Baseball Recap — Sunday, March 15, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	22/34	65%
60%–70%	22/33	67%
70%–80%	12/21	57%
80%–90%	14/21	67%
90%+	7/7	100%

High 94% ✓ WIN

Bradley

5.8% win prob

2

@

ETSU PICK

94.2% win prob

15

Predicted Winner ETSU (94.2%)

High 94% ✓ WIN

Manhattan

6.0% win prob

3

@

Fairfield PICK

94.0% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Fairfield (94.0%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

Utah Tech

6.6% win prob

4

@

Santa Clara PICK

93.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Santa Clara (93.4%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

Harvard

7.1% win prob

2

@

California Baptist PICK

92.9% win prob

3

Predicted Winner California Baptist (92.9%)

High 92% ✓ WIN

St. John's (NY)

7.9% win prob

9

@

Charlotte PICK

92.1% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Charlotte (92.1%)

High 92% ✓ WIN

Delaware

8.2% win prob

4

@

Louisiana Tech PICK

91.8% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Louisiana Tech (91.8%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

New Mexico St.

8.6% win prob

2

@

DBU PICK

91.4% win prob

20

Predicted Winner DBU (91.4%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

Penn

10.7% win prob

7

@

East Carolina PICK

89.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner East Carolina (89.3%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

CSU Bakersfield

11.2% win prob

3

@

Cal Poly PICK

88.8% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Cal Poly (88.8%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

Morehead St.

11.2% win prob

7

@

Western Caro. PICK

88.8% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Western Caro. (88.8%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

Le Moyne PICK

85.4% win prob

6

@

New Haven

14.6% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Le Moyne (85.4%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

Saint Peter's

14.7% win prob

5

@

Marist PICK

85.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Marist (85.3%)

Medium 85% ✓ WIN

Towson

15.4% win prob

2

@

Northeastern PICK

84.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Northeastern (84.6%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

La Salle

16.0% win prob

4

@

VCU PICK

84.0% win prob

8

Predicted Winner VCU (84.0%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Delaware St.

16.1% win prob

8

@

Mercyhurst PICK

83.9% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Mercyhurst (83.9%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Michigan

16.6% win prob

2

@

UCLA PICK

83.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner UCLA (83.4%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Stony Brook

17.4% win prob

2

@

Col. of Charleston PICK

82.6% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Col. of Charleston (82.6%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Radford

17.5% win prob

7

@

Winthrop PICK

82.5% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Winthrop (82.5%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Siena

18.0% win prob

7

@

Rider PICK

82.0% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Rider (82.0%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

South Alabama

18.2% win prob

1

@

Louisiana PICK

81.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Louisiana (81.8%)

Medium 81% ✓ WIN

Mississippi Val.

18.7% win prob

1

@

Ark.-Pine Bluff PICK

81.3% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Ark.-Pine Bluff (81.3%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Oklahoma St.

22.0% win prob

5

@

UCF PICK

78.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner UCF (78.0%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

South Carolina

23.3% win prob

3

@

Florida PICK

76.7% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Florida (76.7%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

UMBC

25.4% win prob

3

@

Fla. Atlantic PICK

74.6% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Fla. Atlantic (74.6%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

Oregon St. PICK

74.6% win prob

10

@

San Diego

25.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Oregon St. (74.6%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Western Mich. PICK

73.9% win prob

16

@

Ohio

26.1% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Western Mich. (73.9%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Virginia Tech

27.0% win prob

6

@

Virginia PICK

73.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Virginia (73.0%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

A&M-Corpus Christi

27.3% win prob

3

@

Northwestern St. PICK

72.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Northwestern St. (72.7%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Canisius

28.3% win prob

4

@

Mount St. Mary's PICK

71.7% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Mount St. Mary's (71.7%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Ole Miss

28.4% win prob

2

@

Texas PICK

71.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Texas (71.6%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Boston College

28.5% win prob

1

@

NC State PICK

71.5% win prob

5

Predicted Winner NC State (71.5%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Coastal Carolina PICK

71.4% win prob

8

@

App State

28.6% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Coastal Carolina (71.4%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

Alcorn

30.0% win prob

6

@

Alabama A&M PICK

70.0% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Alabama A&M (70.0%)

Low 70% ✓ WIN

Gonzaga PICK

70.0% win prob

23

@

Indiana St.

