Arizona#2
25-2 · SRS +11.3
@
Baylor
14-13 · SRS +8.8
Model pick · straight up
BaylorArizona 47%Baylor 53%
Confidence
53%
Predicted score
84–73
Margin (home)
-10.9
Total (line 154.5)
158 · OVER
Moneylines
-460 / +340
ML value edge
+31%
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 4/4 metrics favor Arizona, but model picks Baylor
Season ProfileArizona · Baylor
93%
Win %
52%
+11.3
SRS
+8.8
+5.6
Schedule (opp SRS)
+4.6
+26.1
Net Efficiency
+8.9
OffenseArizona · Baylor
87.2
Points / game
82.6
120.5
Offensive rating
117.9
55.1%
eFG%
54.7%
34.1%
3P%
34.7%
71.8%
FT%
72.1%
72.2
Pace
70.1
Defense & Ball ControlArizona · Baylor
68.5
Opp points / game
76.3
94.4
Defensive rating
109.0
44.8%
Opp eFG%
51.1%
15.2
Turnover ratio
17.1
30.1%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
43.4%
FT rate
37.0%
Recent FormArizona · Baylor
+12.8
Last-10 margin
-3.7
80.7
Last-10 PPG
75.0
60%
Last-5 win %
20%
2
Win streak
1
60%
Close-game win %
33%
3
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 2 meetings
Feb 17, 2025Arizona @ Baylor74–67Arizona
Jan 14, 2025Baylor @ Arizona70–81Arizona
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.