Arizona State
14-13 · SRS +2.1
@
TCU
17-10 · SRS +2.1
Model pick · straight up
TCUArizona State 24%TCU 76%
Confidence
76%
Predicted score
76–77
Margin (home)
+1.1
Total (line 147.5)
152 · OVER
Moneylines
+250 / -300
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 3/4 metrics favor Arizona State, but model picks TCU
Season ProfileArizona State · TCU
52%
Win %
63%
+2.1
SRS
+2.1
+4.7
Schedule (opp SRS)
+4.0
-0.6
Net Efficiency
+8.6
OffenseArizona State · TCU
78.1
Points / game
77.9
110.7
Offensive rating
115.9
51.6%
eFG%
50.8%
34.0%
3P%
32.9%
74.5%
FT%
70.9%
70.5
Pace
66.1
Defense & Ball ControlArizona State · TCU
78.5
Opp points / game
71.8
111.3
Defensive rating
107.2
53.6%
Opp eFG%
50.6%
16.0
Turnover ratio
15.7
31.9%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
40.3%
FT rate
39.5%
Recent FormArizona State · TCU
-3.5
Last-10 margin
-2.1
73.4
Last-10 PPG
74.7
60%
Last-5 win %
80%
-1
Win streak
1
57%
Close-game win %
50%
3
Days rest
3
Head to Headlast 2 meetings
Feb 15, 2025TCU @ Arizona State74–70TCU
Dec 16, 2023Arizona State @ TCU59–79TCU
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each
team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only;
against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.