The Lab Analytics|College Baseball
2026
No. 4 North Carolina (52-12) meet No. 21 Oklahoma (40-22) at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha. North Carolina hold the edge on both sides of the ball — 8.1 runs per game and a 3.50 team ERA. Our model makes North Carolina the favorite at 59%, with tournament-calibrated probabilities from 10,000 bracket simulations.
| North Carolina | Oklahoma | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Power Rank | #21 |
| 52-12 | Record | 40-22 |
| ACC 24-8 | Conference | SEC 16-17 |
| +6.86 | SRS | +5.20 |
| 8.1 | Runs / Game | 7.1 |
| 3.50 | Team ERA | 4.59 |
| 0.864 | Team wOBA | 0.847 |
| 1.35 | WHIP | 1.31 |
| 8.8 | K/9 | 10.1 |
| 756 | Home Runs | 739 |
| 0.983 | Fielding % | 0.975 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| 7-1 | Neutral Sites | 10-2 |
| 22-9 | vs SRS Top 50 | 22-20 |
| Opponent | North Carolina | Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | W 4/17 · W 4/18 · L 4/19 | L 5/30 · W 5/31 · W 6/1 |
