Baseball Recap — Sunday, February 22, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	5/17	29%
60%–70%	4/9	44%
70%–80%	13/24	54%
80%–90%	23/28	82%
90%+	14/17	82%

High 99% ✓ WIN

Coppin St.

0.7% win prob

0

@

Oklahoma PICK

99.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Oklahoma (99.3%)

High 98% ✓ WIN

Youngstown St.

1.9% win prob

6

@

Oregon PICK

98.1% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Oregon (98.1%)

High 98% ✓ WIN

Lafayette

2.0% win prob

5

@

Miami (FL) PICK

98.0% win prob

30

Predicted Winner Miami (FL) (98.0%)

High 96% ✓ WIN

Harvard

4.2% win prob

1

@

Tulane PICK

95.8% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Tulane (95.8%)

High 96% ✓ WIN

Kennesaw St.

4.3% win prob

9

@

Florida PICK

95.7% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Florida (95.7%)

High 95% ✓ WIN

Siena

4.8% win prob

1

@

Wake Forest PICK

95.2% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Wake Forest (95.2%)

High 94% ✓ WIN

Michigan St.

5.9% win prob

0

@

Texas PICK

94.1% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Texas (94.1%)

High 94% ✓ WIN

Kansas PICK

93.5% win prob

6

@

McNeese

6.5% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Kansas (93.5%)

High 94% ✓ WIN

VCU

6.5% win prob

3

@

Coastal Carolina PICK

93.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Coastal Carolina (93.5%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

Rice

7.2% win prob

2

@

Southern California PICK

92.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Southern California (92.8%)

High 92% ✓ WIN

Monmouth

8.1% win prob

8

@

Stetson PICK

91.9% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Stetson (91.9%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

Alcorn

8.6% win prob

4

@

Houston Christian PICK

91.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Houston Christian (91.4%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

Stony Brook

8.7% win prob

3

@

Georgia Tech PICK

91.3% win prob

21

Predicted Winner Georgia Tech (91.3%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Xavier

9.7% win prob

0

@

Arkansas PICK

90.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Arkansas (90.3%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

UCF

10.2% win prob

0

@

LSU PICK

89.8% win prob

11

Predicted Winner LSU (89.8%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

UAlbany

11.4% win prob

0

@

Texas Tech PICK

88.6% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Texas Tech (88.6%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

Milwaukee

12.1% win prob

1

@

Duke PICK

87.9% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Duke (87.9%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Morehead St.

12.6% win prob

3

@

Winthrop PICK

87.4% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Winthrop (87.4%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Marist

12.6% win prob

1

@

Vanderbilt PICK

87.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Vanderbilt (87.4%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

Eastern Mich.

14.5% win prob

1

@

Austin Peay PICK

85.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Austin Peay (85.5%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

Pepperdine

14.6% win prob

7

@

Fresno St. PICK

85.4% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Fresno St. (85.4%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

LIU

14.9% win prob

3

@

Jacksonville PICK

85.1% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Jacksonville (85.1%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Samford

15.8% win prob

0

@

Georgia PICK

84.2% win prob

22

Predicted Winner Georgia (84.2%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Maine

16.4% win prob

7

@

High Point PICK

83.6% win prob

10

Predicted Winner High Point (83.6%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Bradley

16.8% win prob

9

@

UNLV PICK

83.2% win prob

20

Predicted Winner UNLV (83.2%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Canisius

17.0% win prob

2

@

UNC Greensboro PICK

83.0% win prob

12

Predicted Winner UNC Greensboro (83.0%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Utah Valley

17.2% win prob

3

@

Nevada PICK

82.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Nevada (82.8%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Missouri St.

