Test Predictions Recap
2026-04-05
Latest Apr 4 Apr 2 Apr 1 Mar 29 Mar 28 Mar 27 Mar 26
All Games Summary
Total Picks
2
Final results
2
Correct picks
2
Incorrect picks
0
Pending
0
Accuracy
100.0%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (2)
Tulsa (29-7) 86, Auburn (21-16) 92 [6] Auburn (66.5%)
Oklahoma (21-15) 82, West Virginia (20-14) 89 [7] West Virginia (51.1%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
2
Final results
2
Correct picks
2
Incorrect picks
0
Pending
0
Accuracy
100.0%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
2
Avg Confidence
58.8%
ECE (lower=better)
0.4121
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
2
ML Win Rate
100.0%
ML Profit
$$186
ML ROI
93.2%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$142
ROI
142.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$142
ROI
142.0%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)

No recommended picks met the criteria (4.0+ edge, ≤12 spread, ≥65% confidence).

Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$142
ROI
142.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Oklahoma 82, West Virginia 89 [7] West Virginia 51.1% +142 +11.5% WIN
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$142
ROI
142.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Oklahoma 82, West Virginia 89 [7] West Virginia 51.1% +142 +11.5% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$142
ROI
142.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Oklahoma 82, West Virginia 89 [7] West Virginia 51.1% +142 +11.5% WIN
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$142
ROI
142.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Oklahoma @ West Virginia West Virginia 51.1% +142 +11.5% WIN
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