Baseball Recap — Friday, March 20, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	27/50	54%
60%–70%	20/41	49%
70%–80%	16/23	70%
80%–90%	7/11	64%
90%+	2/3	67%

High 93% ✓ WIN

Maryland

6.5% win prob

2

@

UCLA PICK

93.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner UCLA (93.5%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Penn St.

9.8% win prob

7

@

Purdue PICK

90.2% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Purdue (90.2%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

Ohio

11.8% win prob

0

@

Bowling Green PICK

88.2% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Bowling Green (88.2%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

Pepperdine

12.2% win prob

8

@

Saint Mary's (CA) PICK

87.8% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Saint Mary's (CA) (87.8%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

UT Martin

13.5% win prob

6

@

Southeast Mo. St. PICK

86.5% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Southeast Mo. St. (86.5%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

UC Riverside

14.9% win prob

6

@

UC San Diego PICK

85.1% win prob

12

Predicted Winner UC San Diego (85.1%)

Medium 85% ✓ WIN

Mississippi Val.

15.0% win prob

8

@

Texas Southern PICK

85.0% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Texas Southern (85.0%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Presbyterian

18.0% win prob

5

@

High Point PICK

82.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner High Point (82.0%)

Medium 81% ✓ WIN

Sacred Heart

19.3% win prob

1

@

Bryant PICK

80.7% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Bryant (80.7%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Western Ill.

20.0% win prob

2

@

Southern Ind. PICK

80.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Southern Ind. (80.0%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

USC Upstate PICK

79.3% win prob

5

@

Longwood

20.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner USC Upstate (79.3%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Butler

20.7% win prob

0

@

Ohio St. PICK

79.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Ohio St. (79.3%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Oregon St. PICK

78.3% win prob

5

@

UC Irvine

21.7% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Oregon St. (78.3%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

BYU

22.3% win prob

10

@

West Virginia PICK

77.7% win prob

12

Predicted Winner West Virginia (77.7%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Akron PICK

76.5% win prob

7

@

Eastern Mich.

23.5% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Akron (76.5%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Northwestern

23.7% win prob

6

@

Oregon PICK

76.3% win prob

20

Predicted Winner Oregon (76.3%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Arkansas PICK

75.9% win prob

22

@

South Carolina

24.1% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Arkansas (75.9%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Eastern Ill. PICK

75.8% win prob

6

@

Lindenwood

24.2% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Eastern Ill. (75.8%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Jacksonville PICK

75.5% win prob

17

@

Queens (NC)

24.5% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Jacksonville (75.5%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

UAB

25.4% win prob

2

@

East Carolina PICK

74.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner East Carolina (74.6%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Bethune-Cookman PICK

74.5% win prob

11

@

Alcorn

25.5% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Bethune-Cookman (74.5%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Little Rock PICK

73.7% win prob

12

@

Tennessee Tech

26.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Little Rock (73.7%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

UCF PICK

72.1% win prob

18

@

TCU

27.9% win prob

7

Predicted Winner UCF (72.1%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Saint Louis PICK

72.1% win prob

7

@

St. Bonaventure

27.9% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Saint Louis (72.1%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

James Madison

28.8% win prob

2

@

Coastal Carolina PICK

71.2% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Coastal Carolina (71.2%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Washington

30.6% win prob

0

@

Southern California PICK

69.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Southern California (69.4%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

West Ga.

30.7% win prob

3

@

Stetson PICK

69.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Stetson (69.3%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Merrimack PICK

69.1% win prob

4

@

Canisius

30.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Merrimack (69.1%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Texas Tech PICK

68.6% win prob

9

@

Arizona

31.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Texas Tech (68.6%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Georgia PICK

65.9% win prob

9

@

Texas A&M

34.1% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Georgia (65.9%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Louisiana Tech PICK

65.9% win prob

13

@

New Mexico St.

34.1% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Louisiana Tech (65.9%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Liberty PICK

65.8% win prob

2

@

Kennesaw St.

34.2% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Liberty (65.8%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Texas

34.5% win prob

3

@

Auburn PICK

65.5% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Auburn (65.5%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

App State

34.6% win prob

7

@

Old Dominion PICK

65.4% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Old Dominion (65.4%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

St. Thomas (MN)

36.1% win prob

0

@

Oral Roberts PICK

63.9% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Oral Roberts (63.9%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Delaware St.