17.2% win prob

2

@

Ole Miss PICK

82.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Ole Miss (82.8%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

N.C. A&T PICK

82.7% win prob

6

@

Queens (NC)

17.3% win prob

3

Predicted Winner N.C. A&T (82.7%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Elon

17.5% win prob

7

@

Charleston So. PICK

82.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Charleston So. (82.5%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Air Force

17.7% win prob

2

@

South Carolina PICK

82.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner South Carolina (82.3%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Bryant

17.7% win prob

5

@

Clemson PICK

82.3% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Clemson (82.3%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Ohio

18.0% win prob

3

@

Tennessee Tech PICK

82.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Tennessee Tech (82.0%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Delaware

18.4% win prob

3

@

Mississippi St. PICK

81.6% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Mississippi St. (81.6%)

Medium 81% ✓ WIN

Portland

18.5% win prob

2

@

UC Santa Barbara PICK

81.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner UC Santa Barbara (81.5%)

Medium 81% ✓ WIN

West Ga.

19.1% win prob

1

@

Little Rock PICK

80.9% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Little Rock (80.9%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Bellarmine

19.7% win prob

8

@

Georgia St. PICK

80.3% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Georgia St. (80.3%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

St. John's (NY)

20.1% win prob

6

@

Arizona St. PICK

79.9% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (79.9%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Penn

20.1% win prob

1

@

Texas A&M PICK

79.9% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Texas A&M (79.9%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

San Diego

79.2% win prob

15

@

San Diego St. PICK

20.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner San Diego (79.2%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

NJIT

20.9% win prob

1

@

USC Upstate PICK

79.1% win prob

17

Predicted Winner USC Upstate (79.1%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Maryland

22.4% win prob

5

@

Louisiana PICK

77.6% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Louisiana (77.6%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

UT Martin

22.8% win prob

8

@

Nicholls PICK

77.2% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Nicholls (77.2%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Northern Colo.

23.7% win prob

11

@

New Mexico PICK

76.3% win prob

12

Predicted Winner New Mexico (76.3%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Saint Joseph's

24.5% win prob

2

@

Sacramento St. PICK

75.5% win prob

21

Predicted Winner Sacramento St. (75.5%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

DBU

25.5% win prob

3

@

UTSA PICK

74.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner UTSA (74.5%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Campbell

25.8% win prob

4

@

Troy PICK

74.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Troy (74.2%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Rutgers

26.1% win prob

3

@

Virginia Tech PICK

73.9% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Virginia Tech (73.9%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

CSUN

26.5% win prob

0

@

Saint Mary's (CA) PICK

73.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Saint Mary's (CA) (73.5%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

Cincinnati PICK

70.1% win prob

8

@

UAB

29.9% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Cincinnati (70.1%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

SFA PICK

66.1% win prob

11

@

Ark.-Pine Bluff

33.9% win prob

5

Predicted Winner SFA (66.1%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Indiana St. PICK

65.8% win prob

10

@

UMass Lowell

34.2% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Indiana St. (65.8%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

SIUE

35.0% win prob

5

@

Southeastern La. PICK

65.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Southeastern La. (65.0%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Cal St. Fullerton

37.2% win prob

2

@

Stanford PICK

62.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Stanford (62.8%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Columbia

41.1% win prob

4

@

Mercer PICK

58.9% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Mercer (58.9%)

Low 58% ✓ WIN

South Alabama

42.0% win prob

6

@

Col. of Charleston PICK

58.0% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Col. of Charleston (58.0%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

TCU

46.3% win prob

5

@

UCLA PICK

53.7% win prob

15

Predicted Winner UCLA (53.7%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Toledo

47.2% win prob

9

@

Jacksonville St. PICK

52.8% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Jacksonville St. (52.8%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Auburn PICK

51.7% win prob

10

@

Louisville

48.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Auburn (51.7%)

High 94% ✗ LOSS

Illinois

6.0% win prob

14

@

Coastal Carolina PICK

94.0% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Coastal Carolina (94.0%)

High 92% ✗ LOSS

Minnesota

8.3% win prob

15

@

Northeastern PICK

91.7% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Northeastern (91.7%)

High 91% ✗ LOSS

Washington St.

8.8% win prob

8

@

Cal Poly PICK

91.2% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Cal Poly (91.2%)

High 88% ✗ LOSS

Kent St.

12.5% win prob

9

@

Tennessee PICK

87.5% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Tennessee (87.5%)

High 87% ✗ LOSS

Wichita St.

