Baseball Recap — Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	5/11	45%
60%–70%	6/13	46%
70%–80%	7/9	78%
80%–90%	6/6	100%
90%+	1/1	100%

High 93% ✓ WIN

Alabama A&M

6.8% win prob

7

@

Jacksonville St. PICK

93.2% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Jacksonville St. (93.2%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Northern Ky.

10.2% win prob

1

@

Louisville PICK

89.8% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Louisville (89.8%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

UMES

12.4% win prob

3

@

Towson PICK

87.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Towson (87.6%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Norfolk St.

12.6% win prob

4

@

Old Dominion PICK

87.4% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Old Dominion (87.4%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Prairie View

12.9% win prob

1

@

McNeese PICK

87.1% win prob

16

Predicted Winner McNeese (87.1%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

South Dakota St.

14.7% win prob

11

@

Oklahoma St. PICK

85.3% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Oklahoma St. (85.3%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

CSU Bakersfield

18.2% win prob

3

@

Southern California PICK

81.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Southern California (81.8%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

UNC Greensboro

20.8% win prob

2

@

North Carolina PICK

79.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner North Carolina (79.2%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Stonehill

21.4% win prob

6

@

Rhode Island PICK

78.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Rhode Island (78.6%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Marist

24.2% win prob

5

@

Fordham PICK

75.8% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Fordham (75.8%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Lehigh

27.7% win prob

2

@

Penn PICK

72.3% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Penn (72.3%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

UMass Lowell

28.3% win prob

2

@

Boston College PICK

71.7% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Boston College (71.7%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Gardner-Webb

28.4% win prob

4

@

Western Caro. PICK

71.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Western Caro. (71.6%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Northern Colo.

29.0% win prob

4

@

Arkansas PICK

71.0% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Arkansas (71.0%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Michigan St.

31.8% win prob

0

@

Michigan PICK

68.2% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Michigan (68.2%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Nebraska PICK

67.9% win prob

10

@

Wichita St.

32.1% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Nebraska (67.9%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Clemson PICK

67.4% win prob

9

@

The Citadel

32.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Clemson (67.4%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Western Ky. PICK

62.9% win prob

7

@

Belmont

37.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Western Ky. (62.9%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Southeast Mo. St. PICK

62.6% win prob

9

@

Evansville

37.4% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Southeast Mo. St. (62.6%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Eastern Ill. PICK

61.4% win prob

13

@

Ark.-Pine Bluff

38.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Eastern Ill. (61.4%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Omaha

43.8% win prob

2

@

Creighton PICK

56.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Creighton (56.2%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Hofstra PICK

53.7% win prob

5

@

Fairfield

46.3% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Hofstra (53.7%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Northeastern PICK

53.6% win prob

7

@

Brown

46.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Northeastern (53.6%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Dayton

46.6% win prob

7

@

Miami (OH) PICK

53.4% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Miami (OH) (53.4%)

Low 50% ✓ WIN

Northwestern St.

49.9% win prob

0

@

Tulane PICK

50.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Tulane (50.1%)

Medium 78% ✗ LOSS

UT Martin

22.0% win prob

7

@

Southern Ill. PICK

78.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Southern Ill. (78.0%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

Butler

24.0% win prob

14

@

Ball St. PICK

76.0% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Ball St. (76.0%)

Low 70% ✗ LOSS

Illinois PICK

69.9% win prob

3

@

Indiana St.

30.1% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Illinois (69.9%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Virginia

30.9% win prob

14

@

Liberty PICK

69.1% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Liberty (69.1%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

USC Upstate

32.5% win prob

11

@

Charlotte PICK

67.5% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Charlotte (67.5%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

Maine PICK

61.6% win prob

8

@

Navy

38.4% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Maine (61.6%)

Low 61% ✗ LOSS

Southern Ind. PICK

60.6% win prob

2

@

Bellarmine

39.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Southern Ind. (60.6%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

Oral Roberts

39.5% win prob

11

@

Little Rock PICK

60.5% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Little Rock (60.5%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

VCU PICK

60.4% win prob

8

@

Virginia Tech

39.6% win prob

11

Predicted Winner VCU (60.4%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Ohio St.

44.0% win prob

8

@

Xavier PICK

56.0% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Xavier (56.0%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

SIUE PICK

55.8% win prob

5

@

Illinois St.

44.2% win prob

6

Predicted Winner SIUE (55.8%)

Low 55% ✗ LOSS

UConn

44.8% win prob

12

@

Santa Clara PICK

55.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Santa Clara (55.2%)

Low 55% ✗ LOSS

Coastal Carolina PICK

54.6% win prob

3

@

Campbell

45.4% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Coastal Carolina (54.6%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Louisiana

45.7% win prob

6

@

Houston PICK

54.3% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Houston (54.3%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

La Salle PICK

51.9% win prob

3

@

Lafayette

48.1% win prob

5

Predicted Winner La Salle (51.9%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

UAlbany PICK

nan% win prob

2

@

Army

nan% win prob

12

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Incarnate Word PICK

nan% win prob

9

@

Abilene Christian

nan% win prob

8

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

High 89%

UMBC PICK

89.1% win prob

—

@

Delaware St.

10.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner UMBC (89.1%)

High 88%

Mississippi Val.

11.7% win prob

—

@

Lindenwood PICK

88.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Lindenwood (88.3%)

High 87%

Saint Peter's

12.8% win prob

—

@

Fairleigh Dickinson PICK

87.2% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairleigh Dickinson (87.2%)

Medium 85%

Yale PICK

85.0% win prob

—

@

Quinnipiac

15.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Yale (85.0%)

Medium 82%

Queens (NC)

17.9% win prob

—

@

Radford PICK

82.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Radford (82.1%)

Medium 81%

Youngstown St.

19.1% win prob

—

@

Pittsburgh PICK

80.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Pittsburgh (80.9%)

Medium 80%

Marshall

19.7% win prob

—

@

Kentucky PICK

80.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Kentucky (80.3%)

Medium 76%

Saint Joseph's PICK

75.9% win prob

—

@

Delaware

24.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Saint Joseph's (75.9%)

Medium 75%

Iowa PICK

75.4% win prob

—

@

UIC

24.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Iowa (75.4%)

Low 67%

Eastern Mich. PICK

66.6% win prob

—

@

Oakland

33.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Eastern Mich. (66.6%)

Low 50%

Ohio PICK

50.4% win prob

—

@

Morehead St.

49.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Ohio (50.4%)

Low nan%

Mount St. Mary's PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Geo. Mason

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Geo. Washington PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

James Madison

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Massachusetts PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Army

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Miami (FL) PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Fla. Intl

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

New Orleans PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Louisiana-Monroe

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Lamar PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Sam Houston St.

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)