Baseball Recap — Friday, March 06, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	11/26	42%
60%–70%	15/23	65%
70%–80%	18/24	75%
80%–90%	23/28	82%
90%+	17/19	89%

High 97% ✓ WIN

Ark.-Pine Bluff

2.7% win prob

9

@

Houston PICK

97.3% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Houston (97.3%)

High 96% ✓ WIN

Saint Peter's

3.6% win prob

4

@

NJIT PICK

96.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner NJIT (96.4%)

High 95% ✓ WIN

Oakland

4.7% win prob

3

@

Texas A&M PICK

95.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Texas A&M (95.3%)

High 95% ✓ WIN

Murray St.

5.1% win prob

3

@

UCF PICK

94.9% win prob

8

Predicted Winner UCF (94.9%)

High 94% ✓ WIN

USC Upstate

5.5% win prob

2

@

Texas PICK

94.5% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Texas (94.5%)

High 94% ✓ WIN

North Florida

5.7% win prob

2

@

Alabama PICK

94.3% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Alabama (94.3%)

High 94% ✓ WIN

Southern U.

6.0% win prob

1

@

South Fla. PICK

94.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner South Fla. (94.0%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

Northern Ky.

7.3% win prob

3

@

Florida St. PICK

92.7% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Florida St. (92.7%)

High 92% ✓ WIN

Mississippi Val.

7.7% win prob

1

@

UT Martin PICK

92.3% win prob

12

Predicted Winner UT Martin (92.3%)

High 92% ✓ WIN

Long Beach St.

7.8% win prob

3

@

UC Santa Barbara PICK

92.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner UC Santa Barbara (92.2%)

High 92% ✓ WIN

Alabama A&M

7.8% win prob

4

@

UNC Asheville PICK

92.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner UNC Asheville (92.2%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

Winthrop

8.6% win prob

0

@

Auburn PICK

91.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Auburn (91.4%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

Bryant

8.7% win prob

3

@

Rutgers PICK

91.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Rutgers (91.3%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

St. Thomas (MN)

8.9% win prob

5

@

Kansas PICK

91.1% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Kansas (91.1%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

SIUE

8.9% win prob

5

@

Kansas St. PICK

91.1% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Kansas St. (91.1%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Grambling

9.5% win prob

3

@

Southeastern La. PICK

90.5% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Southeastern La. (90.5%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Bowling Green

9.7% win prob

1

@

Kent St. PICK

90.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Kent St. (90.3%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

North Ala.

12.0% win prob

4

@

Southern Miss. PICK

88.0% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Southern Miss. (88.0%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

Virginia Tech

12.4% win prob

1

@

Georgia Tech PICK

87.6% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Georgia Tech (87.6%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

UIC

12.6% win prob

12

@

Missouri PICK

87.4% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Missouri (87.4%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

North Dakota St.

12.7% win prob

2

@

Vanderbilt PICK

87.3% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Vanderbilt (87.3%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Lindenwood

12.7% win prob

6

@

Iowa PICK

87.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Iowa (87.3%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

The Citadel

12.7% win prob

5

@

Kentucky PICK

87.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Kentucky (87.3%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Seton Hall

12.9% win prob

1

@

Louisville PICK

87.1% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Louisville (87.1%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Memphis

13.0% win prob

5

@

Missouri St. PICK

87.0% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Missouri St. (87.0%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

West Ga.

13.1% win prob

4

@

Wichita St. PICK

86.9% win prob

22

Predicted Winner Wichita St. (86.9%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Alcorn

13.5% win prob

4

@

Mercer PICK

86.5% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Mercer (86.5%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Penn St.

13.6% win prob

7

@

Texas Tech PICK

86.4% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Texas Tech (86.4%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

LMU (CA)

14.2% win prob

4

@

Arizona St. PICK

85.8% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (85.8%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

William & Mary

14.7% win prob

2

@

Campbell PICK

85.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Campbell (85.3%)

Medium 85% ✓ WIN

Evansville

15.1% win prob

2

@

Ole Miss PICK

84.9% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Ole Miss (84.9%)

Medium 85% ✓ WIN

Wright St.

15.3% win prob

3

@

Tennessee PICK

84.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Tennessee (84.7%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Holy Cross

15.6% win prob

4

@

Portland PICK

84.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Portland (84.4%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Queens (NC)

16.5% win prob

2

@

Georgia PICK

83.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Georgia (83.5%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Tulane

17.8% win prob

2

@

TCU PICK

82.2% win prob

10

Predicted Winner TCU (82.2%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Sacramento St.