30.0% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Gonzaga (70.0%)

Low 70% ✓ WIN

Miami (FL)

30.5% win prob

10

@

Duke PICK

69.5% win prob

20

Predicted Winner Duke (69.5%)

Low 70% ✓ WIN

South Dakota St.

30.5% win prob

2

@

Oral Roberts PICK

69.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Oral Roberts (69.5%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Indiana

30.5% win prob

6

@

Oregon PICK

69.5% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Oregon (69.5%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

UNC Greensboro PICK

68.9% win prob

8

@

UIC

31.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner UNC Greensboro (68.9%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

LMU (CA)

31.6% win prob

11

@

Abilene Christian PICK

68.4% win prob

22

Predicted Winner Abilene Christian (68.4%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Old Dominion

31.8% win prob

4

@

Troy PICK

68.2% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Troy (68.2%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

The Citadel PICK

68.2% win prob

8

@

UT Martin

31.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner The Citadel (68.2%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Kennesaw St.

32.3% win prob

3

@

Middle Tenn. PICK

67.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Middle Tenn. (67.7%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Eastern Ill. PICK

67.4% win prob

25

@

Memphis

32.6% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Eastern Ill. (67.4%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Alabama

32.7% win prob

4

@

Kentucky PICK

67.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Kentucky (67.3%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Eastern Mich.

32.8% win prob

9

@

Ball St. PICK

67.2% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Ball St. (67.2%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Fordham PICK

65.9% win prob

26

@

Davidson

34.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Fordham (65.9%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

Southern U.

34.9% win prob

6

@

Florida A&M PICK

65.1% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Florida A&M (65.1%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Florida St. PICK

63.7% win prob

12

@

Wake Forest

36.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Florida St. (63.7%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

TCU

36.9% win prob

0

@

Arizona St. PICK

63.1% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (63.1%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Princeton

37.5% win prob

2

@

Wofford PICK

62.5% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Wofford (62.5%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Jacksonville PICK

62.1% win prob

10

@

West Ga.

37.9% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Jacksonville (62.1%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Bowling Green

38.3% win prob

7

@

Miami (OH) PICK

61.7% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Miami (OH) (61.7%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Lafayette

38.4% win prob

0

@

Bucknell PICK

61.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Bucknell (61.6%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Tennessee

38.9% win prob

7

@

Georgia PICK

61.1% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Georgia (61.1%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Notre Dame

39.8% win prob

12

@

Louisville PICK

60.2% win prob

21

Predicted Winner Louisville (60.2%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Creighton PICK

59.9% win prob

5

@

Tulane

40.1% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Creighton (59.9%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Arizona

40.4% win prob

7

@

Utah PICK

59.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Utah (59.6%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Cornell

40.6% win prob

4

@

VMI PICK

59.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner VMI (59.4%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

UC Irvine

40.8% win prob

6

@

Cal St. Fullerton PICK

59.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Cal St. Fullerton (59.2%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Iowa PICK

58.7% win prob

12

@

Penn St.

41.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Iowa (58.7%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Massachusetts

41.4% win prob

17

@

Akron PICK

58.6% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Akron (58.6%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

North Florida PICK

56.9% win prob

4

@

Stetson

43.1% win prob

1

Predicted Winner North Florida (56.9%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

UC San Diego PICK

56.7% win prob

12

@

CSUN

43.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner UC San Diego (56.7%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

William & Mary PICK

56.6% win prob

7

@

Georgetown

43.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner William & Mary (56.6%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Pittsburgh PICK

56.3% win prob

10

@

Stanford

43.7% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Pittsburgh (56.3%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

UConn

44.2% win prob

3

@

Portland PICK

55.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Portland (55.8%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Brown

44.2% win prob

1

@

Seton Hall PICK

55.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Seton Hall (55.8%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Oakland PICK

55.4% win prob

4

@

Youngstown St.