12.7% win prob

13

@

Hawaii PICK

87.3% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Hawaii (87.3%)

Medium 84% ✗ LOSS

Purdue

16.2% win prob

5

@

Oregon St. PICK

83.8% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Oregon St. (83.8%)

Medium 83% ✗ LOSS

UConn

17.5% win prob

11

@

Arizona PICK

82.5% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Arizona (82.5%)

Medium 82% ✗ LOSS

Gonzaga PICK

82.2% win prob

0

@

Texas St.

17.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Gonzaga (82.2%)

Medium 79% ✗ LOSS

Valparaiso

20.5% win prob

21

@

Presbyterian PICK

79.5% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Presbyterian (79.5%)

Medium 79% ✗ LOSS

Saint Louis PICK

79.5% win prob

6

@

North Ala.

20.5% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Saint Louis (79.5%)

Medium 77% ✗ LOSS

Western Mich.

22.5% win prob

5

@

UC San Diego PICK

77.5% win prob

2

Predicted Winner UC San Diego (77.5%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

Southern Ill. PICK

75.6% win prob

8

@

App State

24.4% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Southern Ill. (75.6%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

CSU Bakersfield

24.6% win prob

15

@

Long Beach St. PICK

75.4% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Long Beach St. (75.4%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

Yale

25.1% win prob

8

@

Bethune-Cookman PICK

74.9% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Bethune-Cookman (74.9%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

East Carolina

25.2% win prob

3

@

North Carolina PICK

74.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner North Carolina (74.8%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

Nebraska

25.5% win prob

10

@

Florida St. PICK

74.5% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Florida St. (74.5%)

Medium 73% ✗ LOSS

Navy

26.5% win prob

8

@

Marshall PICK

73.5% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Marshall (73.5%)

Medium 73% ✗ LOSS

Northwestern St. PICK

73.3% win prob

5

@

Central Ark.

26.7% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Northwestern St. (73.3%)

Medium 71% ✗ LOSS

California

29.1% win prob

4

@

UC Irvine PICK

70.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner UC Irvine (70.9%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

San Jose St. PICK

69.0% win prob

3

@

San Francisco

31.0% win prob

9

Predicted Winner San Jose St. (69.0%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

UC Davis

33.2% win prob

13

@

Santa Clara PICK

66.8% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Santa Clara (66.8%)

Low 66% ✗ LOSS

Towson

34.1% win prob

8

@

New Mexico St. PICK

65.9% win prob

6

Predicted Winner New Mexico St. (65.9%)

Low 64% ✗ LOSS

Iowa PICK

64.5% win prob

2

@

Fla. Atlantic

35.5% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Iowa (64.5%)

Low 61% ✗ LOSS

Ga. Southern PICK

60.5% win prob

3

@

South Fla.

39.5% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Ga. Southern (60.5%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

Oklahoma St.

40.5% win prob

13

@

Grand Canyon PICK

59.5% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Grand Canyon (59.5%)

Low 59% ✗ LOSS

Indiana PICK

59.1% win prob

8

@

Notre Dame

40.9% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Indiana (59.1%)

Low 59% ✗ LOSS

Michigan PICK

59.0% win prob

6

@

Kansas St.

41.0% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Michigan (59.0%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Utah

42.0% win prob

9

@

Creighton PICK

58.0% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Creighton (58.0%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Ohio St.

42.4% win prob

8

@

Memphis PICK

57.6% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Memphis (57.6%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

Washington PICK

56.6% win prob

6

@

LMU (CA)

43.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Washington (56.6%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

South Dakota St.

44.2% win prob

5

@

Tarleton St. PICK

55.8% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Tarleton St. (55.8%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Western Ill.

44.3% win prob

10

@

Akron PICK

55.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Akron (55.7%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Ball St.

46.3% win prob

14

@

Merrimack PICK

53.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Merrimack (53.7%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Wagner

47.1% win prob

6

@

UC Riverside PICK

52.9% win prob

4

Predicted Winner UC Riverside (52.9%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Oral Roberts PICK

52.7% win prob

7

@

Abilene Christian

47.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Oral Roberts (52.7%)

Low 50% ✗ LOSS

St. Bonaventure PICK

50.2% win prob

0

@

Middle Tenn.

