The Lab Analytics|College Baseball
2026
No. 46 Troy (36-30) meet No. 10 Ole Miss (41-22) at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha in an elimination game. Troy bring the louder offense (7.0 runs per game), while Ole Miss counter with the better staff (3.97 team ERA). Our model makes Ole Miss the favorite at 53%, with tournament-calibrated probabilities from 10,000 bracket simulations.
| Troy | Ole Miss | |
|---|---|---|
| #46 | Power Rank | #10 |
| 36-30 | Record | 41-22 |
| Sun Belt 18-14 | Conference | SEC 17-17 |
| +3.15 | SRS | +5.35 |
| 7.0 | Runs / Game | 6.7 |
| 5.45 | Team ERA | 3.97 |
| 0.729 | Team wOBA | 0.683 |
| 1.54 | WHIP | 1.28 |
| 8.6 | K/9 | 11.8 |
| 631 | Home Runs | 683 |
| 0.975 | Fielding % | 0.975 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| 5-4 | Neutral Sites | 5-5 |
| 9-14 | vs SRS Top 50 | 19-18 |
| Opponent | Troy | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia | W 2/25 · L 4/28 | W 4/25 · L 4/25 · L 4/26 |
| Mississippi St. | L 2/17 | L 3/27 · L 3/28 · L 3/29 · L 4/28 |
| Florida | W 5/31 · W 6/1 | W 4/2 · L 4/3 · W 4/4 |
| Southern Miss. | W 3/20 · L 3/21 · L 3/22 · L 5/24 | L 3/10 · W 4/14 |
| Alabama | L 3/10 · W 5/5 | L 5/14 · W 5/15 · L 5/16 |
| Arkansas St. | W 4/2 · L 4/3 · W 4/4 | W 2/17 |