44.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Oakland (55.4%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Hawaii

45.5% win prob

1

@

Long Beach St. PICK

54.5% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Long Beach St. (54.5%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Austin Peay PICK

53.6% win prob

12

@

Bellarmine

46.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Austin Peay (53.6%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Michigan St.

46.7% win prob

6

@

Rutgers PICK

53.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Rutgers (53.3%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

West Virginia PICK

53.2% win prob

8

@

Baylor

46.8% win prob

0

Predicted Winner West Virginia (53.2%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Ga. Southern

46.8% win prob

6

@

James Madison PICK

53.2% win prob

12

Predicted Winner James Madison (53.2%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

San Francisco

47.3% win prob

5

@

UC Riverside PICK

52.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner UC Riverside (52.7%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Nevada PICK

51.8% win prob

9

@

Fresno St.

48.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Nevada (51.8%)

Low 51% ✓ WIN

Ohio St.

48.6% win prob

4

@

Washington PICK

51.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Washington (51.4%)

Low 51% ✓ WIN

Georgia St.

48.8% win prob

7

@

Marshall PICK

51.2% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Marshall (51.2%)

High 89% ✗ LOSS

Grambling

10.9% win prob

14

@

Alabama St. PICK

89.1% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Alabama St. (89.1%)

High 89% ✗ LOSS

Hofstra PICK

88.7% win prob

9

@

Monmouth

11.3% win prob

19

Predicted Winner Hofstra (88.7%)

High 88% ✗ LOSS

Kansas

12.3% win prob

18

@

Texas Tech PICK

87.7% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Texas Tech (87.7%)

High 87% ✗ LOSS

Stonehill PICK

87.1% win prob

6

@

UMES

12.9% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Stonehill (87.1%)

High 87% ✗ LOSS

Merrimack PICK

86.9% win prob

11

@

Iona

13.1% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Merrimack (86.9%)

High 86% ✗ LOSS

Jackson St.

14.1% win prob

17

@

Texas Southern PICK

85.9% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Texas Southern (85.9%)

Medium 83% ✗ LOSS

Murray St. PICK

83.0% win prob

0

@

Lindenwood

17.0% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Murray St. (83.0%)

Medium 78% ✗ LOSS

Houston Christian

21.9% win prob

9

@

Tarleton St. PICK

78.1% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Tarleton St. (78.1%)

Medium 78% ✗ LOSS

Navy PICK

78.0% win prob

1

@

Lehigh

22.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Navy (78.0%)

Medium 78% ✗ LOSS

Mercer PICK

78.0% win prob

10

@

Tennessee Tech

22.0% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Mercer (78.0%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

Campbell PICK

75.6% win prob

4

@

N.C. A&T

24.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Campbell (75.6%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

SFA

25.1% win prob

3

@

Southeastern La. PICK

74.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Southeastern La. (74.9%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

LSU

25.1% win prob

16

@

Vanderbilt PICK

74.9% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Vanderbilt (74.9%)

Medium 72% ✗ LOSS

High Point

28.0% win prob

7

@

USC Upstate PICK

72.0% win prob

5

Predicted Winner USC Upstate (72.0%)

Medium 70% ✗ LOSS

Evansville

29.6% win prob

5

@

Xavier PICK

70.4% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Xavier (70.4%)

Medium 70% ✗ LOSS

UC Santa Barbara PICK

70.3% win prob

6

@

UC Davis

29.7% win prob

10

Predicted Winner UC Santa Barbara (70.3%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

New Mexico PICK

68.8% win prob

0

@

San Jose St.

31.2% win prob

3

Predicted Winner New Mexico (68.8%)

Low 68% ✗ LOSS

North Ala.

32.2% win prob

13

@

Lipscomb PICK

67.8% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Lipscomb (67.8%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

Central Ark. PICK

67.5% win prob

5

@

Eastern Ky.

32.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Central Ark. (67.5%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

Southern Miss. PICK

67.4% win prob

2

@

Arkansas St.

