Baseball Recap — Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	3/9	33%
60%–70%	14/19	74%
70%–80%	14/19	74%
80%–90%	8/13	62%
90%+	3/3	100%

High 93% ✓ WIN

UNC Asheville

7.3% win prob

3

@

Tennessee PICK

92.7% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Tennessee (92.7%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

Alabama A&M

7.4% win prob

2

@

Middle Tenn. PICK

92.6% win prob

19

Predicted Winner Middle Tenn. (92.6%)

High 92% ✓ WIN

Delaware St.

8.1% win prob

0

@

Navy PICK

91.9% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Navy (91.9%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

VMI

11.2% win prob

2

@

Virginia PICK

88.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Virginia (88.8%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

App State

12.8% win prob

5

@

Duke PICK

87.2% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Duke (87.2%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Tulane

14.0% win prob

5

@

UCLA PICK

86.0% win prob

13

Predicted Winner UCLA (86.0%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Eastern Mich.

14.3% win prob

2

@

Vanderbilt PICK

85.7% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Vanderbilt (85.7%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

UIC

15.6% win prob

3

@

UTSA PICK

84.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner UTSA (84.4%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Bradley

16.6% win prob

3

@

Indiana PICK

83.4% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Indiana (83.4%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Mount St. Mary's PICK

82.8% win prob

11

@

Coppin St.

17.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Mount St. Mary's (82.8%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Arkansas St.

17.4% win prob

6

@

Ole Miss PICK

82.6% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Ole Miss (82.6%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

A&M-Corpus Christi

21.6% win prob

3

@

Texas A&M PICK

78.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Texas A&M (78.4%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Abilene Christian

21.8% win prob

3

@

DBU PICK

78.2% win prob

12

Predicted Winner DBU (78.2%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Xavier

22.7% win prob

11

@

Louisville PICK

77.3% win prob

23

Predicted Winner Louisville (77.3%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

ULM

23.4% win prob

10

@

Northwestern St. PICK

76.6% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Northwestern St. (76.6%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Radford PICK

76.2% win prob

11

@

Queens (NC)

23.8% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Radford (76.2%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

West Ga.

24.1% win prob

4

@

Kennesaw St. PICK

75.9% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Kennesaw St. (75.9%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Presbyterian

24.1% win prob

4

@

Elon PICK

75.9% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Elon (75.9%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Georgetown

25.8% win prob

3

@

Maryland PICK

74.2% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Maryland (74.2%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

North Dakota St.

26.4% win prob

5

@

South Fla. PICK

73.6% win prob

9

Predicted Winner South Fla. (73.6%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Louisiana PICK

71.9% win prob

3

@

Rice

28.1% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Louisiana (71.9%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Missouri

28.5% win prob

2

@

Fla. Atlantic PICK

71.5% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Fla. Atlantic (71.5%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Lipscomb

28.7% win prob

5

@

Tennessee Tech PICK

71.3% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Tennessee Tech (71.3%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Western Caro.

29.2% win prob

0

@

USC Upstate PICK

70.8% win prob

17

Predicted Winner USC Upstate (70.8%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

Florida St. PICK

70.0% win prob

13

@

Jacksonville

30.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Florida St. (70.0%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Alabama PICK

69.1% win prob

3

@

Samford

30.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Alabama (69.1%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Georgia Tech PICK

67.7% win prob

25

@

Ga. Southern

32.3% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Georgia Tech (67.7%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Lamar University

32.8% win prob

4

@

Texas PICK

67.2% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Texas (67.2%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

High Point

33.6% win prob

6

@

Wake Forest PICK

66.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Wake Forest (66.4%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Texas St.

34.3% win prob

4

@

Baylor PICK

65.7% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Baylor (65.7%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

UCF

35.6% win prob

7

@

Miami (FL) PICK

64.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Miami (FL) (64.4%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

UNC Greensboro

35.7% win prob

4

@

Davidson PICK

64.3% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Davidson (64.3%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Georgia St.

35.8% win prob

2

@

Jacksonville St. PICK

64.2% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Jacksonville St. (64.2%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Southern Miss. PICK

63.8% win prob

3

@

Southeastern La.

