Baseball Recap — Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	2/4	50%
60%–70%	5/6	83%
70%–80%	6/8	75%
80%–90%	5/6	83%
90%+	8/9	89%

High 98% ✓ WIN

Nicholls

1.8% win prob

1

@

LSU PICK

98.2% win prob

12

Predicted Winner LSU (98.2%)

High 98% ✓ WIN

Alcorn

2.0% win prob

0

@

Mississippi St. PICK

98.0% win prob

19

Predicted Winner Mississippi St. (98.0%)

High 97% ✓ WIN

Longwood

3.3% win prob

3

@

North Carolina PICK

96.7% win prob

5

Predicted Winner North Carolina (96.7%)

High 94% ✓ WIN

Jackson St.

6.0% win prob

3

@

Ole Miss PICK

94.0% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Ole Miss (94.0%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

NIU

6.6% win prob

5

@

East Carolina PICK

93.4% win prob

11

Predicted Winner East Carolina (93.4%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

Alabama St.

6.8% win prob

1

@

Alabama PICK

93.2% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Alabama (93.2%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

San Diego St.

9.2% win prob

2

@

UC Irvine PICK

90.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner UC Irvine (90.8%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

USC Upstate

9.2% win prob

6

@

Georgia PICK

90.8% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Georgia (90.8%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Merrimack

10.4% win prob

0

@

UNCW PICK

89.6% win prob

10

Predicted Winner UNCW (89.6%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Gardner-Webb

13.4% win prob

2

@

South Carolina PICK

86.6% win prob

12

Predicted Winner South Carolina (86.6%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Winthrop

14.0% win prob

3

@

NC State PICK

86.0% win prob

7

Predicted Winner NC State (86.0%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Indiana St.

16.0% win prob

2

@

Miami (FL) PICK

84.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Miami (FL) (84.0%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Eastern Mich.

17.9% win prob

2

@

Vanderbilt PICK

82.1% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Vanderbilt (82.1%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Eastern Ill. PICK

77.1% win prob

15

@

Butler

22.9% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Eastern Ill. (77.1%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

Portland PICK

74.8% win prob

5

@

CSUN

25.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Portland (74.8%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

N.C. A&T

25.7% win prob

3

@

UNC Greensboro PICK

74.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner UNC Greensboro (74.3%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Georgia St.

25.8% win prob

0

@

Mercer PICK

74.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Mercer (74.2%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

UC Davis PICK

70.9% win prob

2

@

San Francisco

29.1% win prob

1

Predicted Winner UC Davis (70.9%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

Utah Tech PICK

70.4% win prob

14

@

CSU Bakersfield

29.6% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Utah Tech (70.4%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

James Madison

30.7% win prob

5

@

Richmond PICK

69.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Richmond (69.3%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

New Orleans PICK

68.0% win prob

14

@

Southern U.

32.0% win prob

5

Predicted Winner New Orleans (68.0%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

Stetson

34.8% win prob

3

@

Florida PICK

65.2% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Florida (65.2%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

North Dakota St.

37.0% win prob

1

@

South Fla. PICK

63.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner South Fla. (63.0%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Santa Clara PICK

62.3% win prob

8

@

San Jose St.

37.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Santa Clara (62.3%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

South Dakota St.

45.1% win prob

18

@

UIW PICK

54.9% win prob

19

Predicted Winner UIW (54.9%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

LMU (CA)

45.8% win prob

4

@

Southern California PICK

54.2% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Southern California (54.2%)

High 93% ✗ LOSS

Kansas PICK

92.7% win prob

1

@

Lamar University

7.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Kansas (92.7%)

Medium 80% ✗ LOSS

Murray St. PICK

80.3% win prob

5

@

North Ala.

19.7% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Murray St. (80.3%)

Medium 79% ✗ LOSS

Purdue PICK

78.7% win prob

2

@

Rice

21.3% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Purdue (78.7%)

Medium 72% ✗ LOSS

North Florida

28.1% win prob

15

@

Florida A&M PICK

71.9% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Florida A&M (71.9%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Manhattan

30.8% win prob

10

@

Old Dominion PICK

69.2% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Old Dominion (69.2%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Minnesota PICK

53.1% win prob

5

@

FGCU

46.9% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Minnesota (53.1%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

McNeese

48.4% win prob

8

@

Louisiana Tech PICK

51.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Louisiana Tech (51.6%)

High 91%

Northwestern St. PICK

91.2% win prob

—

@

Ark.-Pine Bluff

8.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Northwestern St. (91.2%)