The Lab Analytics|College Baseball
2026
No. 21 Oklahoma (40-22) meet No. 4 North Carolina (52-12) at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha. North Carolina hold the edge on both sides of the ball — 8.1 runs per game and a 3.50 team ERA. Our model makes North Carolina the favorite at 59%, with tournament-calibrated probabilities from 10,000 bracket simulations.
| Oklahoma | North Carolina | |
|---|---|---|
| #21 | Power Rank | #4 |
| 40-22 | Record | 52-12 |
| SEC 16-17 | Conference | ACC 24-8 |
| +5.20 | SRS | +6.86 |
| 7.1 | Runs / Game | 8.1 |
| 4.59 | Team ERA | 3.50 |
| 0.847 | Team wOBA | 0.864 |
| 1.31 | WHIP | 1.35 |
| 10.1 | K/9 | 8.8 |
| 739 | Home Runs | 756 |
| 0.975 | Fielding % | 0.983 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| 10-2 | Neutral Sites | 7-1 |
| 22-20 | vs SRS Top 50 | 22-9 |
| Opponent | Oklahoma | North Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | L 5/30 · W 5/31 · W 6/1 | W 4/17 · W 4/18 · L 4/19 |