36.1% win prob

6

@

Norfolk St. PICK

63.9% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Norfolk St. (63.9%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

The Citadel

36.2% win prob

0

@

Mercer PICK

63.8% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Mercer (63.8%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Evansville

36.4% win prob

6

@

California Baptist PICK

63.6% win prob

11

Predicted Winner California Baptist (63.6%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Davidson PICK

63.5% win prob

17

@

La Salle

36.5% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Davidson (63.5%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Southern Ill. PICK

63.3% win prob

5

@

UIC

36.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Southern Ill. (63.3%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Wake Forest

36.8% win prob

6

@

Virginia PICK

63.2% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Virginia (63.2%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Creighton

37.7% win prob

4

@

Miami (FL) PICK

62.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Miami (FL) (62.3%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Fairfield PICK

61.3% win prob

6

@

Saint Peter's

38.7% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Fairfield (61.3%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Western Ky.

39.7% win prob

3

@

Jacksonville St. PICK

60.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Jacksonville St. (60.3%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Abilene Christian PICK

60.2% win prob

12

@

New Mexico

39.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Abilene Christian (60.2%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Campbell PICK

59.9% win prob

19

@

Towson

40.1% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Campbell (59.9%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

NC State PICK

59.9% win prob

6

@

Florida St.

40.1% win prob

4

Predicted Winner NC State (59.9%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Kent St. PICK

59.7% win prob

14

@

Massachusetts

40.3% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Kent St. (59.7%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Louisville

40.7% win prob

1

@

North Carolina PICK

59.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner North Carolina (59.3%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

UTSA PICK

58.7% win prob

4

@

Fla. Atlantic

41.3% win prob

1

Predicted Winner UTSA (58.7%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

VCU PICK

58.6% win prob

17

@

Dayton

41.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner VCU (58.6%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Rider PICK

58.5% win prob

12

@

Mount St. Mary's

41.5% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Rider (58.5%)

Low 58% ✓ WIN

N.C. A&T

41.8% win prob

5

@

William & Mary PICK

58.2% win prob

9

Predicted Winner William & Mary (58.2%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Belmont

43.3% win prob

4

@

Illinois St. PICK

56.7% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Illinois St. (56.7%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Alabama A&M

43.7% win prob

8

@

Grambling PICK

56.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Grambling (56.3%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Bellarmine

43.7% win prob

12

@

Central Ark. PICK

56.3% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Central Ark. (56.3%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Louisiana

43.7% win prob

1

@

Texas St. PICK

56.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Texas St. (56.3%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Mercyhurst

43.9% win prob

9

@

Stonehill PICK

56.1% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Stonehill (56.1%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Portland PICK

55.9% win prob

5

@

LMU (CA)

44.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Portland (55.9%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Middle Tenn.

44.5% win prob

4

@

Missouri St. PICK

55.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Missouri St. (55.5%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Gardner-Webb

44.5% win prob

5

@

Charleston So. PICK

55.5% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Charleston So. (55.5%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Utah

44.5% win prob

4

@

Cincinnati PICK

55.5% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Cincinnati (55.5%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Tarleton St. PICK

54.7% win prob

9

@

SFA

45.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Tarleton St. (54.7%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Georgia Tech PICK

54.6% win prob

11

@

Pittsburgh

45.4% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Georgia Tech (54.6%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Marist PICK

53.9% win prob

1

@

Iona

46.1% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Marist (53.9%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Wofford

46.4% win prob

1

@

Xavier PICK

53.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Xavier (53.6%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

North Dakota St. PICK

53.5% win prob

6

@

South Dakota St.

46.5% win prob

1

Predicted Winner North Dakota St. (53.5%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Baylor PICK

53.0% win prob

6

@

Oklahoma St.

47.0% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Baylor (53.0%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Northern Ky. PICK

52.6% win prob

9

@

Oakland

47.4% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Northern Ky. (52.6%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Long Beach St.

48.0% win prob

0

@

CSU Bakersfield PICK

52.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner CSU Bakersfield (52.0%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Binghamton

48.2% win prob

5

@

UMass Lowell PICK

51.8% win prob

7

Predicted Winner UMass Lowell (51.8%)

Low 50% ✓ WIN

Le Moyne

50.0% win prob

0

@

Wagner PICK

50.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Wagner (50.0%)

High 90% ✗ LOSS

Arkansas St. PICK

90.2% win prob

2

@

Georgia St.

