Baseball Recap — Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	3/6	50%
60%–70%	6/10	60%
70%–80%	3/5	60%
80%–90%	7/9	78%
90%+	7/8	88%

High 98% ✓ WIN

Ohio

2.1% win prob

6

@

West Virginia PICK

97.9% win prob

19

Predicted Winner West Virginia (97.9%)

High 98% ✓ WIN

Ark.-Pine Bluff

2.2% win prob

1

@

Missouri PICK

97.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Missouri (97.8%)

High 98% ✓ WIN

VCU

2.4% win prob

3

@

North Carolina PICK

97.6% win prob

13

Predicted Winner North Carolina (97.6%)

High 97% ✓ WIN

West Ga.

2.6% win prob

3

@

Auburn PICK

97.4% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Auburn (97.4%)

High 97% ✓ WIN

North Florida

3.5% win prob

9

@

Florida St. PICK

96.5% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Florida St. (96.5%)

High 96% ✓ WIN

Eastern Ky.

4.2% win prob

5

@

Louisville PICK

95.8% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Louisville (95.8%)

High 95% ✓ WIN

Old Dominion PICK

95.3% win prob

15

@

Norfolk St.

4.7% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Old Dominion (95.3%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Lindenwood

10.4% win prob

9

@

Illinois PICK

89.6% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Illinois (89.6%)

Medium 85% ✓ WIN

Southern Ind.

15.2% win prob

1

@

Saint Louis PICK

84.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Saint Louis (84.8%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Maine

16.0% win prob

4

@

Charlotte PICK

84.0% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Charlotte (84.0%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Bucknell

16.1% win prob

3

@

Pittsburgh PICK

83.9% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Pittsburgh (83.9%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Kansas PICK

83.2% win prob

8

@

Minnesota

16.8% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Kansas (83.2%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Morehead St.

17.8% win prob

6

@

Northern Ky. PICK

82.2% win prob

21

Predicted Winner Northern Ky. (82.2%)

Medium 81% ✓ WIN

Western Mich.

19.3% win prob

1

@

UNLV PICK

80.7% win prob

16

Predicted Winner UNLV (80.7%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Florida A&M

21.2% win prob

1

@

Mercer PICK

78.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Mercer (78.8%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

Southern U.

24.8% win prob

0

@

New Orleans PICK

75.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner New Orleans (75.2%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Arkansas St.

27.8% win prob

0

@

Arkansas PICK

72.2% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Arkansas (72.2%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Miami (FL) PICK

68.6% win prob

11

@

Fla. Atlantic

31.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Miami (FL) (68.6%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Western Ky.

31.6% win prob

9

@

Kentucky PICK

68.4% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Kentucky (68.4%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Illinois St. PICK

66.8% win prob

14

@

Alabama A&M

33.2% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Illinois St. (66.8%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Bowling Green

33.6% win prob

1

@

Cincinnati PICK

66.4% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Cincinnati (66.4%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

La Salle

36.6% win prob

4

@

Delaware PICK

63.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Delaware (63.4%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

California PICK

60.6% win prob

7

@

UC Davis

39.4% win prob

2

Predicted Winner California (60.6%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Kansas St.

41.1% win prob

2

@

Louisiana PICK

58.9% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Louisiana (58.9%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Indiana PICK

56.1% win prob

10

@

Xavier

43.9% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Indiana (56.1%)

Low 51% ✓ WIN

Kent St.

49.1% win prob

1

@

Wright St. PICK

50.9% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Wright St. (50.9%)

High 92% ✗ LOSS

Queens (NC)

8.0% win prob

9

@

South Carolina PICK

92.0% win prob

8

Predicted Winner South Carolina (92.0%)

High 86% ✗ LOSS

Troy

14.3% win prob

6

@

Georgia PICK

85.7% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Georgia (85.7%)

Medium 82% ✗ LOSS

Grand Canyon

17.8% win prob

9

@

UC Irvine PICK

82.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner UC Irvine (82.2%)

Medium 79% ✗ LOSS

Miami (OH)

21.2% win prob

11

@

Southern Ill. PICK

78.8% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Southern Ill. (78.8%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

BYU PICK

75.6% win prob

7

@

Long Beach St.

24.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner BYU (75.6%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Toledo PICK

68.8% win prob

8

@

Dayton

31.2% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Toledo (68.8%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Sacramento St. PICK

68.7% win prob

7

@

Pacific

31.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Sacramento St. (68.7%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

USC Upstate

35.4% win prob

2

@

Stetson PICK

64.6% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Stetson (64.6%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

App State

39.9% win prob

8

@

ETSU PICK

60.1% win prob

5

Predicted Winner ETSU (60.1%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Tulane

46.9% win prob

15

@

South Alabama PICK

53.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner South Alabama (53.1%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

High Point PICK

52.9% win prob

3

@

Liberty

47.1% win prob

9

Predicted Winner High Point (52.9%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Arizona St. PICK

52.7% win prob

3

@

Oklahoma

47.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (52.7%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Mississippi Valley State PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Jacksonville St.

nan% win prob

7

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Akron PICK

nan% win prob

3

@

North Carolina State

nan% win prob

18

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

UNC-Wilmington PICK

nan% win prob

11

@

Charleston So.

nan% win prob

10

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Indiana St. PICK

nan% win prob

5

@

Fla. Gulf Coast

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low 69%

Wagner PICK

69.0% win prob

—

@

Seton Hall

31.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Wagner (69.0%)

Low 67%

Georgetown PICK

66.7% win prob

—

@

UMBC

33.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Georgetown (66.7%)

Low 57%

East Carolina

42.6% win prob

—

@

Col. of Charleston PICK

57.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Col. of Charleston (57.4%)

Low nan%

Alcorn PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Louisiana-Monroe

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Geo. Washington PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Virginia

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Fla. Intl PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Florida

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)