49.8% win prob

7

Predicted Winner St. Bonaventure (50.2%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Stonehill PICK

nan% win prob

7

@

Fla. Gulf Coast

nan% win prob

14

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

UIC PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Sam Houston St.

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Army PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

The Citadel

nan% win prob

14

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Fordham PICK

nan% win prob

0

@

UNC-Wilmington

nan% win prob

7

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Northern Ill. PICK

nan% win prob

9

@

Wofford

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Prairie View PICK

nan% win prob

1

@

Incarnate Word

nan% win prob

8

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Lamar PICK

nan% win prob

5

@

UT-Arlington

nan% win prob

3

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Seattle PICK

nan% win prob

1

@

California Baptist

nan% win prob

5

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

High 94%

North Dakota St.

5.6% win prob

—

@

Virginia PICK

94.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Virginia (94.4%)

High 93%

Manhattan PICK

93.5% win prob

—

@

Norfolk St.

6.5% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Manhattan (93.5%)

High 91%

Butler

9.1% win prob

—

@

Murray St. PICK

90.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Murray St. (90.9%)

High 87%

A&M-Corpus Christi

12.9% win prob

—

@

Pittsburgh PICK

87.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Pittsburgh (87.1%)

High 87%

La Salle PICK

86.6% win prob

—

@

Delaware St.

13.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner La Salle (86.6%)

High 86%

Fairfield PICK

86.0% win prob

—

@

Davidson

14.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairfield (86.0%)

Medium 82%

Northern Ky. PICK

82.4% win prob

—

@

Alabama A&M

17.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Northern Ky. (82.4%)

Medium 79%

Eastern Ky.

20.8% win prob

—

@

Dayton PICK

79.2% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Dayton (79.2%)

Medium 78%

Grambling

21.7% win prob

—

@

Jackson St. PICK

78.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Jackson St. (78.3%)

Medium 72%

Wright St.

27.9% win prob

—

@

Charlotte PICK

72.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Charlotte (72.1%)

Low 67%

Cornell

32.7% win prob

—

@

Boston College PICK

67.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Boston College (67.3%)

Low 63%

Illinois St.

36.7% win prob

—

@

Miami (OH) PICK

63.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Miami (OH) (63.3%)

Low 62%

Villanova

38.4% win prob

—

@

Lipscomb PICK

61.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Lipscomb (61.6%)

Low 61%

Florida A&M PICK

61.2% win prob

—

@

Southern U.

38.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Florida A&M (61.2%)

Low 60%

Eastern Ill.

39.7% win prob

—

@

Arkansas St. PICK

60.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Arkansas St. (60.3%)

Low 59%

Penn St.

41.2% win prob

—

@

Richmond PICK

58.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Richmond (58.8%)

Low 58%

Boston College

42.0% win prob

—

@

Northwestern PICK

58.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Northwestern (58.0%)

Low 57%

Iona

42.5% win prob

—

@

Hofstra PICK

57.5% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Hofstra (57.5%)

Low 55%

Texas Southern

44.8% win prob

—

@

Alabama St. PICK

55.2% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Alabama St. (55.2%)

Low 53%

Dartmouth PICK

53.2% win prob

—

@

Fairleigh Dickinson

46.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Dartmouth (53.2%)

Low 53%

St. Thomas (MN)

47.0% win prob

—

@

Lindenwood PICK

53.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Lindenwood (53.0%)

Low 52%

Baylor

47.5% win prob

—

@

Southern Miss. PICK

52.5% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Southern Miss. (52.5%)

Low 52%

Gardner-Webb PICK

52.3% win prob

—

@

Dartmouth

47.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Gardner-Webb (52.3%)

Low nan%

Geo. Mason PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Seton Hall

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Holy Cross PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Fla. Intl

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Missouri PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

New Haven

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Central Michigan PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Belmont

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

UT-Rio Grande Valley PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Houston

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Louisiana-Monroe PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

New Orleans

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)