9.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Arkansas St. (90.2%)

High 90% ✗ LOSS

Northern Colo.

10.5% win prob

11

@

Omaha PICK

89.5% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Omaha (89.5%)

High 86% ✗ LOSS

DBU PICK

85.7% win prob

4

@

Delaware

14.3% win prob

5

Predicted Winner DBU (85.7%)

Medium 84% ✗ LOSS

Grand Canyon PICK

83.6% win prob

3

@

Washington St.

16.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Grand Canyon (83.6%)

Medium 82% ✗ LOSS

Troy

18.1% win prob

6

@

Southern Miss. PICK

81.9% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Southern Miss. (81.9%)

Medium 79% ✗ LOSS

Southern U.

21.0% win prob

18

@

Alabama St. PICK

79.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Alabama St. (79.0%)

Medium 79% ✗ LOSS

Hofstra PICK

78.8% win prob

4

@

Seton Hall

21.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Hofstra (78.8%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

Missouri

24.5% win prob

8

@

Tennessee PICK

75.5% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Tennessee (75.5%)

Medium 72% ✗ LOSS

Hawaii

27.8% win prob

2

@

UC Santa Barbara PICK

72.2% win prob

1

Predicted Winner UC Santa Barbara (72.2%)

Medium 72% ✗ LOSS

Santa Clara PICK

72.2% win prob

1

@

San Francisco

27.8% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Santa Clara (72.2%)

Medium 71% ✗ LOSS

Kentucky

28.6% win prob

3

@

Ole Miss PICK

71.4% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Ole Miss (71.4%)

Medium 71% ✗ LOSS

Samford

28.6% win prob

11

@

Western Caro. PICK

71.4% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Western Caro. (71.4%)

Low 70% ✗ LOSS

Gonzaga PICK

69.7% win prob

6

@

San Diego

30.3% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Gonzaga (69.7%)

Low 70% ✗ LOSS

Air Force PICK

69.6% win prob

7

@

Nevada

30.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Air Force (69.6%)

Low 70% ✗ LOSS

Houston PICK

69.5% win prob

10

@

Kansas

30.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Houston (69.5%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Elon PICK

69.0% win prob

5

@

Northeastern

31.0% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Elon (69.0%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

CSUN

31.1% win prob

5

@

Cal St. Fullerton PICK

68.9% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Cal St. Fullerton (68.9%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

Clemson PICK

66.9% win prob

0

@

Notre Dame

33.1% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Clemson (66.9%)

Low 66% ✗ LOSS

Duke PICK

66.5% win prob

1

@

Virginia Tech

33.5% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Duke (66.5%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

New Orleans

34.6% win prob

3

@

Northwestern St. PICK

65.4% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Northwestern St. (65.4%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

Charlotte PICK

64.7% win prob

3

@

Wichita St.

35.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Charlotte (64.7%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

Florida A&M PICK

64.6% win prob

4

@

Ark.-Pine Bluff

35.4% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Florida A&M (64.6%)

Low 64% ✗ LOSS

Richmond PICK

63.9% win prob

4

@

Fordham

36.1% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Richmond (63.9%)

Low 64% ✗ LOSS

ETSU PICK

63.5% win prob

3

@

UNC Greensboro

36.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner ETSU (63.5%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

Youngstown St.

36.6% win prob

3

@

Georgetown PICK

63.4% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Georgetown (63.4%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

UMES

37.0% win prob

7

@

Coppin St. PICK

63.0% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Coppin St. (63.0%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

Memphis

37.6% win prob

7

@

Tulane PICK

62.4% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Tulane (62.4%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

Rutgers PICK

62.1% win prob

7

@

Illinois

37.9% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Rutgers (62.1%)

Low 61% ✗ LOSS

Iowa PICK

61.2% win prob

0

@

Michigan St.

38.8% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Iowa (61.2%)

Low 61% ✗ LOSS

Nebraska PICK

61.1% win prob

1

@

Michigan

38.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Nebraska (61.1%)

Low 61% ✗ LOSS

Stony Brook PICK

61.0% win prob

2

@

Monmouth

39.0% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Stony Brook (61.0%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

San Diego St. PICK

60.5% win prob

2

@

San Jose St.

