The Lab Analytics|College Baseball

2026
2026 College World Series · Bracket Two · Game 4
Alabama 42-20
vs
Texas 45-14
Monday, June 15, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET · Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
Alabama 49%51% Texas

No. 22 Alabama (42-20) meet No. 3 Texas (45-14) at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha in an elimination game. Texas hold the edge on both sides of the ball — 8.2 runs per game and a 3.53 team ERA. Our model makes Texas the favorite at 51%, with tournament-calibrated probabilities from 10,000 bracket simulations.

Road to Omaha

Regionals · 3-0
W 21-3 vs Alabama St.
W 7-5 vs USC Upstate
W 9-7 vs Oklahoma St.
Super Regional · 2-0
W 8-0 vs St. John's (NY)
W 7-2 vs St. John's (NY)
Regionals · 3-0
W 19-1 vs Holy Cross
W 16-2 vs Tarleton St.
W 6-4 vs UC Santa Barbara
Super Regional · 2-0
W 11-3 vs Oregon
W 6-5 vs Oregon

Team Comparison

AlabamaTexas
#22Power Rank#3
42-20Record45-14
SEC 18-14ConferenceSEC 19-12
+4.85SRS+6.85
6.6Runs / Game8.2
3.89Team ERA3.53
0.633Team wOBA0.750
1.29WHIP1.17
10.5K/910.0
502Home Runs657
0.965Fielding %0.979
7-3Last 108-2
8-3Neutral Sites5-2
21-13vs SRS Top 5019-11

Players to Watch

Top Hitter
Brady Neal
0.322 AVG · 0.986 OPS · 10 HR
Power
Justin Lebron
16 HR · 41 SB
Ace
Myles UpchurchP
8-3 · 3.57 ERA · 77 K
Bullpen Leader
Hagan BanksP
6 SV · 2.82 ERA · 11.8 K/9
Top Hitter
Carson Tinney
0.329 AVG · 1.180 OPS · 22 HR
Power
Aiden Robbins
24 HR · 12 SB
Ace
Dylan VolantisP
10-2 · 2.08 ERA · 135 K
Bullpen Leader
Sam CozartP
9 SV · 1.65 ERA · 13.0 K/9

2026 Head-to-Head

04-17-2026Alabama 2, Texas 10
04-18-2026Alabama 1, Texas 3
04-19-2026Alabama 2, Texas 1

Common Opponents

OpponentAlabamaTexas
AuburnW 3/27 · W 3/28 · W 3/29L 3/20 · W 3/21 · W 3/22
Ole MissW 5/14 · L 5/15 · W 5/16L 3/13 · W 3/14 · W 3/15
TennesseeW 4/23 · L 4/24 · L 4/24L 5/8 · L 5/9 · W 5/10
ArkansasL 4/10 · L 4/11 · L 4/12L 5/22
VanderbiltW 4/30 · W 5/1 · W 5/2W 4/24 · L 4/25 · W 4/26
OklahomaW 4/2 · L 4/3 · W 4/4 · L 6/13W 3/26 · W 3/27 · W 3/28