolina

W 9-3 vs East Carolina

Super Regional · 2-1

L 5-9 vs Southern California

W 4-0 vs Southern California

W 4-3 vs Southern California

Team Comparison

Players to Watch

West Virginia

Top Hitter

Gavin Kelly

0.377 AVG · 1.186 OPS · 17 HR

Power

Sean Smith

10 HR · 0.947 OPS

Ace

Maxx YehlP

9-2 · 2.10 ERA · 105 K

Bullpen Leader

David PerezP

6 SV · 5.00 ERA · 10.5 K/9

North Carolina

Top Hitter

Owen Hull

0.388 AVG · 1.098 OPS · 8 HR

Power

Cooper Nicholson

16 HR · 1.005 OPS

Ace

Jason DeCaroP

11-2 · 2.31 ERA · 93 K

Bullpen Leader

Walker McDuffieP

6 SV · 3.44 ERA · 11.3 K/9

Common Opponents