39.5% win prob

3

Predicted Winner San Diego St. (60.5%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

Bradley

39.7% win prob

10

@

Indiana St. PICK

60.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Indiana St. (60.3%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

SIUE

40.5% win prob

23

@

Morehead St. PICK

59.5% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Morehead St. (59.5%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Lipscomb

41.6% win prob

11

@

Austin Peay PICK

58.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Austin Peay (58.4%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Quinnipiac PICK

58.0% win prob

5

@

Manhattan

42.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Quinnipiac (58.0%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

Southeastern La. PICK

56.7% win prob

2

@

McNeese

43.3% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Southeastern La. (56.7%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

Ball St. PICK

56.5% win prob

1

@

Western Mich.

43.5% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Ball St. (56.5%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

UConn PICK

56.5% win prob

6

@

San Jose St.

43.5% win prob

16

Predicted Winner UConn (56.5%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Rice

43.5% win prob

5

@

South Fla. PICK

56.5% win prob

4

Predicted Winner South Fla. (56.5%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Prairie View

43.5% win prob

9

@

Jackson St. PICK

56.5% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Jackson St. (56.5%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Oklahoma

43.6% win prob

4

@

LSU PICK

56.4% win prob

2

Predicted Winner LSU (56.4%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Maine PICK

56.0% win prob

5

@

UMBC

44.0% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Maine (56.0%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Winthrop

44.1% win prob

14

@

Sacramento St. PICK

55.9% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Sacramento St. (55.9%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

California PICK

55.8% win prob

3

@

Boston College

44.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner California (55.8%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Minnesota PICK

55.8% win prob

6

@

Indiana

44.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Minnesota (55.8%)

Low 55% ✗ LOSS

Florida PICK

55.5% win prob

0

@

Alabama

44.5% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Florida (55.5%)

Low 55% ✗ LOSS

Arizona St.

45.2% win prob

5

@

Kansas St. PICK

54.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Kansas St. (54.8%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

VMI PICK

52.0% win prob

4

@

Radford

48.0% win prob

9

Predicted Winner VMI (52.0%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

Valparaiso PICK

51.5% win prob

4

@

Murray St.

48.5% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Valparaiso (51.5%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

Marshall

48.6% win prob

17

@

Ga. Southern PICK

51.4% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Ga. Southern (51.4%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

UNC Asheville

49.0% win prob

12

@

Villanova PICK

51.0% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Villanova (51.0%)

Low 51% ✗ LOSS

UAlbany

49.3% win prob

10

@

NJIT PICK

50.7% win prob

5

Predicted Winner NJIT (50.7%)

Low 50% ✗ LOSS

Fresno St. PICK

50.3% win prob

7

@

Utah Tech

49.7% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Fresno St. (50.3%)

Low 50% ✗ LOSS

Eastern Ky. PICK

50.3% win prob

5

@

North Ala.

49.7% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Eastern Ky. (50.3%)

Low 50% ✗ LOSS

Niagara

49.9% win prob

3

@

Siena PICK

50.1% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Siena (50.1%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Nicholls PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

Incarnate Word

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Toledo PICK

nan% win prob

10

@

Central Michigan

nan% win prob

1

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Miami (OH) PICK

nan% win prob

13

@

Northern Ill.

nan% win prob

17

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

UNC-Wilmington PICK

nan% win prob

2

@

Col. of Charleston

nan% win prob

1

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Fla. Gulf Coast PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

North Florida

nan% win prob

5

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Lamar PICK

nan% win prob

1

@

A&M-Corpus Christi

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

St. John's (NY) PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

UT-Arlington

nan% win prob

1

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Seattle PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Pacific

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Medium 77%

Vanderbilt PICK

77.0% win prob

—

@

Mississippi St.

23.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Vanderbilt (77.0%)

Medium 74%

New Haven

26.5% win prob

—

@

Fairleigh Dickinson PICK

73.5% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairleigh Dickinson (73.5%)

Low 66%

Milwaukee

34.3% win prob

—

@

Wright St. PICK

65.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Wright St. (65.7%)

Low nan%

Geo. Washington PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Saint Joseph's

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Geo. Mason PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Rhode Island

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

LIU PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Central Connecticut

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Sam Houston St. PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Fla. Intl

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

UT-Rio Grande Valley PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Houston Christian

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Louisiana-Monroe PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

South Alabama

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)