Win % bar = model probability (note discrepancy above)
Projected winner
TBD
Win % from XGB blend model
Round 1
Tue 5/19 · seeds 5–8
5
Jacksonville
7
7
Austin Peay
1
6
Central Ark.
6
8
Stetson
4
Quarterfinals
Wed 5/20 · seeds 3–4 join
4
North Alabama
5
5
Jacksonville
0
3
Fla. Gulf Coast
4
6
Central Ark.
3
Semifinals
Thu 5/21 · seeds 1–2 join
1
North Florida
4
4
North Alabama
11
2
Lipscomb
4
3
Fla. Gulf Coast
1
Final
Fri 5/22
4
North Alabama
3
2
Lipscomb
4
Championship
Sat 5/23 · auto-bid
—
Tournament champion