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Cincinnati
15-12 · SRS +6.2
@
Texas Tech#16
20-7 · SRS +13.7
Tuesday, February 24, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET Conference game
Model pick · straight up
Texas Tech
Cincinnati 24%Texas Tech 76%
Confidence
76%
Predicted score
73–72
Margin (home)
-0.7
Total (line 141.5)
146 · OVER
Moneylines
+250 / -300
⚠ SIGNAL CONFLICT: 3/4 metrics favor Cincinnati, but model picks Texas Tech
Season ProfileCincinnati · Texas Tech
56% Win % 74%
+6.2 SRS +13.7
+4.3 Schedule (opp SRS) +5.2
+7.6 Net Efficiency +14.5
OffenseCincinnati · Texas Tech
72.7 Points / game 82.1
105.4 Offensive rating 119.5
50.1% eFG% 56.2%
32.4% 3P% 39.3%
68.2% FT% 70.5%
68.7 Pace 68.5
Defense & Ball ControlCincinnati · Texas Tech
67.0 Opp points / game 72.3
97.8 Defensive rating 105.1
48.1% Opp eFG% 49.2%
17.5 Turnover ratio 15.4
29.9% Off. rebound % 30.5%
31.3% FT rate 28.7%
Recent FormCincinnati · Texas Tech
+2.1 Last-10 margin +9.2
70.9 Last-10 PPG 80.0
80% Last-5 win % 80%
4 Win streak 1
17% Close-game win % 60%
3 Days rest 3
Head to Headlast 2 meetings
Jan 21, 2025Texas Tech @ Cincinnati81–71Texas Tech
Feb 03, 2024Cincinnati @ Texas Tech75–72Cincinnati
Team stats are the pre-game rolling numbers the model saw at each team's most recent game — season-to-date, no future information. Straight-up prediction only; against-the-spread picks live on the ATS card.