18.0% win prob

4

@

LSU PICK

82.0% win prob

15

Predicted Winner LSU (82.0%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Massachusetts

18.4% win prob

0

@

Toledo PICK

81.6% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Toledo (81.6%)

Medium 81% ✓ WIN

Morehead St.

19.0% win prob

5

@

Butler PICK

81.0% win prob

20

Predicted Winner Butler (81.0%)

Medium 81% ✓ WIN

Harvard

19.4% win prob

3

@

Liberty PICK

80.6% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Liberty (80.6%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Stetson

19.6% win prob

1

@

Arkansas PICK

80.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Arkansas (80.4%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Northern Colo.

20.1% win prob

6

@

Utah Valley PICK

79.9% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Utah Valley (79.9%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

UAlbany

22.0% win prob

1

@

St. John's (NY) PICK

78.0% win prob

2

Predicted Winner St. John's (NY) (78.0%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Cal St. Fullerton PICK

77.9% win prob

5

@

CSU Bakersfield

22.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Cal St. Fullerton (77.9%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

UC San Diego

23.9% win prob

1

@

Cincinnati PICK

76.1% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Cincinnati (76.1%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Michigan St.

24.3% win prob

4

@

Nebraska PICK

75.7% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Nebraska (75.7%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Grand Canyon

25.7% win prob

0

@

Utah PICK

74.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Utah (74.3%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Western Ill.

25.9% win prob

7

@

VMI PICK

74.1% win prob

8

Predicted Winner VMI (74.1%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Middle Tenn.

26.1% win prob

2

@

UAB PICK

73.9% win prob

12

Predicted Winner UAB (73.9%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Indiana St.

26.6% win prob

5

@

Western Ky. PICK

73.4% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Western Ky. (73.4%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

UCLA PICK

73.4% win prob

11

@

Ohio St.

26.6% win prob

1

Predicted Winner UCLA (73.4%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Lehigh

27.3% win prob

9

@

Davidson PICK

72.7% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Davidson (72.7%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Monmouth PICK

72.6% win prob

12

@

Towson

27.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Monmouth (72.6%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Austin Peay PICK

72.5% win prob

10

@

Utah Tech

27.5% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Austin Peay (72.5%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

La Salle

28.8% win prob

1

@

Clemson PICK

71.2% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Clemson (71.2%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Saint Joseph's PICK

70.9% win prob

2

@

Bucknell

29.1% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Saint Joseph's (70.9%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Xavier

29.3% win prob

2

@

Oregon St. PICK

70.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Oregon St. (70.7%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

Milwaukee

29.7% win prob

2

@

Southeast Mo. St. PICK

70.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Southeast Mo. St. (70.3%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

UNLV

29.8% win prob

0

@

Minnesota PICK

70.2% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Minnesota (70.2%)

Low 70% ✓ WIN

App State PICK

69.8% win prob

7

@

Presbyterian

30.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner App State (69.8%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

UMass Lowell

31.3% win prob

5

@

San Francisco PICK

68.7% win prob

8

Predicted Winner San Francisco (68.7%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

California Baptist PICK

67.9% win prob

14

@

BYU

32.1% win prob

7

Predicted Winner California Baptist (67.9%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Northeastern PICK

67.7% win prob

4

@

Stony Brook

32.3% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Northeastern (67.7%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

St. Bonaventure

32.8% win prob

4

@

Marshall PICK

67.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Marshall (67.2%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Oregon PICK

67.0% win prob

8

@

Purdue

33.0% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Oregon (67.0%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Notre Dame PICK

66.3% win prob

10

@

Duke

33.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Notre Dame (66.3%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Valparaiso

33.8% win prob

2

@

Jacksonville St. PICK

66.2% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Jacksonville St. (66.2%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Illinois

34.4% win prob

0

@

Southern California PICK

65.6% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Southern California (65.6%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

Eastern Mich.

35.2% win prob

3

@

Miami (OH) PICK

64.8% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Miami (OH) (64.8%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

Cal Poly PICK

64.8% win prob

6

@

Hawaii

35.2% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Cal Poly (64.8%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Illinois St. PICK

63.0% win prob

7

@

Eastern Ky.

37.0% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Illinois St. (63.0%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

UTSA PICK

60.9% win prob

10

@

New Mexico St.