32.6% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Southern Miss. (67.4%)

Low 64% ✗ LOSS

Purdue PICK

64.1% win prob

9

@

Maryland

35.9% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Purdue (64.1%)

Low 64% ✗ LOSS

Southeast Mo. St.

36.3% win prob

3

@

Wright St. PICK

63.7% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Wright St. (63.7%)

Low 64% ✗ LOSS

Kansas St. PICK

63.5% win prob

6

@

Houston

36.5% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Kansas St. (63.5%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

Wagner

36.5% win prob

11

@

LIU PICK

63.5% win prob

1

Predicted Winner LIU (63.5%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

Sacramento St.

37.5% win prob

18

@

Pacific PICK

62.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Pacific (62.5%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

Milwaukee

37.6% win prob

16

@

Northern Ky. PICK

62.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Northern Ky. (62.4%)

Low 61% ✗ LOSS

Missouri St. PICK

61.0% win prob

3

@

Liberty

39.0% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Missouri St. (61.0%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

UAlbany PICK

59.9% win prob

7

@

Yale

40.1% win prob

15

Predicted Winner UAlbany (59.9%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

Niagara

40.2% win prob

8

@

NJIT PICK

59.8% win prob

6

Predicted Winner NJIT (59.8%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

Longwood PICK

59.7% win prob

4

@

Gardner-Webb

40.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Longwood (59.7%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Washington St. PICK

57.9% win prob

10

@

San Diego St.

42.1% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Washington St. (57.9%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

UNC Asheville PICK

56.9% win prob

1

@

Presbyterian

43.1% win prob

11

Predicted Winner UNC Asheville (56.9%)

Low 55% ✗ LOSS

Sacred Heart PICK

55.2% win prob

2

@

Quinnipiac

44.8% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Sacred Heart (55.2%)

Low 55% ✗ LOSS

Valparaiso

44.9% win prob

13

@

SIUE PICK

55.1% win prob

9

Predicted Winner SIUE (55.1%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Belmont PICK

54.3% win prob

2

@

UAB

45.7% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Belmont (54.3%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Texas A&M PICK

53.9% win prob

11

@

Oklahoma

46.1% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Texas A&M (53.9%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

Saint Mary's (CA) PICK

52.3% win prob

3

@

Grand Canyon

47.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Saint Mary's (CA) (52.3%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

North Carolina

48.4% win prob

10

@

California PICK

51.6% win prob

2

Predicted Winner California (51.6%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

Saint Joseph's

49.3% win prob

5

@

Richmond PICK

50.7% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Richmond (50.7%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Holy Cross PICK

nan% win prob

10

@

Army

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Central Michigan PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Kent St.

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Jacksonville St. PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Sam Houston St.

nan% win prob

3

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Northern Ill. PICK

nan% win prob

2

@

Toledo

nan% win prob

17

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Incarnate Word PICK

nan% win prob

7

@

New Orleans

nan% win prob

11

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

UT-Arlington PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

UTSA

nan% win prob

15

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

McNeese PICK

nan% win prob

10

@

Lamar

nan% win prob

11

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

High 96%

Coppin St.

3.7% win prob

—

@

Fairleigh Dickinson PICK

96.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairleigh Dickinson (96.3%)

Low 63%

Little Rock

37.0% win prob

—

@

Samford PICK

63.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Samford (63.0%)

Low 58%

Rice

42.0% win prob

—

@

Saint Mary's (CA) PICK

58.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Saint Mary's (CA) (58.0%)

Low 56%

Binghamton PICK

56.2% win prob

—

@

Bryant

43.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Binghamton (56.2%)

Low 50%

Columbia

49.6% win prob

—

@

South Fla. PICK

50.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner South Fla. (50.4%)

Low nan%

Elon PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

UNC-Wilmington

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

St. Bonaventure PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Geo. Mason

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Rhode Island PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Geo. Washington

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Central Connecticut PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Norfolk St.

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Fla. Intl PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Western Ky.

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

UT-Rio Grande Valley PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Nicholls

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Texas St. PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Louisiana-Monroe

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)