36.2% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Southern Miss. (63.8%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Troy

36.2% win prob

7

@

Mississippi St. PICK

63.8% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Mississippi St. (63.8%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Huston-Tillotson

36.4% win prob

0

@

SFA PICK

63.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner SFA (63.6%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Charlotte

36.4% win prob

1

@

Clemson PICK

63.6% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Clemson (63.6%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

UConn

39.4% win prob

7

@

Arizona St. PICK

60.6% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (60.6%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Florida PICK

60.3% win prob

12

@

Stetson

39.7% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Florida (60.3%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Saint Louis

43.4% win prob

3

@

Southeast Mo. St. PICK

56.6% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Southeast Mo. St. (56.6%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Illinois St. PICK

51.8% win prob

9

@

SIUE

48.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Illinois St. (51.8%)

Low 51% ✓ WIN

Charleston So. PICK

50.7% win prob

12

@

North Florida

49.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Charleston So. (50.7%)

High 89% ✗ LOSS

Butler

11.4% win prob

10

@

Illinois PICK

88.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Illinois (88.6%)

High 87% ✗ LOSS

Morehead St.

12.7% win prob

8

@

Kentucky PICK

87.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Kentucky (87.3%)

Medium 85% ✗ LOSS

Omaha

15.0% win prob

3

@

Arizona PICK

85.0% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Arizona (85.0%)

Medium 81% ✗ LOSS

Col. of Charleston

18.9% win prob

4

@

Coastal Carolina PICK

81.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Coastal Carolina (81.1%)

Medium 81% ✗ LOSS

Sam Houston

19.0% win prob

4

@

Houston Christian PICK

81.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Houston Christian (81.0%)

Medium 79% ✗ LOSS

Northern Ky. PICK

79.0% win prob

11

@

Eastern Ky.

21.0% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Northern Ky. (79.0%)

Medium 77% ✗ LOSS

Texas Tech

23.3% win prob

21

@

UTRGV PICK

76.7% win prob

12

Predicted Winner UTRGV (76.7%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

Cincinnati

23.9% win prob

8

@

Auburn PICK

76.1% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Auburn (76.1%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

TCU PICK

76.0% win prob

8

@

UT Arlington

24.0% win prob

11

Predicted Winner TCU (76.0%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

Bellarmine

25.2% win prob

11

@

Belmont PICK

74.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Belmont (74.8%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

Wiley

33.0% win prob

11

@

Grambling PICK

67.0% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Grambling (67.0%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

South Dakota St.

34.6% win prob

19

@

UIW PICK

65.4% win prob

11

Predicted Winner UIW (65.4%)

Low 64% ✗ LOSS

Missouri St.

35.9% win prob

11

@

Oral Roberts PICK

64.1% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Oral Roberts (64.1%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

FIU

37.4% win prob

12

@

Bethune-Cookman PICK

62.6% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Bethune-Cookman (62.6%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

South Carolina

38.1% win prob

8

@

Wofford PICK

61.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Wofford (61.9%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

East Carolina PICK

59.9% win prob

1

@

Campbell

40.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner East Carolina (59.9%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

Little Rock

40.5% win prob

12

@

Memphis PICK

59.5% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Memphis (59.5%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

UAB

42.3% win prob

15

@

North Ala. PICK

57.7% win prob

3

Predicted Winner North Ala. (57.7%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

ETSU PICK

52.6% win prob

5

@

Virginia Tech

47.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner ETSU (52.6%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

South Alabama

47.6% win prob

7

@

Nicholls PICK

52.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Nicholls (52.4%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

San Diego

49.4% win prob

6

@

Long Beach St. PICK

50.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Long Beach St. (50.6%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

La Salle PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Delaware

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Wis.-Platteville PICK

nan% win prob

5

@

Iowa

nan% win prob

34

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

High 87%

San Diego St.

13.2% win prob

—

@

UC Irvine PICK

86.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner UC Irvine (86.8%)

Medium 84%

UC Santa Barbara PICK

84.0% win prob

—

@

Pepperdine

16.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner UC Santa Barbara (84.0%)

Medium 73%

Cal Poly PICK

72.9% win prob

—

@

San Jose St.

27.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Cal Poly (72.9%)

Medium 72%

UNLV PICK

71.7% win prob

—

@

UC Riverside

28.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner UNLV (71.7%)

Low 51%

Utah Tech PICK

51.1% win prob

—

@

CSU Bakersfield

48.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Utah Tech (51.1%)