39.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner UTSA (60.9%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Little Rock

39.3% win prob

1

@

Central Ark. PICK

60.7% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Central Ark. (60.7%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Mercyhurst

39.4% win prob

1

@

Coppin St. PICK

60.6% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Coppin St. (60.6%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Western Mich. PICK

60.0% win prob

4

@

Akron

40.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Western Mich. (60.0%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Bradley

40.4% win prob

1

@

Saint Louis PICK

59.6% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Saint Louis (59.6%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Air Force

42.5% win prob

0

@

Baylor PICK

57.5% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Baylor (57.5%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Pittsburgh PICK

57.4% win prob

20

@

San Jose St.

42.6% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Pittsburgh (57.4%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Quinnipiac

43.5% win prob

3

@

UNC Greensboro PICK

56.5% win prob

13

Predicted Winner UNC Greensboro (56.5%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Samford

44.7% win prob

3

@

Kennesaw St. PICK

55.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Kennesaw St. (55.3%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Saint Mary's (CA)

45.4% win prob

2

@

San Diego St. PICK

54.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner San Diego St. (54.6%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Wofford PICK

52.1% win prob

11

@

Belmont

47.9% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Wofford (52.1%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Villanova

48.0% win prob

1

@

Florida A&M PICK

52.0% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Florida A&M (52.0%)

Low 50% ✓ WIN

Louisiana PICK

50.5% win prob

6

@

DBU

49.5% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Louisiana (50.5%)

Low 50% ✓ WIN

Pacific

49.7% win prob

7

@

Nevada PICK

50.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Nevada (50.3%)

High 96% ✗ LOSS

Lafayette

4.4% win prob

11

@

NC State PICK

95.6% win prob

6

Predicted Winner NC State (95.6%)

High 91% ✗ LOSS

Boston College

9.1% win prob

8

@

Miami (FL) PICK

90.9% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Miami (FL) (90.9%)

High 89% ✗ LOSS

Gardner-Webb

11.0% win prob

19

@

Oklahoma St. PICK

89.0% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Oklahoma St. (89.0%)

High 88% ✗ LOSS

High Point

12.4% win prob

7

@

Florida PICK

87.6% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Florida (87.6%)

High 86% ✗ LOSS

Columbia

13.6% win prob

7

@

West Virginia PICK

86.4% win prob

4

Predicted Winner West Virginia (86.4%)

Medium 84% ✗ LOSS

N.C. A&T

15.8% win prob

2

@

Elon PICK

84.2% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Elon (84.2%)

Medium 84% ✗ LOSS

Fairfield PICK

83.9% win prob

5

@

Siena

16.1% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Fairfield (83.9%)

Medium 78% ✗ LOSS

Tarleton St.

22.3% win prob

13

@

New Mexico PICK

77.7% win prob

11

Predicted Winner New Mexico (77.7%)

Medium 77% ✗ LOSS

Washington St.

22.9% win prob

9

@

Texas St. PICK

77.1% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Texas St. (77.1%)

Medium 77% ✗ LOSS

Charleston So.

23.0% win prob

15

@

Georgia St. PICK

77.0% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Georgia St. (77.0%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

ETSU PICK

76.4% win prob

1

@

James Madison

23.6% win prob

11

Predicted Winner ETSU (76.4%)

Medium 72% ✗ LOSS

CSUN

28.3% win prob

5

@

UC Irvine PICK

71.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner UC Irvine (71.7%)

Medium 70% ✗ LOSS

Tennessee Tech

29.9% win prob

5

@

Ga. Southern PICK

70.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Ga. Southern (70.1%)

Low 70% ✗ LOSS

Michigan PICK

69.5% win prob

8

@

Pepperdine

30.5% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Michigan (69.5%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Louisiana Tech PICK

68.6% win prob

3

@

South Alabama

31.4% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Louisiana Tech (68.6%)

Low 68% ✗ LOSS

Iona

31.6% win prob

5

@

Mount St. Mary's PICK

68.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Mount St. Mary's (68.4%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

Manhattan

33.2% win prob

12

@

Marist PICK

66.8% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Marist (66.8%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

Rider

37.3% win prob

5

@

Sacred Heart PICK

62.7% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Sacred Heart (62.7%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

UConn

37.3% win prob

4

@

Old Dominion PICK

62.7% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Old Dominion (62.7%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

Stanford PICK

62.6% win prob

4

@

Wake Forest

37.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Stanford (62.6%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

