The Lab Analytics|College Baseball

North Carolina 51-12

vs

West Virginia 45-15

Wednesday, June 17, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET · Charles Schwab Field, Omaha 81°F · Wind 19 mph NW

North Carolina 51%49% West Virginia

No. 5 North Carolina (51-12) meet No. 19 West Virginia (45-15) at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha with a spot in the bracket final on the line. North Carolina hold the edge on both sides of the ball — 8.1 runs per game and a 3.45 team ERA. Our model makes North Carolina the favorite at 51%, with tournament-calibrated probabilities from 10,000 bracket simulations.

Road to Omaha

North Carolina

Regionals · 3-0

W 8-0 vs VCU

W 7-5 vs East Carolina

W 9-3 vs East Carolina

Super Regional · 2-1

L 5-9 vs Southern California

W 4-0 vs Southern California

W 4-3 vs Southern California

West Virginia

Regionals · 4-1

W 10-1 vs Binghamton

L 9-11 vs Kentucky

W 10-5 vs Wake Forest

W 11-9 vs Kentucky

W 6-5 vs Kentucky

Super Regional · 2-0

W 12-2 vs Cal Poly

W 17-1 vs Cal Poly

Team Comparison

Players to Watch

North Carolina

Top Hitter

Owen Hull

0.389 AVG · 1.096 OPS · 8 HR

Power

Cooper Nicholson

16 HR · 0.995 OPS

Ace

Jason DeCaroP

11-2 · 2.31 ERA · 93 K

Bullpen Leader

Walker McDuffieP

6 SV · 3.26 ERA · 11.2 K/9

West Virginia

Top Hitter

Gavin Kelly

0.378 AVG · 1.182 OPS · 18 HR

Power

Sean Smith

10 HR · 0.937 OPS

Ace

Maxx YehlP

9-3 · 2.13 ERA · 112 K

Bullpen Leader

David PerezP

6 SV · 5.00 ERA · 10.5 K/9

2026 Head-to-Head

Common Opponents