Houston Christian

38.0% win prob

3

@

McNeese PICK

62.0% win prob

1

Predicted Winner McNeese (62.0%)

Low 59% ✗ LOSS

Maine PICK

59.1% win prob

5

@

Dayton

40.9% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Maine (59.1%)

Low 59% ✗ LOSS

Longwood

41.2% win prob

16

@

Alabama St. PICK

58.8% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Alabama St. (58.8%)

Low 59% ✗ LOSS

Maryland PICK

58.7% win prob

2

@

Troy

41.3% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Maryland (58.7%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Rice

42.3% win prob

5

@

Abilene Christian PICK

57.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Abilene Christian (57.7%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

Western Caro. PICK

57.3% win prob

1

@

Radford

42.7% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Western Caro. (57.3%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

Binghamton

42.8% win prob

5

@

Richmond PICK

57.2% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Richmond (57.2%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

Canisius

43.3% win prob

7

@

Delaware PICK

56.7% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Delaware (56.7%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Nicholls

45.8% win prob

11

@

A&M-Corpus Christi PICK

54.2% win prob

7

Predicted Winner A&M-Corpus Christi (54.2%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

San Diego PICK

54.0% win prob

1

@

California

46.0% win prob

11

Predicted Winner San Diego (54.0%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Washington PICK

53.4% win prob

2

@

Indiana

46.6% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Washington (53.4%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

East Carolina PICK

52.7% win prob

6

@

Coastal Carolina

47.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner East Carolina (52.7%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

UC Davis

48.9% win prob

4

@

UC Riverside PICK

51.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner UC Riverside (51.1%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

Dartmouth

49.0% win prob

3

@

Navy PICK

51.0% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Navy (51.0%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

Youngstown St. PICK

50.8% win prob

2

@

Southern Ind.

49.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Youngstown St. (50.8%)

Low 50% ✗ LOSS

Fresno St. PICK

50.4% win prob

0

@

Arizona

49.6% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Fresno St. (50.4%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Central Michigan PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

Ball St.

nan% win prob

7

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Northwestern St. PICK

nan% win prob

9

@

Incarnate Word

nan% win prob

13

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Army PICK

nan% win prob

3

@

VCU

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Northern Ill. PICK

nan% win prob

7

@

Ohio

nan% win prob

14

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Lamar PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

SFA

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Prairie View PICK

nan% win prob

1

@

Sam Houston St.

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

UNC-Wilmington PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

Jacksonville

nan% win prob

3

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Jackson St. PICK

nan% win prob

5

@

Seattle

nan% win prob

1

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Fla. Gulf Coast PICK

nan% win prob

11

@

Bethune-Cookman

nan% win prob

5

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

High 98%

Norfolk St.

2.2% win prob

—

@

LIU PICK

97.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner LIU (97.8%)

High 89%

Santa Clara

11.2% win prob

—

@

Oklahoma PICK

88.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Oklahoma (88.8%)

Medium 76%

Col. of Charleston PICK

76.0% win prob

—

@

Hofstra

24.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Col. of Charleston (76.0%)

Medium 75%

Fairleigh Dickinson

24.9% win prob

—

@

Wagner PICK

75.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Wagner (75.1%)

Medium 73%

Charlotte PICK

73.1% win prob

—

@

Radford

26.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Charlotte (73.1%)

Medium 73%

Virginia

27.2% win prob

—

@

North Carolina PICK

72.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner North Carolina (72.8%)

Low 64%

Omaha

36.2% win prob

—

@

Southern Ill. PICK

63.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Southern Ill. (63.8%)

Low 57%

Northwestern PICK

56.8% win prob

—

@

South Dakota St.

43.2% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Northwestern (56.8%)

Low 54%

Arkansas St. PICK

54.1% win prob

—

@

Oral Roberts

45.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Arkansas St. (54.1%)

Low 53%

Gonzaga

46.6% win prob

—

@

Creighton PICK

53.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Creighton (53.4%)

Low 53%

Eastern Ill. PICK

53.2% win prob

—

@

Bellarmine

46.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Eastern Ill. (53.2%)

Low 51%

New Haven PICK

51.2% win prob

—

@

Stonehill

48.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner New Haven (51.2%)

Low nan%

Georgetown PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Geo. Mason

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Yale PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Geo. Washington

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Fla. Intl PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Fla. Atlantic

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Louisiana-Monroe PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

UT-Arlington

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

New Orleans PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

UT-Rio Grande Valley

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)